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Udine vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 81-92
21-28 21-18 15-21 24-25
Position#13
Record8-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record8-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game86.5
ItalyLega ARound 21· PalaCarnera
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Udine v Varese
11 Apr 2027
UDI v VAR
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
UDI81
VAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Udine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UdineItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUdine
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
70avg 75
A14/12
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
82avg 75
H21/12
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
82-75
82
75
+7
77avg 75
A27/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
78avg 75
A04/01
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
82-75
82
75
+7
77avg 75
H11/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
H18/01
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
70avg 75
A25/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
80-79
80
79
+1
68avg 75
A31/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
92-79
92
79
+13
91avg 75
H08/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
77avg 75
A15/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
13-26
19-24
21-21
24-21
21-19
21-21
20-18
21-15
24-16
13-20
24-24
21-15
19-24
23-15
21-31
17-19
22-18
16-19
27-19
22-25
24-13
18-28
21-24
21-15
23-28
24-20
12-20
16-18
18-23
26-19
20-19
19-19
27-16
23-25
23-19
15-31
34-23
16-17
21-19
165.6Avg total
83.0Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.681.8163.3-0.240%
Season at home (9)83.682.8166.3+0.844%
Season away (11)80.080.9160.9-0.936%
Last 10 (10)83.082.6165.6+0.450%
Last 5 (5)84.684.2168.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.585.4166.9-3.910%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.478.7161.1+3.673%
vs Weaker (9)84.778.1162.8+6.689%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
81avg 73
A14/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
76avg 73
H21/12
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 73
A28/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 73
H03/01
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
83-86
83
86
-3
70avg 73
A11/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
94-106
94
106
-12
no box
H18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
84-74
84
74
+10
80avg 73
A26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
61-76
61
76
-15
53avg 73
H01/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 73
A08/02
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
98-96
98
96
+2
90avg 73
H14/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
29-21
18-25
29-27
13-11
19-26
28-11
24-21
22-19
25-26
27-19
21-24
20-18
18-24
24-18
22-20
13-18
18-22
29-17
23-29
25-31
34-18
18-35
17-22
15-19
21-24
27-19
21-12
10-24
16-11
14-20
21-21
18-23
17-15
18-24
25-22
22-34
19-21
31-23
26-18
171.6Avg total
85.5Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.586.5169.1-4.040%
Season at home (10)78.383.7162.0-5.440%
Season away (10)86.789.4176.1-2.740%
Last 10 (10)85.586.1171.6-0.650%
Last 5 (5)83.087.2170.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)80.189.1169.2-9.128%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.282.4167.6+2.858%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Udine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.3+1.3
UdineVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UdineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A14/12
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H21/12
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A27/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A04/01
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H11/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H18/01
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A25/01
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A31/01
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H08/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A15/02
Lega A
82.5Avg total
42.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.681.6+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.240.781.9+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)40.940.581.4+0.559%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.482.5+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.286.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.142.281.3-3.140%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.138.080.1+4.182%-
vs Weaker (9)42.041.983.9+0.144%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A14/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/12
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/01
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A11/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H01/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A08/02
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H14/02
Lega A
82.6Avg total
39.2Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.781.0-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.539.376.8-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)41.144.185.1-3.027%-
Last 10 (10)39.243.482.6-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.083.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.743.683.2-3.928%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.838.877.6-0.142%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Udine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Udinetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Udine: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.0
50.0%
54.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.5
35.4%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.615.2
77.6%
76.1%15.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.5
59.6%
54.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.3
30.7%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.713.3
75.1%
76.1%13.3
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Udine
LWWLLWLWWL
Varese
WLLWLLWWWL
#13
League position
#8
+1.6
Net rating
+1.1
105.7
Offensive rating
99.6
104.1
Defensive rating
98.6
51.3%
Effective FG%
53.4%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
14.2%
Turnover %
18.8%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.4%
3-point %
30.7%
55.4%
Assist %
60.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 99.6Defence104.1 · 98.6Shooting51.3% · 53.4%3-point %35.4% · 30.7%Ball care14.2% · 18.8%Off. rebounds36.3% · 32.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Udine   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Udine wins
0
Varese wins
DateGameScore
23/11/25Varese v Udine59-66
Udinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26AVirtus Bologna86-90
08/02/26HSassari92-79
31/01/26ATortona80-79
25/01/26ABrescia80-83
18/01/26HReggiana85-90
11/01/26HCremona82-75
04/01/26AOlimpia Milano84-85
27/12/25ATrento82-75
21/12/25HTreviso86-79
14/12/25ATrapani73-91
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HBrescia98-96
08/02/26ATrento78-84
01/02/26HReggiana61-76
26/01/26AOlimpia Milano84-74
18/01/26HVenezia94-106
11/01/26ATreviso83-86
03/01/26HBasket Napoli84-80
28/12/25ATrapani95-88
21/12/25HTrieste84-69
14/12/25ABrescia94-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Udine
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeWWWLW44%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %40%44%36%
Points / game81.683.680.0
Allowed / game81.882.880.9
Point differential-0.1+0.8-0.9
Avg total163.3166.3160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%11%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won11% (9)0% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %10%11%9%
Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWWLLW40%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game82.578.386.7
Allowed / game86.583.789.4
Point differential-4.0-5.4-2.7
Avg total169.1162.0176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2118386%82.974.3+8.6
2 Brescia2015575%88.883.7+5.1
3 Olimpia Milano2014670%84.877.5+7.2
4 Venezia2014670%91.285.3+5.8
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona2013765%88.086.8+1.3
7 Trieste20101050%84.587.8-3.2
8 Trento21101148%83.081.2+1.8
9 Reggiana2081240%80.880.2+0.6
10 Udine2081240%81.681.8-0.1
11 Cremona2081240%82.185.2-3.0
12 Varese2081240%82.586.5-4.0
13 Sassari2181338%85.588.0-2.6
14 Basket Napoli2071335%83.186.6-3.5
15 Cantu2051525%83.489.4-6.0
16 Treviso2031715%81.090.0-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Udine2121152481
Varese2818212592
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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