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Unicaja vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-70
21-14 27-23 15-19 22-14
Position#1
Record9-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game72.2
Unicaja 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record10-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game83.4
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6· Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Unicaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UnicajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnicaja
Date
Competition
Cholet
#14
W
86-74
86
74
+12
85avg 79
A31/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
92-86
92
86
+6
90avg 79
H03/02
ACB
Strasbourg
#11
W
79-70
79
70
+9
74avg 79
A06/02
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
90-78
90
78
+12
90avg 79
A10/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
83-91
83
91
-8
70avg 79
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Bilbao
#13
W
101-84
101
84
+17
92avg 79
H02/03
ACB
Strasbourg
#11
W
91-62
91
62
+29
91avg 79
H05/03
Champions League
Breogan
#16
W
76-65
76
65
+11
69avg 79
A09/03
ACB
Tofas
#34
W
80-76
80
76
+4
75avg 79
A13/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
71avg 79
H17/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
18-23
14-21
25-8
21-30
26-18
24-22
21-16
20-21
20-13
19-16
20-20
16-18
18-18
31-22
25-20
26-26
23-19
16-21
18-25
25-23
17-22
29-19
30-20
17-11
30-17
24-17
20-17
17-13
17-20
22-13
20-19
23-28
20-17
18-23
19-8
19-24
21-24
24-16
17-23
163.2Avg total
85.9Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.272.2155.4+11.082%
Season at home (5)86.467.0153.4+19.4100%
Season away (6)80.576.5157.0+4.067%
Last 10 (10)85.977.3163.2+8.680%
Last 5 (5)85.874.8160.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)90.090.0180.0+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)84.872.4157.2+12.489%
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Boulogne-Levallois
#18
W
112-83
112
83
+29
118avg 79
H27/01
LNB
Unicaja
#1
L
74-86
74
86
-12
64avg 79
H31/01
Champions League
Nanterre
#5
L
87-91
87
91
-4
105avg 79
A03/02
LNB
Tofas
#34
L
71-84
71
84
-13
60avg 79
A07/02
Champions League
Strasbourg
#13
L
76-79
76
79
-3
79avg 79
A10/02
LNB
Strasbourg
#10
L
77-87
77
87
-10
68avg 79
A13/02
French Cup
Limoges
#10
W
71-67
71
67
+4
82avg 79
H03/03
LNB
Tofas
#34
W
77-74
77
74
+3
71avg 79
H06/03
Champions League
JL Bourg
#4
W
80-78
80
78
+2
94avg 79
A09/03
LNB
Strasbourg
#11
L
84-96
84
96
-12
77avg 79
A13/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-19
26-25
26-16
26-23
22-29
23-18
21-14
8-25
20-23
24-24
14-24
29-20
17-19
14-23
16-18
24-24
24-15
11-28
17-15
24-21
21-18
24-27
22-13
10-29
20-13
15-14
21-26
15-14
13-7
21-20
23-17
20-30
18-11
22-26
17-22
23-19
17-25
21-17
22-23
24-31
163.4Avg total
80.9Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.483.4165.8-1.059%
Season at home (11)83.882.0165.8+1.873%
Season away (6)79.886.0165.8-6.233%
Last 10 (10)80.982.5163.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)77.880.4158.2-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.784.7163.4-6.014%
vs Similar (18)80.781.8162.6-1.150%
vs Weaker (4)91.282.5173.8+8.875%
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -3.3-3.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -3.3-3.3
UnicajaCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#14
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A31/01
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H03/02
ACB
Strasbourg
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/02
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A10/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Bilbao
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H02/03
ACB
Strasbourg
#11
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H05/03
Champions League
Breogan
#16
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A09/03
ACB
Tofas
#34
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A13/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H17/03
ACB
83.0Avg total
42.3Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.737.380.0+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.536.080.5+8.580%-
Last 30 away (15)40.938.679.5+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.783.0+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.881.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)39.551.090.5-11.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)42.736.078.7+6.774%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulogne-Levallois
#18
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H27/01
LNB
Unicaja
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H31/01
Champions League
Nanterre
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A03/02
LNB
Tofas
#34
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A07/02
Champions League
Strasbourg
#13
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/02
