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Neptunas 2 vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-70
23-18 20-20 16-21 18-11
Position#4
Record18-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game77.4
Neptunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
Position#16
Record8-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game89.1
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2025-26
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas
16 Jan 2027
NEPT v UKME
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
NEPT77
UKME70
13 Dec 2025
NEPT92
UKME93
12 Oct 2024
NEPT85
UKME67
24 Feb 2024
NEPT78
UKME75
19 Oct 2023
NEPT72
UKME67
23 Feb 2023
NEPT90
UKME89
14 Jan 2023
NEPT53
UKME62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
109-68
109
68
+41
no box
H15/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
90-65
90
65
+25
no box
A17/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 71
H20/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
77-56
77
56
+21
71avg 71
A22/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 71
H24/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
96-59
96
59
+37
104avg 71
H29/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 71
A31/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
88-89
88
89
-1
81avg 71
H05/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
60-98
60
98
-38
51avg 71
A07/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
83-64
83
64
+19
84avg 71
H14/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
26-14
30-12
30-25
18-21
24-18
25-11
23-15
16-16
17-29
27-15
20-19
17-17
20-16
19-16
21-7
22-23
17-22
23-20
22-17
17-22
25-18
24-11
30-8
24-25
19-20
26-15
19-17
12-30
28-19
27-27
21-13
12-31
15-24
14-15
19-28
27-18
18-13
18-17
20-16
159.2Avg total
85.5Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.177.4156.5+1.855%
Season at home (17)81.176.9157.9+4.253%
Season away (16)77.177.9154.9-0.856%
Last 10 (10)85.573.7159.2+11.880%
Last 5 (5)83.077.4160.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.591.0157.5-24.50%
vs Similar (13)73.779.1152.8-5.454%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.073.3157.3+10.767%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
84-81
84
81
+3
80avg 71
A11/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
79-113
79
113
-34
no box
A15/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
54-91
54
91
-37
no box
H17/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
83avg 71
H22/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
90-85
90
85
+5
89avg 71
A24/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
71-88
71
88
-17
54avg 71
H27/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
63-78
63
78
-15
48avg 71
A29/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
62-83
62
83
-21
53avg 71
H05/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
62-80
62
80
-18
55avg 71
H07/02
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
58avg 71
H10/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
26-18
17-20
25-13
22-22
14-33
17-32
26-26
12-25
11-27
16-19
15-20
13-22
16-20
26-21
26-18
15-13
26-21
26-29
23-22
16-24
15-19
21-18
19-27
12-23
20-21
14-19
17-15
20-19
15-25
16-21
11-18
21-17
17-16
12-21
12-26
9-22
21-18
15-29
25-12
160.0Avg total
72.9Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.289.1168.3-9.925%
Season at home (16)76.886.6163.4-9.931%
Season away (16)81.791.6173.3-9.919%
Last 10 (10)72.987.1160.0-14.230%
Last 5 (5)65.682.0147.6-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)80.489.3169.8-8.929%
vs Similar (2)72.588.0160.5-15.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
Neptunas 2Ukmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H15/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A17/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H20/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A22/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H24/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H29/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A31/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H05/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A07/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H14/02
NKL
81.0Avg total
39.7Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.340.176.4-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.539.977.5-2.433%-
Last 30 away (15)35.140.375.4-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.381.0-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.083.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.551.584.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (13)34.439.974.3-5.523%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.538.777.3-0.240%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A11/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A15/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
23-52
23
52
-29
H17/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H22/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A24/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H27/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A29/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H05/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/02
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H10/02
NKL
77.2Avg total
33.7Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.944.382.2-6.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.342.881.1-4.540%-
Last 30 away (15)37.545.883.3-8.313%-
Last 10 (10)33.743.577.2-9.820%-
Last 5 (5)33.240.874.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)37.644.181.8-6.529%-
vs Similar (2)41.546.588.0-5.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.2
56.1%
54.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.5
35.3%
32.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
69.3%13.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.820.0
47.8%
54.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.1
32.8%
32.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.310.0
61.3%
69.3%10.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
WLLWWWWWWW
Ukmerges Stekas
LLLLLWWLLW
#4
League position
#16
+10.4
Net rating
-10.5
97.2
Offensive rating
85.0
86.9
Defensive rating
95.5
54.8%
Effective FG%
48.3%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.3%
3-point %
32.8%
60.9%
Assist %
54.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 85.0Defence86.9 · 95.5Shooting54.8% · 48.3%3-point %35.3% · 32.8%Ball care16.5% · 16.0%Off. rebounds- · 22.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas 2 wins
5
Ukmerges Stekas wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas92-93 OT
11/10/25Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 270-91
20/02/25Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 284-77
11/01/25Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 291-74
12/10/24Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas85-67
24/02/24Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas78-75
01/02/24Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 279-75
09/12/23Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 278-64
19/10/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas72-67
23/02/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas90-89 OT
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HOmega-Tauras83-64
07/02/26ASuduva-Mantinga60-98
05/02/26HVytis VDU88-89
31/01/26AKretinga88-77
29/01/26HOmega-Tauras96-59
24/01/26HJurbarkas84-82
22/01/26ABC Olimpas Palanga77-56
20/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas 280-79
17/01/26APlunges Olimpas90-65
15/01/26HSilute109-68
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/26HKedainiu SC70-81
07/02/26HRytas 262-80
05/02/26HAlytaus Alytus62-83
29/01/26AVilkaviskis63-78
27/01/26HJurbarkas71-88
24/01/26AOmega-Tauras90-85
22/01/26HTelsiai94-91 OT
17/01/26HSuduva-Mantinga54-91
15/01/26AKretinga79-113
11/01/26APlunges Olimpas84-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeWWWLW53%
AwayWWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %55%53%56%
Points / game79.181.177.1
Allowed / game77.476.977.9
Point differential+1.8+4.2-0.8
Avg total156.5157.9154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%35%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)40% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLLLL31%
AwayLWLWL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %25%31%19%
Points / game79.276.881.7
Allowed / game89.186.691.6
Point differential-9.9-9.9-9.9
Avg total168.3163.4173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%6%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga3228488%90.575.1+15.4
2 Vytis VDU3223972%88.183.8+4.2
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 232211166%86.684.6+2.0
4 Kedainiu SC32201262%87.785.8+1.9
5 Vilkaviskis32181456%82.477.9+4.5
6 Mazeikiai32181456%84.180.7+3.4
7 Rytas 232181456%83.680.6+3.0
8 Telsiai32181456%84.884.4+0.3
9 Neptunas 233181555%79.177.4+1.8
10 Jurbarkas33171652%80.378.2+2.1
11 Kretinga33151845%84.086.0-2.0
12 Silute33141942%86.690.5-3.8
13 BC Olimpas Palanga33132039%80.184.2-4.1
14 Omega-Tauras33132039%84.688.8-4.2
15 Ukmerges Stekas3282425%79.289.1-9.9
16 Plunges Olimpas3382524%80.586.5-6.0
17 Alytaus Alytus3362718%78.886.6-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 22320161877
Ukmerges Stekas1820211170
← all games of the day
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