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Udine vs Basket Napoli Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game80.6
Udine
Italy
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.4/10
Below normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Basket Napoli
Italy
Position#1
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game86.9
ItalyLega ARound 13· PalaCarnera
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Udine v Basket Napoli
27 Dec 2026
UDI v NAP
upcoming
07 Dec 2025
UDI78
NAP71
27 Jun 2021
UDI67
NAP77
25 Jun 2021
UDI71
NAP61
12 May 2021
UDI64
NAP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Udine win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Napoli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UdineItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUdine
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
L
69-76
69
76
-7
54avg 74
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
71-98
71
98
-27
57avg 74
A10/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
87-63
87
63
+24
88avg 74
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
78avg 74
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
L
66-74
66
74
-8
59avg 74
H10/10
Lega A
Treviso
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
77avg 74
A18/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
63avg 74
A25/10
Lega A
Tortona
#12
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 74
H01/11
Lega A
Varese
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
29-16
15-22
10-11
21-16
15-26
22-29
13-27
19-11
28-17
23-14
17-21
18-20
18-16
22-20
19-21
21-23
12-15
17-16
16-20
27-24
20-24
18-26
21-28
19-22
21-13
18-24
17-22
19-14
21-19
17-20
29-24
14-26
26-23
27-14
17-18
15-22
20-15
23-22
12-24
159.8Avg total
77.9Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.980.6160.5-0.850%
Season at home (4)77.274.2151.5+3.050%
Season away (4)82.587.0169.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)77.981.9159.8-4.040%
Last 5 (5)80.284.8165.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.987.6171.4-3.722%
vs Similar (19)78.881.9160.7-3.147%
vs Weaker (2)86.073.5159.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
86-82
86
82
+4
84avg 82
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 82
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
99avg 82
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#12
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 82
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#26
W
94-85
94
85
+9
98avg 82
A28/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#7
W
99-81
99
81
+18
100avg 82
H01/11
Lega A
Trento
#27
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
91-89
91
89
+2
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
W
112-90
112
90
+22
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
no box
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
18-19
21-24
25-21
25-18
13-23
23-25
21-32
29-20
24-22
20-24
20-27
19-26
22-21
26-17
25-26
24-20
23-25
24-20
23-20
19-16
25-22
30-20
25-23
24-21
13-18
28-15
25-25
22-19
15-28
27-28
27-14
24-22
35-19
20-28
33-21
34-27
11-24
20-22
25-16
182.5Avg total
94.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)93.286.9180.1+6.488%
Season at home (4)92.590.2182.8+2.275%
Season away (4)94.083.5177.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)94.188.4182.5+5.790%
Last 5 (5)96.485.6182.0+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.694.2171.8-16.60%
vs Similar (14)87.685.5173.1+2.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.583.6178.1+10.8100%
This opponent (Udine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
UdineBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UdineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A10/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#16
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H10/10
Lega A
Treviso
#4
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A25/10
Lega A
Tortona
#12
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H01/11
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A08/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H15/11
Lega A
78.7Avg total
39.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.181.0+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.938.979.8+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)41.041.282.2-0.240%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.978.7+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.480.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.142.683.7-1.444%-
vs Similar (19)40.839.780.5+1.153%-
vs Weaker (2)41.532.073.5+9.550%-
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#12
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#26
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H01/11
Lega A
Trento
#27
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/11
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A08/11
Lega A
Chemnitz
#13
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A11/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H15/11
Lega A
86.9Avg total
44.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.484.0+1.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.038.779.7+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)44.144.288.3-0.167%-
Last 10 (10)44.142.886.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.287.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.243.482.6-4.260%-
vs Similar (14)41.140.982.0+0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.841.387.1+4.573%-
This opponent (Udine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Udinetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Udine: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.5
54.4%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.88.4
27.3%
34.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.113.8
76.2%
74.6%13.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.5
59.1%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.5
41.7%
34.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.8
72.1%
74.6%17.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Udine
LWWLLLWWLL
Basket Napoli
WWWWWWWWLW
#9
League position
#1
-3.4
Net rating
+8.2
91.7
Offensive rating
106.6
95.2
Defensive rating
98.4
48.3%
Effective FG%
60.6%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
13.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.40
27.3%
3-point %
41.7%
59.2%
Assist %
68.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 106.6Defence95.2 · 98.4Shooting48.3% · 60.6%3-point %27.3% · 41.7%Ball care13.3% · 15.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Udine   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Udine wins
6
Basket Napoli wins
DateGameScore
10/05/26Basket Napoli v Udine98-71
07/12/25Udine v Basket Napoli78-71
27/06/21Udine v Basket Napoli67-77
25/06/21Udine v Basket Napoli71-61
22/06/21Basket Napoli v Udine57-53
20/06/21Basket Napoli v Udine72-56
12/05/21Udine v Basket Napoli64-71
28/04/21Basket Napoli v Udine71-63
Udinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HOlimpia Milano70-83
08/11/26AVarese84-81
01/11/26HTortona86-77
25/10/26AMaxima Roma75-81
18/10/26ATreviso86-102
10/10/26HTrento66-74
05/10/26ACantu85-84 OT
27/09/26HScafati87-63
10/05/26ABasket Napoli71-98
03/05/26HTrento69-76
Basket Napolilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTrieste90-89
11/11/26AChemnitz112-90
08/11/26AScafati91-89
03/11/26HTrento90-79
01/11/26HVenezia99-81
28/10/26ANeptunas94-85
25/10/26ATortona92-90
21/10/26HTofas105-101 OT
18/10/26HOlimpia Milano82-98
14/10/26ASlask Wroclaw86-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Udine
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.977.282.5
Allowed / game80.674.287.0
Point differential-0.8+3.0-4.5
Avg total160.5151.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Basket Napoli
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game93.292.594.0
Allowed / game86.990.283.5
Point differential+6.4+2.2+10.5
Avg total180.1182.8177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basket Napoli87188%93.286.9+6.4
2 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
3 Olimpia Milano86275%89.981.1+8.8
4 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
5 Maxima Roma85362%87.284.2+3.0
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Venezia85362%87.987.6+0.2
8 Trieste84450%93.888.6+5.1
9 Udine84450%79.980.6-0.8
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 Tortona83538%86.591.1-4.6
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu8080%78.892.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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