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Udine vs Varese Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#5
Record4-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game88.2
ItalyLega ARound 26· PalaCarnera
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Udine v Varese
11 Apr 2027
UDI v VAR
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
UDI81
VAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Udine win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Varese win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UdineItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUdine
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
L
82-92
82
92
-10
68avg 69
A18/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
95-83
95
83
+12
94avg 69
H25/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
69-76
69
76
-7
54avg 69
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
71-98
71
98
-27
57avg 69
A10/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
87-63
87
63
+24
88avg 69
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
78avg 69
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#10
L
66-74
66
74
-8
59avg 69
H10/10
Lega A
Treviso
#3
L
86-102
86
102
-16
77avg 69
A18/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
63avg 69
A25/10
Lega A
Tortona
#14
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H01/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
24-21
24-21
15-26
19-17
25-21
27-24
24-21
15-27
29-16
15-22
10-11
21-16
15-26
22-29
13-27
19-11
28-17
23-14
17-21
18-20
18-16
22-20
19-21
21-23
12-15
17-16
16-20
27-24
20-24
18-26
21-28
19-22
21-13
18-24
17-22
19-14
21-19
17-20
29-24
163.2Avg total
80.2Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.880.2161.0+0.750%
Season at home (3)79.771.3151.0+8.367%
Season away (3)82.089.0171.0-7.033%
Last 10 (10)80.283.0163.2-2.840%
Last 5 (5)79.683.6163.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.888.8174.6-3.022%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.482.7161.1-4.239%
vs Weaker (3)86.074.7160.7+11.3100%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-104
85
104
-19
70avg 77
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
50avg 77
H27/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 77
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#8
L
58-85
58
85
-27
44avg 77
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#11
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 77
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 77
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#10
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 77
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#12
W
110-103 OT
110
103
+7
106avg 77
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
95-61
95
61
+34
92avg 77
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#8
W
99-88
99
88
+11
no box
A31/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
21-22
31-29
16-26
21-26
18-21
19-21
11-22
24-17
16-21
30-24
15-15
8-16
14-23
20-27
16-19
19-15
21-23
21-20
24-26
27-26
25-11
12-27
18-21
17-23
24-26
21-23
23-15
32-28
17-17
17-22
29-28
22-10
24-16
29-17
20-18
25-23
25-21
23-27
26-17
171.7Avg total
85.3Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.888.2177.0+0.767%
Season at home (3)88.092.3180.3-4.367%
Season away (3)89.784.0173.7+5.767%
Last 10 (10)85.386.4171.7-1.150%
Last 5 (5)94.284.8179.0+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.490.3173.6-6.936%
vs Similar ◀ (17)86.685.4172.0+1.259%
vs Weaker (2)90.069.0159.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Udine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
UdineVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UdineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A18/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H25/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A10/05
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#16
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#10
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H10/10
Lega A
Treviso
#3
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/10
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A25/10
Lega A
Tortona
#14
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H01/11
Lega A
79.6Avg total
41.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.880.9+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.238.980.1+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.140.781.7+0.440%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.679.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.077.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.742.484.1-0.856%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.939.780.6+1.250%-
vs Weaker (3)41.032.373.3+8.767%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#8
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#5
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#10
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#12
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A31/10
Lega A
82.9Avg total
41.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.483.5-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.842.184.9+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)39.642.782.3-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.282.9+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.287.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.545.386.7-3.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.641.882.5-1.247%-
vs Weaker (2)43.032.075.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Udine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Udinetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Udine: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.9
52.9%
54.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.88.2
25.8%
34.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.9
75.0%
74.4%12.9
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.4
50.6%
54.3%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.6
35.1%
34.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws23.916.5
69.0%
74.4%16.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Udine
WLLLWWLLWL
Varese
WWWLLWLWLL
#7
League position
#5
-7.2
Net rating
-1.4
88.2
Offensive rating
89.8
95.4
Defensive rating
91.2
46.4%
Effective FG%
51.5%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
13.5%
Turnover %
18.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.37
25.8%
3-point %
35.1%
60.9%
Assist %
68.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.2 · 89.8Defence95.4 · 91.2Shooting46.4% · 51.5%3-point %25.8% · 35.1%Ball care13.5% · 18.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Udine   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Udine wins
1
Varese wins
DateGameScore
08/03/26Udine v Varese81-92
23/11/25Varese v Udine59-66
Udinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HTortona86-77
25/10/26AMaxima Roma75-81
18/10/26ATreviso86-102
10/10/26HTrento66-74
05/10/26ACantu85-84 OT
27/09/26HScafati87-63
10/05/26ABasket Napoli71-98
03/05/26HTrento69-76
25/04/26HCantu95-83
18/04/26ATreviso82-92
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AVerona99-88
27/10/26ABamberg95-61
24/10/26HBC Roma110-103 OT
18/10/26ATrento85-87
13/10/26HPeristeri82-85
10/10/26HTrieste85-84
07/10/26AMurcia58-85
04/10/26AScafati85-77
27/09/26HVirtus Bologna69-90
10/05/26AVirtus Bologna85-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Udine
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game80.879.782.0
Allowed / game80.271.389.0
Point differential+0.7+8.3-7.0
Avg total161.0151.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Varese
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game88.888.089.7
Allowed / game88.292.384.0
Point differential+0.7-4.3+5.7
Avg total177.0180.3173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli65183%94.286.2+8.0
3 Treviso65183%93.288.8+4.3
4 Maxima Roma64267%86.383.2+3.2
5 Varese64267%88.888.2+0.7
6 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
7 Udine63350%80.880.2+0.7
8 Verona63350%89.790.5-0.8
9 Venezia63350%88.790.3-1.7
10 Trento63350%79.582.8-3.3
11 Trieste52340%89.085.2+3.8
12 BC Roma62433%100.296.5+3.7
13 Reggiana62433%82.383.8-1.5
14 Tortona61517%83.293.5-10.3
15 Scafati61517%80.392.2-11.8
16 Cantu5050%73.888.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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