LNB
Strasbourg
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A13/02
French Cup
Limoges
#10
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H03/03
LNB
Tofas
#34
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H06/03
Champions League
JL Bourg
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A09/03
LNB
Strasbourg
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A13/03
Champions League
80.8Avg total
40.7Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.582.5-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.941.284.1+1.767%-
Last 30 away (15)39.141.880.9-2.727%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.180.8+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.674.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.342.483.7-1.157%-
vs Similar (18)38.940.479.3-1.644%-
vs Weaker (4)49.043.892.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Unicaja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.2
55.2%
51.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.6
38.7%
34.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws15.412.7
82.5%
74.5%12.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.9
50.4%
51.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.1
34.5%
34.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.013.6
68.0%
74.5%13.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Unicaja
LWWWWLWWWW
Cholet
LWWWLLLLLW
#1
League position
#14
+11.8
Net rating
-2.7
116.1
Offensive rating
108.2
104.4
Defensive rating
110.9
56.4%
Effective FG%
51.0%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
18.4%
Turnover %
19.8%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
36.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.7%
3-point %
34.5%
62.3%
Assist %
66.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 108.2Defence104.4 · 110.9Shooting56.4% · 51.0%3-point %38.7% · 34.5%Ball care18.4% · 19.8%Off. rebounds33.7% · 36.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Unicaja   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Unicaja wins
0
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
31/01/24Cholet v Unicaja74-86
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HReal Madrid81-87
13/03/24ATofas80-76
09/03/24ABreogan76-65
05/03/24HStrasbourg91-62
02/03/24HBilbao101-84
16/02/24HTenerife83-91
10/02/24AObradoiro CAB90-78
06/02/24AStrasbourg79-70
03/02/24HMoraBanc Andorra92-86
31/01/24ACholet86-74
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24AStrasbourg84-96
09/03/24AJL Bourg80-78
06/03/24HTofas77-74
03/03/24HLimoges71-67
13/02/24AStrasbourg77-87
10/02/24AStrasbourg76-79
07/02/24ATofas71-84
03/02/24ANanterre87-91
31/01/24HUnicaja74-86
27/01/24HBoulogne-Levallois112-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Unicaja
Champions League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game83.286.480.5
Allowed / game72.267.076.5
Point differential+11.0+19.4+4.0
Avg total155.4153.4157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%80%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cholet
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL59%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %59%73%33%
Points / game82.483.879.8
Allowed / game83.482.086.0
Point differential-1.0+1.8-6.2
Avg total165.8165.8165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia119282%86.174.2+11.9
2 Unicaja119282%83.272.2+11.0
3 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
4 Hapoel Jerusalem128467%83.276.6+6.6
5 Tenerife128467%84.279.5+4.8
6 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
7 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
8 Bonn117464%82.978.0+4.9
9 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
10 Promitheas138562%83.978.9+5.0
11 Cholet1710759%82.483.4-1.0
12 Ludwigsburg148657%82.878.8+4.0
13 Hapoel Holon148657%78.077.8+0.2
14 Peristeri148657%80.681.4-0.8
15 Strasbourg148657%80.281.6-1.4
16 Dijon116555%81.777.7+4.0
17 Galatasaray137654%86.185.5+0.5
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
20 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
21 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
22 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
23 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
24 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
25 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
26 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
27 Karsiyaka157847%83.883.7+0.1
28 AEK Athens115645%86.583.3+3.2
29 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
30 Breogan94544%78.178.6-0.4
31 Oostende94544%75.079.8-4.8
32 Darussafaka94544%78.683.7-5.1
33 PAOK94544%75.282.7-7.4
34 Tofas146843%85.482.9+2.4
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Sassari93633%85.689.2-3.7
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Unicaja2127152285
Cholet1423191470
← all games of the day
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