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Troy vs Southern Miss Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position-
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Troy v Southern Miss
08 Mar 2026
TROY78
SOUT70
14 Jan 2026
TROY91
SOUT65
27 Jan 2025
TROY70
SOUT61
13 Jan 2024
TROY82
SOUT56
02 Feb 2023
TROY65
SOUT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H07/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A12/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A19/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H09/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
47-76
47
76
-29
A19/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-29
0-0
44-40
0-0
29-36
0-0
33-38
0-0
26-26
0-0
39-43
0-0
35-37
0-0
42-39
0-0
26-33
0-0
28-32
0-0
27-23
0-0
51-36
0-0
37-29
0-0
43-36
0-0
41-28
0-0
37-42
0-0
38-25
0-0
39-36
0-0
25-41
0-0
22-35
138.1Avg total
69.7Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.768.4138.1+1.360%
Last 5 (5)72.066.2138.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.072.5135.5-9.550%
vs Similar (11)74.974.9149.8+0.055%
vs Weaker (17)82.172.4154.5+9.671%
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#52
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H07/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H13/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A28/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H05/03
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A07/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-30
0-0
32-35
0-0
36-42
0-0
42-42
0-0
26-26
0-0
43-39
0-0
40-47
0-0
46-34
0-0
44-53
0-0
40-36
0-0
35-29
0-0
33-26
0-0
35-33
0-0
51-47
0-0
37-33
0-0
44-44
0-0
44-28
0-0
42-45
0-0
28-41
0-0
42-37
152.1Avg total
77.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.474.7152.1+2.770%
Last 5 (5)78.272.6150.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.377.2149.5-4.940%
vs Similar (14)74.474.9149.3-0.457%
vs Weaker (6)74.567.7142.2+6.883%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
TroySouthern Miss
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H07/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A12/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A19/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H08/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H09/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A19/03
NCAA
62.6Avg total
31.9Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.532.367.8+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.728.365.0+8.587%-
Last 30 away (15)34.336.370.6-1.913%-
Last 10 (10)31.930.762.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)33.629.262.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.035.065.0-5.050%-
vs Similar (11)34.134.568.6-0.545%-
vs Weaker (17)37.130.567.6+6.653%-
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#52
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H07/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H13/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A28/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A06/03
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A07/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A08/03
NCAA
72.1Avg total
35.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.933.266.1-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.031.463.4+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)33.734.868.4-1.156%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.272.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.832.868.6+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.634.468.0-0.830%-
vs Similar (14)32.233.265.4-1.057%-
vs Weaker (6)33.331.064.3+2.383%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Troy wins
4
Southern Miss wins
DateGameScore
08/03/26Troy v Southern Miss78-70
15/02/26Southern Miss v Troy69-65
15/01/26Troy v Southern Miss91-65
01/03/25Southern Miss v Troy58-70
27/01/25Troy v Southern Miss70-61
20/01/24Southern Miss v Troy64-63
13/01/24Troy v Southern Miss82-56
03/02/23Troy v Southern Miss65-74
30/12/22Southern Miss v Troy64-60
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/26ANebraska47-76
09/03/26HGeorgia Southern77-61
08/03/26HSouthern Miss78-70
28/02/26HLouisiana Monroe80-65
25/02/26HLouisiana Lafayette78-59
21/02/26ASouth Alabama54-65
19/02/26ALouisiana Monroe77-76
15/02/26ASouthern Miss65-69
12/02/26ATexas State62-74
07/02/26HAkron79-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26ATroy70-78
07/03/26AAppalachian State86-73
06/03/26ATexas State81-77
05/03/26HJames Madison86-80
28/02/26ASouth Alabama68-55
25/02/26AArkansas State84-89
21/02/26HOld Dominion86-81
15/02/26HTroy69-65
13/02/26HSouth Alabama78-84
07/02/26HKent State66-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Southern Miss
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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