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Treviso vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-83
18-13 22-18 17-29 29-23
Position#14
Record2-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game92.1
Treviso 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record6-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game86.4
ItalyLega ARound 15· PalaVerde
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Treviso v Varese
14 Feb 2027
TRV v VAR
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
TRV86
VAR83
23 Mar 2025
TRV88
VAR86
06 Jan 2024
TRV96
VAR101
02 Apr 2023
TRV95
VAR97
31 Oct 2021
TRV96
VAR78
18 Apr 2021
TRV94
VAR103
05 Jan 2020
TRV79
VAR84
25 Apr 2012
TRV55
VAR71
06 Nov 2010
TRV67
VAR72
21 Nov 2009
TRV86
VAR94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
100-107
100
107
-7
96avg 75
H01/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
87avg 75
A07/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
63-87
63
87
-24
57avg 75
A09/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-101
79
101
-22
65avg 75
H17/11
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
A22/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
68avg 75
H07/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
86-81
86
81
+5
80avg 75
H14/12
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
79-86
79
86
-7
67avg 75
A21/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
89-92
89
92
-3
82avg 75
H28/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
66-87
66
87
-21
62avg 75
A05/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
24-33
23-34
23-15
23-24
18-19
21-22
27-23
13-25
16-21
16-21
18-20
25-26
20-25
9-18
25-32
24-20
10-19
18-20
16-22
26-19
13-28
22-22
21-20
20-24
25-17
12-13
29-27
21-24
19-21
21-21
18-20
18-18
19-24
24-26
28-24
21-23
18-23
14-20
13-21
170.0Avg total
80.1Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.492.1174.6-9.714%
Season at home (7)87.994.0181.9-6.114%
Season away (7)77.090.3167.3-13.314%
Last 10 (10)80.189.9170.0-9.820%
Last 5 (5)80.487.0167.4-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)81.392.1173.4-10.812%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.989.9172.8-7.020%
vs Weaker (4)89.887.2177.0+2.575%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 74
A02/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
77avg 74
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
81avg 74
A09/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
91-82
91
82
+9
86avg 74
H16/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
59-66
59
66
-7
44avg 74
H23/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 74
A08/12
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
81avg 74
A14/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
76avg 74
H21/12
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 74
A28/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 74
H03/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
16-21
18-19
18-21
23-16
12-23
19-14
23-30
23-23
25-17
24-31
15-19
18-21
25-19
27-17
21-25
17-21
10-18
9-13
23-14
22-17
17-22
18-24
30-16
18-29
29-21
18-25
29-27
13-11
19-26
28-11
24-21
22-19
25-26
27-19
21-24
20-18
18-24
24-18
22-20
165.8Avg total
83.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.386.4168.6-4.143%
Season at home (7)75.779.9155.6-4.143%
Season away (7)88.992.9181.7-4.043%
Last 10 (10)83.382.5165.8+0.850%
Last 5 (5)88.883.6172.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)80.993.5174.4-12.621%
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.084.5171.5+2.564%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
TrevisoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H01/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A07/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A09/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H17/11
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A22/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H14/12
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A21/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A05/01
Lega A
86.1Avg total
40.3Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.646.188.7-3.523%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.443.787.1-0.336%-
Last 30 away (16)41.948.190.0-6.212%-
Last 10 (10)40.345.886.1-5.510%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.284.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.745.487.1-3.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.446.189.5-2.730%-
vs Weaker (4)44.248.592.8-4.250%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A02/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A09/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H23/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/12
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A14/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/12
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/01
Lega A
81.2Avg total
39.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.384.9-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.140.278.3-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)45.146.591.6-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.781.2-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.683.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)41.645.687.2-4.132%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.639.481.0+2.355%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.2
48.9%
54.1%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.8
34.5%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.819.4
78.2%
76.1%19.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.3
54.7%
54.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.610.1
31.0%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws15.111.4
75.5%
76.1%11.4
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
LLLWLLLLWL
Varese
WWWLWLWLLL
#14
League position
#8
-13.6
Net rating
+0.6
107.2
Offensive rating
103.6
120.8
Defensive rating
103.0
50.1%
Effective FG%
50.9%
59.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
18.8%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.5%
3-point %
31.0%
61.5%
Assist %
62.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 103.6Defence120.8 · 103.0Shooting50.1% · 50.9%3-point %34.5% · 31.0%Ball care18.7% · 18.8%Off. rebounds29.2% · 30.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Treviso   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Treviso wins
5
Varese wins
DateGameScore
23/03/25Treviso v Varese88-86
12/01/25Varese v Treviso92-89
28/04/24Varese v Treviso95-100
06/01/24Treviso v Varese96-101
02/04/23Treviso v Varese95-97
30/10/22Varese v Treviso87-85
10/04/22Varese v Treviso80-89
31/10/21Treviso v Varese96-78
18/04/21Treviso v Varese94-103
27/12/20Varese v Treviso79-80
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/26AVenezia66-87
28/12/25HSassari89-92
21/12/25AUdine79-86
14/12/25HCantu86-81
07/12/25HTrapani82-89
22/11/25ATrento68-81
17/11/25HVirtus Bologna79-101
09/11/25AOlimpia Milano63-87
07/11/25AReggiana89-88
01/11/25HTrieste100-107
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HBasket Napoli84-80
28/12/25ATrapani95-88
21/12/25HTrieste84-69
14/12/25ABrescia94-102
08/12/25ACremona87-79
23/11/25HUdine59-66
16/11/25HCantu91-82
09/11/25ATortona87-90
04/11/25HVirtus Bologna77-83
02/11/25AVenezia75-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL14%
HomeLLLWL14%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %14%14%14%
Points / game82.487.977.0
Allowed / game92.194.090.3
Point differential-9.7-6.1-13.3
Avg total174.6181.9167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW43%
HomeLWLWW43%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game82.375.788.9
Allowed / game86.479.992.9
Point differential-4.1-4.1-4.0
Avg total168.6155.6181.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1412286%81.172.3+8.9
2 Brescia1411379%89.983.6+6.4
3 Olimpia Milano1410471%86.777.8+8.9
4 Venezia1410471%93.486.8+6.6
5 Tortona1410471%88.887.1+1.7
6 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
7 Trento157847%80.878.3+2.5
8 Basket Napoli146843%86.686.9-0.3
9 Cremona146843%82.683.9-1.3
10 Varese146843%82.386.4-4.1
11 Trieste146843%84.088.9-4.9
12 Sassari156940%85.588.4-2.9
13 Udine145936%80.581.4-0.9
14 Reggiana1541127%79.782.7-3.0
15 Cantu1431121%83.191.7-8.6
16 Treviso1421214%82.492.1-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviso1822172986
Varese1318292383
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