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Ulm vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 59-77
18-26 11-11 19-24 11-16
Position#4
Record14-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record19-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game75.6
GermanyBBLRound 18
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Ulm v Bayern
30 Apr 2027
ULM v BAY
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
ULM77
BAY81
24 Jun 2025
ULM53
BAY67
18 Jun 2025
ULM79
BAY64
08 Apr 2025
ULM109
BAY94
01 May 2024
ULM74
BAY81
02 Jun 2023
ULM104
BAY102
04 Apr 2023
ULM59
BAY77
06 May 2022
ULM65
BAY77
15 May 2021
ULM102
BAY104
09 Feb 2021
ULM77
BAY81
19 Apr 2020
ULM v BAY
upcoming
28 Sep 2018
ULM77
BAY83
30 Dec 2017
ULM75
BAY89
08 Apr 2017
ULM68
BAY83
04 Jan 2017
ULM57
BAY68
10 Feb 2016
ULM74
BAY65
07 Feb 2016
ULM91
BAY72
05 Apr 2015
ULM76
BAY87
06 Apr 2014
ULM59
BAY70
27 Jan 2013
ULM83
BAY75
04 Jan 2012
ULM76
BAY75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
77-97
77
97
-20
66avg 76
A14/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
82-62
82
62
+20
81avg 76
A03/03
BBL
Prometey
#2
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 76
H08/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
94-79
94
79
+15
90avg 76
H11/03
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
97-85
97
85
+12
92avg 76
H15/03
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 76
A18/03
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
W
85-78
85
78
+7
79avg 76
A22/03
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
93-76
93
76
+17
no box
H25/03
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
91-71
91
71
+20
88avg 76
H29/03
Eurocup
Gottingen
#7
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
no box
A01/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
21-19
19-29
17-26
12-20
27-11
20-12
23-19
21-20
18-20
17-24
22-19
24-28
22-25
25-16
23-10
30-26
23-15
19-20
25-24
14-22
23-10
22-15
9-29
27-24
27-11
11-24
20-19
22-15
30-24
15-18
26-19
23-15
22-17
17-21
29-18
23-22
28-18
25-13
13-36
168.1Avg total
87.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)88.185.2173.3+2.956%
Season at home (12)91.388.3179.7+3.058%
Season away (13)85.182.3167.4+2.854%
Last 10 (10)87.380.8168.1+6.570%
Last 5 (5)89.080.4169.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)87.096.2183.2-9.220%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.081.9168.9+5.175%
vs Weaker (17)88.282.6170.8+5.576%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
76-72
76
72
+4
62avg 73
H07/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
74-102
74
102
-28
67avg 73
A09/03
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
W
80-79
80
79
+1
83avg 73
A12/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#17
L
75-76
75
76
-1
64avg 73
H17/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
87-66
87
66
+21
87avg 73
H19/03
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
74-99
74
99
-25
56avg 73
A24/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 73
A26/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
76-86
76
86
-10
72avg 73
A28/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
79avg 73
H31/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
89-72
89
72
+17
87avg 73
H02/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
17-17
15-14
23-22
12-26
23-29
30-26
9-21
17-25
29-27
19-10
15-17
14-20
23-18
21-18
17-20
14-22
23-15
24-14
26-15
8-25
28-24
18-23
20-27
21-13
13-23
21-15
19-12
27-21
16-27
11-23
22-15
22-23
18-22
20-12
21-27
16-18
24-16
18-20
31-18
158.5Avg total
78.6Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.275.6157.8+6.676%
Season at home (13)85.275.8161.0+9.577%
Season away (12)78.975.3154.2+3.675%
Last 10 (10)78.679.9158.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)78.880.8159.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.182.9161.0-4.822%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.179.8158.9-0.750%
vs Weaker (11)83.576.3159.8+7.382%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
UlmBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A14/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A03/03
BBL
Prometey
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H11/03
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H15/03
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A18/03
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A22/03
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H25/03
BBL
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H29/03
Eurocup
Gottingen
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/04
BBL
84.2Avg total
45.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.642.586.1+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.244.990.1+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)41.940.282.1+1.747%-
