PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valencia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 103-94
26-23 23-23 26-25 28-23
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game77.0
Valencia 🏆
vs
Virtus Bologna
Position#17
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game68.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 2· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2025
Meetings · Valencia v Virtus Bologna
19 Nov 2026
VAL v VIR
upcoming
03 Oct 2025
VAL103
VIR94
21 Dec 2023
VAL79
VIR71
06 Apr 2023
VAL79
VIR68
04 May 2022
VAL73
VIR83
09 Feb 2022
VAL83
VIR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
W
102-94 OT
102
94
+8
94avg 91
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
83-65
83
65
+18
80avg 91
H10/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
105-74
105
74
+31
105avg 91
H12/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
94-87
94
87
+7
90avg 91
A14/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
56avg 91
A20/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
86avg 91
A22/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
56avg 91
H25/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
86avg 91
A27/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
98-94
98
94
+4
87avg 91
A28/09
Supercopa ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-77
80
77
+3
75avg 91
A01/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
27-22
24-26
23-18
23-19
24-18
20-22
16-6
23-10
32-25
20-22
30-17
20-29
19-16
33-15
22-27
15-19
17-16
28-29
15-25
25-22
20-26
23-21
21-20
19-23
21-16
9-21
21-21
18-26
25-18
30-27
20-16
24-27
27-17
18-25
29-25
19-18
15-17
26-26
20-16
174.6Avg total
89.6Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.077.0157.0+3.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)80.077.0157.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.685.0174.6+4.670%
Last 5 (5)87.488.2175.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)82.592.0174.5-9.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)96.182.1178.2+14.083%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
77avg 78
H27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
68-67
68
67
+1
62avg 78
H31/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
66-85
66
85
-19
57avg 78
H02/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
78-68
78
68
+10
76avg 78
A05/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
84avg 78
A07/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
90-87
90
87
+3
89avg 78
H12/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
75-65
75
65
+10
70avg 78
H14/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
96-74
96
74
+22
96avg 78
A17/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
74avg 78
H27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
66avg 78
H30/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
19-18
24-26
21-19
17-13
13-20
22-18
16-16
20-27
15-17
23-22
8-19
25-15
15-20
14-19
24-14
19-29
23-15
23-15
19-19
20-23
21-22
22-22
27-20
22-21
17-11
19-19
17-14
28-15
22-13
26-23
20-23
22-20
23-22
19-17
19-24
14-19
24-16
17-15
19-18
157.2Avg total
80.3Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.068.0142.0+6.0100%
Season at home (1)74.068.0142.0+6.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.376.9157.2+3.480%
Last 5 (5)84.277.4161.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)70.081.8151.8-11.825%
vs Similar (12)82.276.8158.9+5.483%
vs Weaker (13)86.976.5163.4+10.569%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
ValenciaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H12/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A14/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A20/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A22/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H25/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A27/09
Supercopa ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A28/09
Supercopa ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A01/10
Euroleague
83.7Avg total
42.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.541.085.5+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.740.785.4+4.071%-
Last 30 away (16)44.241.385.6+2.944%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.883.7+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.084.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)40.242.082.2-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.840.886.6+5.067%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H31/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H02/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A05/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A07/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A17/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/09
Euroleague
77.8Avg total
40.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.680.0+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.638.278.8+2.469%-
Last 30 away (14)42.439.181.4+3.350%-
Last 10 (10)40.137.777.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.479.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.045.279.2-11.225%-
vs Similar (12)41.238.679.8+2.750%-
vs Weaker (13)43.636.379.9+7.377%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.4
52.3%
60.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.811.8
34.9%
35.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws19.716.0
81.2%
78.2%16.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.3
55.6%
60.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.6
33.9%
35.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.716.3
82.7%
78.2%16.3
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWLLLWWWW
Virtus Bologna
WLWWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#17
+4.5
Net rating
+5.9
115.5
Offensive rating
116.8
111.0
Defensive rating
110.9
52.3%
Effective FG%
53.8%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.7%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.9%
3-point %
33.9%
56.6%
Assist %
59.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 116.8Defence111.0 · 110.9Shooting52.3% · 53.8%3-point %34.9% · 33.9%Ball care15.6% · 16.7%Off. rebounds33.2% · 33.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
3
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
29/02/24Virtus Bologna v Valencia87-74
21/12/23Valencia v Virtus Bologna79-71
06/04/23Valencia v Virtus Bologna79-68
17/11/22Virtus Bologna v Valencia89-59
04/05/22Valencia v Virtus Bologna73-83
09/02/22Valencia v Virtus Bologna83-77
10/11/21Virtus Bologna v Valencia96-97
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne80-77
28/09/25AReal Madrid98-94
27/09/25AUnicaja93-87
25/06/25HReal Madrid70-81
22/06/25AReal Madrid96-102 OT
20/06/25AReal Madrid75-89
14/06/25ATenerife94-87
12/06/25HTenerife105-74
10/06/25HTenerife83-65
04/06/25AGran Canaria102-94 OT
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/25HReal Madrid74-68
27/09/25HOlimpia Milano86-93 OT
17/06/25ABrescia96-74
14/06/25HBrescia75-65
12/06/25HBrescia90-87
07/06/25AOlimpia Milano84-78
05/06/25AOlimpia Milano78-68
02/06/25HOlimpia Milano66-85
31/05/25HOlimpia Milano68-67
27/05/25HVenezia86-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game77.0-77.0
Point differential+3.0-+3.0
Avg total157.0-157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+6.0+6.0-
Avg total142.0142.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv220100%95.084.0+11.0
2 Virtus Bologna110100%74.068.0+6.0
3 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%86.582.5+4.0
4 Valencia110100%80.077.0+3.0
5 Monaco21150%93.585.0+8.5
6 Fenerbahce21150%88.580.5+8.0
7 Olimpia Milano21150%85.081.0+4.0
8 Real Madrid21150%78.575.5+3.0
9 Lyon-Villeurbanne21150%89.587.5+2.0
10 Anadolu Efes21150%83.082.5+0.5
11 Bayern21150%88.087.5+0.5
12 Panathinaikos21150%91.591.0+0.5
13 Olympiacos21150%89.592.5-3.0
14 Barcelona21150%95.099.5-4.5
15 Dubai21150%85.089.5-4.5
16 Partizan21150%78.083.5-5.5
17 Baskonia2020%95.5102.0-6.5
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv1010%78.085.0-7.0
19 Crvena zvezda2020%85.094.5-9.5
20 Paris1010%77.096.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia26232628103
Virtus Bologna2323252394
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.