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Varese vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 94-106
25-31 34-18 18-35 17-22
Position#8
Record6-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Venezia 🏆
Italy
Position#5
Record10-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game86.4
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Varese v Venezia
22 Nov 2026
VAR v VEN
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
VAR94
VEN106
01 Dec 2024
VAR77
VEN86
14 Jan 2024
VAR92
VEN103
19 Nov 2022
VAR93
VEN90
15 Jan 2022
VAR76
VEN68
14 Apr 2021
VAR75
VEN77
17 Nov 2019
VAR93
VEN91
31 Mar 2019
VAR87
VEN79
01 Oct 2017
VAR62
VEN80
27 Dec 2016
VAR60
VEN73
10 Apr 2016
VAR79
VEN68
15 Feb 2015
VAR53
VEN67
27 Oct 2013
VAR84
VEN72
18 May 2013
VAR84
VEN75
12 May 2013
VAR81
VEN72
10 May 2013
VAR92
VEN74
13 Jan 2013
VAR85
VEN87
26 Nov 2011
VAR73
VEN67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
77avg 74
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
81avg 74
A09/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
91-82
91
82
+9
86avg 74
H16/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
59-66
59
66
-7
44avg 74
H23/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 74
A08/12
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
81avg 74
A14/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
76avg 74
H21/12
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 74
A28/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 74
H03/01
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
83-86
83
86
-3
70avg 74
A11/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
12-23
19-14
23-30
23-23
25-17
24-31
15-19
18-21
25-19
27-17
21-25
17-21
10-18
9-13
23-14
22-17
17-22
18-24
30-16
18-29
29-21
18-25
29-27
13-11
19-26
28-11
24-21
22-19
25-26
27-19
21-24
20-18
18-24
24-18
22-20
13-18
18-22
29-17
23-29
166.6Avg total
84.1Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.386.3168.7-4.040%
Season at home (7)75.779.9155.6-4.143%
Season away (8)88.192.0180.1-3.938%
Last 10 (10)84.182.5166.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)88.085.0173.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)80.393.7174.0-13.417%
vs Similar (12)86.784.7171.3+2.058%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Aris
#13
L
86-90
86
90
-4
82avg 83
A10/12
Eurocup
Trento
#9
L
90-96
90
96
-6
82avg 83
A13/12
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
90avg 83
H17/12
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#11
W
106-96
106
96
+10
112avg 83
H21/12
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
93-104
93
104
-11
85avg 83
A28/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#14
W
118-103
118
103
+15
122avg 83
A02/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#14
W
87-66
87
66
+21
76avg 83
H05/01
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
90-83
90
83
+7
80avg 83
H07/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
64avg 83
H11/01
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
103-76
103
76
+27
no box
H14/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-33
21-23
20-14
23-20
17-20
33-17
17-33
23-26
15-14
14-28
32-16
33-27
30-29
23-19
27-18
26-30
18-25
24-29
31-21
20-29
29-35
29-21
31-31
29-16
23-21
23-18
20-14
21-13
19-16
22-18
20-18
29-31
23-15
26-16
19-24
7-26
31-21
24-23
22-18
26-14
182.2Avg total
94.2Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)92.186.4178.5+5.767%
Season at home (8)91.078.8169.8+12.288%
Season away (7)93.495.1188.6-1.743%
Last 10 (10)94.288.0182.2+6.260%
Last 5 (5)94.681.8176.4+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.691.8167.4-16.20%
vs Similar (10)92.993.5186.4-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)94.580.4174.9+14.187%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
VareseVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A09/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H23/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/12
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A14/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/12
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/01
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A11/01
Lega A
79.8Avg total
38.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.284.0-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.840.076.8-3.236%-
Last 30 away (16)44.246.190.3-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.179.8-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.881.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.845.886.6-5.028%-
vs Similar (12)40.839.480.2+1.350%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#13
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A10/12
Eurocup
Trento
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A13/12
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H17/12
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#11
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H21/12
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A28/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#14
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A02/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#14
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H05/01
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H07/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H11/01
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H14/01
Eurocup
90.7Avg total
46.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.143.188.3+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.738.985.6+7.780%-
Last 30 away (15)43.647.390.9-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)46.644.190.7+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)49.840.890.6+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.042.282.2-2.220%-
vs Similar (10)44.345.589.8-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.441.989.3+5.573%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.6
56.1%
54.1%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.79.6
30.3%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.811.3
71.5%
76.1%11.3
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.023.4
58.5%
54.1%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.8
36.0%
34.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.817.0
74.6%
76.1%17.0
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWWWLWLWLL
Venezia
WLWWWLWWLL
#8
League position
#5
+1.8
Net rating
+4.9
102.5
Offensive rating
115.1
100.7
Defensive rating
110.2
51.3%
Effective FG%
56.7%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
18.9%
Turnover %
14.2%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.3%
3-point %
36.0%
61.2%
Assist %
65.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 115.1Defence100.7 · 110.2Shooting51.3% · 56.7%3-point %30.3% · 36.0%Ball care18.9% · 14.2%Off. rebounds31.8% · 26.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Varese wins
7
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
02/11/25Venezia v Varese86-75
11/05/25Venezia v Varese83-64
01/12/24Varese v Venezia77-86
14/01/24Varese v Venezia92-103
29/10/23Venezia v Varese102-88
23/04/23Venezia v Varese92-81
19/11/22Varese v Venezia93-90
13/02/22Venezia v Varese82-93
15/01/22Varese v Venezia76-68
14/04/21Varese v Venezia75-77
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26ATreviso83-86
03/01/26HBasket Napoli84-80
28/12/25ATrapani95-88
21/12/25HTrieste84-69
14/12/25ABrescia94-102
08/12/25ACremona87-79
23/11/25HUdine59-66
16/11/25HCantu91-82
09/11/25ATortona87-90
04/11/25HVirtus Bologna77-83
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HSlask Wroclaw103-76
11/01/26HVirtus Bologna75-81
07/01/26HCluj-Napoca90-83
05/01/26HTreviso87-66
02/01/26ANeptunas118-103
28/12/25ABrescia93-104
21/12/25HBasket Napoli106-96
17/12/25HBahcesehir Kol.94-85
13/12/25ATrento90-96
10/12/25AAris86-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL40%
HomeLWLWW43%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%43%38%
Points / game82.375.788.1
Allowed / game86.379.992.0
Point differential-4.0-4.1-3.9
Avg total168.7155.6180.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL67%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%88%43%
Points / game92.191.093.4
Allowed / game86.478.895.1
Point differential+5.7+12.2-1.7
Avg total178.5169.8188.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%62%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1513287%81.172.5+8.7
2 Brescia1512380%90.183.7+6.3
3 Olimpia Milano1612475%86.177.4+8.8
4 Venezia1510567%92.186.4+5.7
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona1610662%87.987.4+0.6
7 Trieste157847%84.088.3-4.3
8 Trento167944%81.179.3+1.8
9 Cremona167944%82.983.9-1.0
10 Udine156940%80.680.9-0.3
11 Basket Napoli156940%85.586.2-0.7
12 Sassari156940%85.588.4-2.9
13 Varese156940%82.386.3-4.0
14 Reggiana1541127%79.782.7-3.0
15 Cantu1531220%82.891.2-8.4
16 Treviso1531220%82.791.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2534181794
Venezia31183522106
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