Last 10 (10)45.738.584.2+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.835.683.4+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.244.285.4-3.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.842.888.5+3.050%-
vs Weaker (17)43.241.985.2+1.347%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A09/03
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A12/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#17
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H17/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H19/03
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A24/03
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A26/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A28/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H31/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H02/04
BBL
81.6Avg total
38.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.980.8-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.839.179.8+1.756%-
Last 30 away (14)39.042.981.9-3.921%-
Last 10 (10)38.643.081.6-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.481.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.742.381.0-3.722%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.039.579.5+0.540%-
vs Weaker (11)40.940.981.8+0.055%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.315.7
53.6%
54.4%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.812.4
36.7%
35.4%37.2
🏀 Free throws22.316.3
73.1%
75.8%16.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.116.5
53.1%
54.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.0
36.9%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.615.1
77.0%
75.8%15.1
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWLWWLWL
Bayern
WLLWLWLWLW
#4
League position
#3
+9.2
Net rating
-1.3
112.1
Offensive rating
113.0
102.9
Defensive rating
114.3
54.4%
Effective FG%
54.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.9%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.7%
3-point %
36.9%
62.6%
Assist %
59.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 113.0Defence102.9 · 114.3Shooting54.4% · 54.1%3-point %36.7% · 36.9%Ball care19.7% · 18.9%Off. rebounds32.3% · 32.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ulm wins
7
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
01/10/22Bayern v Ulm87-80
06/05/22Ulm v Bayern65-77
26/09/21Bayern v Ulm83-86 OT
15/05/21Ulm v Bayern102-104 OT
07/05/21Bayern v Ulm64-98
09/02/21Ulm v Bayern77-81
06/06/20Bayern v Ulm85-95
26/11/19Bayern v Ulm83-69
10/05/19Bayern v Ulm95-72
28/09/18Ulm v Bayern77-83
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23AGottingen108-101 OT
29/03/23HCluj-Napoca91-71
25/03/23HLudwigsburg93-76
22/03/23AJL Bourg85-78
18/03/23ACrailsheim Merlins68-76
15/03/23HCedevita Olimpija97-85
11/03/23HFrankfurt94-79
08/03/23HPrometey78-83
03/03/23AWurzburg82-62
14/02/23ABamberg77-97
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23HLudwigsburg89-72
31/03/23HMonaco81-84
28/03/23APanathinaikos76-86
26/03/23ABasketball Braunschweig74-63
24/03/23AOlimpia Milano74-99
19/03/23HSyntainics MBC87-66
17/03/23HAlba Berlin75-76
12/03/23ABayreuth80-79
09/03/23AOlympiacos74-102
07/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne76-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW56%
HomeLWWWW58%
AwayWLWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %56%58%54%
Points / game88.191.385.1
Allowed / game85.288.382.3
Point differential+2.9+3.0+2.8
Avg total173.3179.7167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%42%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %12%8%15%
Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWLLWW77%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %76%77%75%
Points / game82.285.278.9
Allowed / game75.675.875.3
Point differential+6.6+9.5+3.6
Avg total157.8161.0154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2624292%89.373.5+15.8
2 Alba Berlin2523292%89.478.6+10.8
3 Bayern2519676%82.275.6+6.6
4 Oldenburg2516964%84.981.7+3.2
5 Gottingen2314961%87.486.1+1.3
6 Ludwigsburg26151158%87.885.7+2.2
7 Ulm25141156%88.185.2+2.9
8 Wurzburg26141254%84.284.3-0.1
9 Rostock26131350%83.887.5-3.7
10 Bamberg27131448%87.487.1+0.3
11 Chemnitz25101540%83.483.8-0.3
12 Heidelberg26101638%86.790.2-3.4
13 Hamburg2691735%81.084.9-3.9
14 Crailsheim Merlins2691735%86.590.6-4.0
15 Syntainics MBC2691735%82.988.5-5.7
16 Basketball Braunschweig2671927%79.084.5-5.5
17 Frankfurt2662023%78.287.0-8.8
18 Bayreuth2552020%82.389.2-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm1811191159
Bayern2611241677
← all games of the day
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