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Ulm vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-76
24-18 25-20 19-16 21-22
Position#6
Record13-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game78.2
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#7
Record10-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game78.9
GermanyBBLRound 20
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Ulm v Hamburg
06 Feb 2027
ULM v HAM
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
ULM81
HAM72
02 Nov 2024
ULM82
HAM72
13 Feb 2024
ULM83
HAM70
09 Apr 2023
ULM112
HAM78
12 Dec 2021
ULM78
HAM74
03 Mar 2021
ULM89
HAM76
24 Nov 2019
ULM102
HAM69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
87-89
87
89
-2
88avg 81
A09/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
98-74
98
74
+24
no box
A17/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
102-63
102
63
+39
104avg 81
H24/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
104-92
104
92
+12
102avg 81
A30/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
70avg 81
H02/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
92-94
92
94
-2
88avg 81
A07/02
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
77-81
77
81
-4
65avg 81
H09/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
93-64
93
64
+29
94avg 81
H12/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
87-68
87
68
+19
88avg 81
A14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
102-73
102
73
+29
105avg 81
H27/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
29-22
23-23
18-27
29-14
20-27
22-19
27-14
23-8
25-17
29-21
25-17
34-26
17-26
34-23
19-17
18-27
21-15
15-12
26-22
30-31
24-15
17-21
21-27
23-21
15-19
16-18
23-23
22-18
24-16
30-17
17-13
23-20
21-20
21-11
22-17
31-13
29-16
15-29
27-15
169.6Avg total
92.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.178.2166.3+9.965%
Season at home (10)85.874.1159.9+11.770%
Season away (10)90.482.3172.7+8.160%
Last 10 (10)92.277.4169.6+14.870%
Last 5 (5)90.276.0166.2+14.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)78.781.0159.7-2.318%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.475.2163.6+13.284%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
65-86
65
86
-21
55avg 76
A29/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
92-74
92
74
+18
86avg 76
H02/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
89-72
89
72
+17
85avg 76
H10/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
62avg 76
A17/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
98-70
98
70
+28
104avg 76
H23/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
no box
H05/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
88-89
88
89
-1
89avg 76
A10/02
BBL
Bonn
#13
L
71-78
71
78
-7
55avg 76
H12/02
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
95-78
95
78
+17
87avg 76
A14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
67-73
67
73
-6
51avg 76
H28/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
14-16
15-18
15-21
24-16
25-11
24-29
19-18
26-15
27-20
18-13
18-24
19-21
18-27
17-16
17-21
31-18
22-20
21-14
24-18
17-25
24-21
27-21
18-19
25-30
25-20
22-23
16-16
21-19
19-16
13-23
18-20
23-30
18-16
31-21
23-11
20-18
17-19
18-14
12-22
162.8Avg total
82.8Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.278.9163.1+5.356%
Season at home (10)83.178.4161.5+4.750%
Season away (8)85.679.5165.1+6.162%
Last 10 (10)82.880.0162.8+2.840%
Last 5 (5)82.682.6165.2+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)82.589.1171.6-6.612%
vs Similar (4)82.581.8164.2+0.850%
vs Weaker (10)89.777.2166.9+12.580%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
UlmHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A09/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A17/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H24/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A30/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A07/02
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H09/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H12/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
60-29
60
29
+31
H27/02
BBL
86.3Avg total
47.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.180.8+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.235.276.4+6.056%-
Last 30 away (14)44.441.585.9+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)47.538.886.3+8.770%-
Last 5 (5)48.437.886.2+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)40.239.379.5+0.945%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.237.581.6+6.763%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A29/12
BBL
Vechta
#18
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H02/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H10/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A17/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#12
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H23/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H05/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A10/02
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/02
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H28/02
BBL
84.5Avg total
43.6Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.686.9-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.341.385.6+3.050%-
Last 30 away (14)42.346.188.4-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)43.640.984.5+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.884.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)42.847.690.4-4.825%-
vs Similar (4)42.844.887.5-2.025%-
vs Weaker (10)44.536.781.2+7.870%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.316.4
56.0%
54.2%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.312.1
44.3%
37.1%36.3
🏀 Free throws25.922.3
86.1%
78.0%22.3
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.4
55.6%
54.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.4
35.7%
37.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.814.3
76.1%
78.0%14.3
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWLLWWWWL
Hamburg
LWLLLWLWWL
#6
League position
#7
+20.3
Net rating
+2.3
125.5
Offensive rating
110.1
105.2
Defensive rating
107.8
61.0%
Effective FG%
54.7%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.1%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.31
44.3%
3-point %
35.7%
62.1%
Assist %
54.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence125.5 · 110.1Defence105.2 · 107.8Shooting61.0% · 54.7%3-point %44.3% · 35.7%Ball care17.7% · 18.1%Off. rebounds31.2% · 30.5%Free throws0.46 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ulm wins
0
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
13/12/20Hamburg v Ulm69-73
24/11/19Ulm v Hamburg102-69
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21HSyntainics MBC102-73
14/02/21AFrankfurt87-68
12/02/21HGottingen93-64
09/02/21HBayern77-81
07/02/21ABasketball Braunschweig92-94
02/02/21HFrankfurt80-76
30/01/21ASyntainics MBC104-92
24/01/21HChemnitz102-63
17/01/21AGottingen98-74
09/01/21ALudwigsburg87-89
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/21HLudwigsburg67-73
14/02/21AGiessen95-78
12/02/21HBonn71-78
10/02/21AOldenburg88-89
05/02/21HBayreuth92-95 OT
23/01/21HFrankfurt98-70
17/01/21ABayern71-85
10/01/21HCrailsheim Merlins89-72
02/01/21HVechta92-74
29/12/20ALudwigsburg65-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW65%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%70%60%
Points / game88.185.890.4
Allowed / game78.274.182.3
Point differential+9.9+11.7+8.1
Avg total166.3159.9172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hamburg
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL56%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWLLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %56%50%62%
Points / game84.283.185.6
Allowed / game78.978.479.5
Point differential+5.3+4.7+6.1
Avg total163.1161.5165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%40%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg1918195%88.377.2+11.1
2 Alba Berlin1816289%85.774.1+11.6
3 Oldenburg2016480%93.083.8+9.3
4 Crailsheim Merlins2016480%88.783.0+5.7
5 Bayern1915479%87.577.4+10.2
6 Ulm2013765%88.178.2+9.9
7 Hamburg1810856%84.278.9+5.3
8 Bamberg21101148%82.580.7+1.9
9 Chemnitz1871139%81.488.4-7.1
10 Basketball Braunschweig1661038%85.189.8-4.7
11 Bonn1971237%81.884.5-2.7
12 Frankfurt2071335%76.681.8-5.2
13 Bayreuth2171433%82.586.4-3.9
14 s.Oliver Wurzburg1861233%79.886.3-6.4
15 Gottingen1961332%80.991.4-10.5
16 Syntainics MBC1851328%83.990.6-6.7
17 Giessen2041620%85.295.5-10.4
18 Vechta2031715%79.087.2-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2425192189
Hamburg1820162276
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