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Vytis VDU vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-77
18-18 28-13 18-21 19-25
Position#4
Record15-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game84.5
Vytis VDU 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
Position#8
Record11-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game77.9
LithuaniaNKL· Sakiu sporto centras
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vytis VDU v Ukmerges Stekas
21 Jan 2027
VYTI v UKME
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
VYTI81
UKME66
09 Jan 2025
VYTI83
UKME77
23 Dec 2023
VYTI75
UKME79
22 Nov 2022
VYTI85
UKME83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vytis VDU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vytis VDULithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVDU
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
94-74
94
74
+20
87avg 82
H16/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
87-82
87
82
+5
87avg 82
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
80-82
80
82
-2
71avg 82
H05/12
NKL
Silute
#12
W
96-88
96
88
+8
93avg 82
A07/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
96-84
96
84
+12
92avg 82
H10/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
86-90
86
90
-4
75avg 82
A12/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
108-91
108
91
+17
102avg 82
H14/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
84-79
84
79
+5
72avg 82
A17/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
84-77
84
77
+7
86avg 82
H21/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
73-88
73
88
-15
66avg 82
A04/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-10
15-16
27-19
23-29
24-19
24-19
15-23
24-21
26-23
18-12
14-25
22-22
28-28
19-18
22-18
27-24
25-23
22-16
27-30
22-15
24-27
20-26
21-27
21-10
19-25
34-20
26-21
29-25
20-14
20-26
17-21
27-18
32-14
19-21
11-20
22-22
20-26
15-18
19-21
19-23
172.3Avg total
88.8Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)89.484.5173.9+4.962%
Season at home (13)90.584.5174.9+6.069%
Season away (11)88.284.5172.7+3.655%
Last 10 (10)88.883.5172.3+5.370%
Last 5 (5)87.085.0172.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)108.0100.0208.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (18)88.689.3177.9-0.750%
vs Weaker (11)94.583.8178.4+10.773%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
77-92
77
92
-15
68avg 70
A23/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
79-84
79
84
-5
80avg 70
H28/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
60avg 70
A30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 70
A05/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 70
H07/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
101-79
101
79
+22
110avg 70
H10/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
68-59
68
59
+9
61avg 70
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
51avg 70
A19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
76-58
76
58
+18
77avg 70
H21/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
71-60
71
60
+11
58avg 70
H04/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
16-16
15-24
22-27
17-11
18-16
22-27
22-30
16-25
20-21
23-20
12-17
14-25
18-22
17-19
21-19
24-26
13-23
23-21
14-16
21-19
24-20
31-13
25-27
21-16
19-10
17-19
11-14
18-22
21-24
8-10
15-12
21-13
17-12
21-19
17-14
10-9
21-20
22-12
18-19
150.3Avg total
74.9Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.577.9154.4-1.444%
Season at home (13)78.776.2154.9+2.562%
Season away (12)74.179.8153.8-5.725%
Last 10 (10)74.975.4150.3-0.540%
Last 5 (5)75.664.8140.4+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.080.0158.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (23)75.377.7153.0-2.335%
vs Weaker (5)84.678.6163.2+6.060%
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
Vytis VDUUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Vytis VDULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H16/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H05/12
NKL
Silute
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A07/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H10/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A12/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H14/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A17/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H21/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A04/01
NKL
85.4Avg total
45.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.886.4+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.340.785.0+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.144.887.9-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)45.340.185.4+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.488.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.143.385.4-1.339%-
vs Weaker (11)46.542.388.7+4.264%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A05/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H07/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H10/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H21/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H04/01
NKL
74.8Avg total
37.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.276.8-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.136.173.2+1.056%-
Last 30 away (14)38.142.880.9-4.729%-
Last 10 (10)37.337.574.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.071.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.043.077.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)37.339.576.9-2.243%-
vs Weaker (5)40.036.476.4+3.660%-
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vytis VDUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vytis VDU: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.124.4
58.0%
52.5%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.1
34.7%
32.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.211.9
69.2%
70.5%11.9
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.8
52.4%
52.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.0
30.5%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.89.7
65.5%
70.5%9.7
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vytis VDU
LWWWLWWLWW
Ukmerges Stekas
WWLWWLLLLL
#4
League position
#8
+7.1
Net rating
+0.1
113.9
Offensive rating
101.6
106.8
Defensive rating
101.5
55.7%
Effective FG%
49.4%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
16.3%
Turnover %
20.4%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.7%
3-point %
30.5%
60.9%
Assist %
68.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 101.6Defence106.8 · 101.5Shooting55.7% · 49.4%3-point %34.7% · 30.5%Ball care16.3% · 20.4%Off. rebounds30.1% · 35.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Vytis VDU   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Vytis VDU wins
1
Ukmerges Stekas wins
DateGameScore
10/10/24Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU88-95
23/12/23Vytis VDU v Ukmerges Stekas75-79
04/11/23Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU89-96
10/12/22Ukmerges Stekas v Vytis VDU80-84 OT
22/11/22Vytis VDU v Ukmerges Stekas85-83
Vytis VDUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25ABC Olimpas Palanga73-88
21/12/24HPlunges Olimpas84-77
17/12/24AZalgiris Kaunas 284-79
14/12/24HAlytaus Alytus108-91
12/12/24AKretinga86-90
10/12/24HSuduva-Mantinga96-84
07/12/24ASilute96-88
05/12/24HVilkaviskis80-82
30/11/24HNeptunas 287-82
16/11/24HSilute94-74
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HPlunges Olimpas71-60
21/12/24HKretinga76-58
19/12/24ATelsiai62-68
14/12/24HRytas 268-59
10/12/24HDelikatesas Joniskis101-79
07/12/24HSuduva-Mantinga74-86
05/12/24ABC Olimpas Palanga70-85
30/11/24ASilute71-83
28/11/24HAlytaus Alytus79-84
23/11/24AOmega-Tauras77-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vytis VDU
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayWWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %62%69%55%
Points / game89.490.588.2
Allowed / game84.584.584.5
Point differential+4.9+6.0+3.6
Avg total173.9174.9172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%31%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %8%8%9%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW44%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game76.578.774.1
Allowed / game77.976.279.8
Point differential-1.4+2.5-5.7
Avg total154.4154.9153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%31%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas2317674%82.078.7+3.2
2 BC Olimpas Palanga2518772%81.771.8+10.0
3 Telsiai2518772%85.077.4+7.6
4 Omega-Tauras2516964%81.379.2+2.1
5 Vytis VDU2415962%89.484.5+4.9
6 Vilkaviskis26161062%82.477.2+5.3
7 Neptunas 224141058%79.378.4+0.9
8 Zalgiris Kaunas 223131057%79.676.3+3.3
9 Suduva-Mantinga25141156%82.378.4+3.9
10 Silute25111444%80.881.8-1.0
11 Ukmerges Stekas25111444%76.577.9-1.4
12 Rytas 22591636%79.582.8-3.3
13 Alytaus Alytus2591636%80.888.7-7.9
14 Plunges Olimpas2481633%77.281.8-4.5
15 Kretinga2571828%77.684.4-6.8
16 Delikatesas Joniskis251244%77.693.5-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vytis VDU1828181983
Ukmerges Stekas1813212577
← all games of the day
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