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Unicaja vs Real Madrid Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 09 May 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.0/10
Below normal
6.3/10
Above normal
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game106.3
Allowed / game85.3
SpainACBRound 32· Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Unicaja v Real Madrid
09 May 2027
UNI v MAD
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
UNI92
MAD96
17 Jun 2025
UNI79
MAD86
15 Jun 2025
UNI86
MAD84
23 Mar 2025
UNI105
MAD107
16 Feb 2025
UNI93
MAD79
17 Mar 2024
UNI81
MAD87
17 Sep 2023
UNI81
MAD88
09 Oct 2022
UNI71
MAD76
13 Feb 2022
UNI91
MAD92
23 May 2021
UNI90
MAD96
16 Feb 2020
UNI68
MAD95
03 Feb 2019
UNI103
MAD102
01 Apr 2018
UNI88
MAD89
19 Jan 2018
UNI80
MAD75
04 Jun 2017
UNI73
MAD76
12 Feb 2017
UNI82
MAD78
08 May 2016
UNI62
MAD88
02 Oct 2015
UNI94
MAD79
30 Dec 2014
UNI99
MAD92
12 Jun 2014
UNI79
MAD89
10 Jun 2014
UNI88
MAD75
25 May 2014
UNI83
MAD86
20 Jan 2013
UNI67
MAD91
17 Jan 2013
UNI64
MAD72
19 Jan 2012
UNI80
MAD81
13 Nov 2011
UNI80
MAD96
19 Mar 2011
UNI69
MAD68
02 Dec 2010
UNI75
MAD71
17 Oct 2009
UNI79
MAD81
04 Oct 2008
UNI82
MAD65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Unicaja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UnicajaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnicaja
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
70avg 82
H03/10
ACB
Juventus
#19
W
105-66
105
66
+39
110avg 82
A07/10
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
92-84
92
84
+8
87avg 82
H10/10
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
84-72
84
72
+12
77avg 82
A17/10
ACB
Pardubice
#49
W
79-63
79
63
+16
81avg 82
A20/10
Champions League
Breogan
#6
W
103-90
103
90
+13
92avg 82
A25/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
89-92
89
92
-3
80avg 82
H01/11
ACB
Reggiana
#32
W
99-94
99
94
+5
no box
H03/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#7
L
91-96
91
96
-5
no box
A08/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
16-18
16-20
20-21
20-8
24-21
34-19
27-18
24-20
23-19
25-24
20-21
22-16
26-19
16-22
20-15
21-17
24-16
19-15
15-15
26-24
33-23
23-24
21-19
29-25
25-20
18-27
17-20
16-25
27-18
32-21
24-30
20-17
18-26
26-24
27-29
14-22
27-16
18-18
23-14
170.6Avg total
89.9Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.984.1172.0+3.850%
Season at home (4)84.581.5166.0+3.050%
Season away (4)91.286.8178.0+4.550%
Last 10 (10)89.980.7170.6+9.270%
Last 5 (5)92.888.4181.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)85.092.2177.2-7.20%
vs Similar (10)85.389.2174.5-3.930%
vs Weaker (15)87.078.4165.4+8.680%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
111-92
111
92
+19
109avg 94
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#8
W
119-84
119
84
+35
120avg 94
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
113-99
113
99
+14
108avg 94
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#18
W
122-86
122
86
+36
131avg 94
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
104-86
104
86
+18
102avg 94
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
90avg 94
H29/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
90-79
90
79
+11
82avg 94
H01/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
112-115 OT
112
115
-3
no box
H04/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
H08/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#6
W
105-84
105
84
+21
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
34-23
16-23
34-21
36-13
26-22
27-22
30-27
23-30
28-22
30-21
32-26
31-21
23-19
27-23
41-23
30-19
26-27
26-23
22-17
22-24
25-18
23-13
25-21
14-17
25-14
25-22
26-26
18-24
30-27
25-23
28-27
22-20
25-19
16-16
27-16
38-20
18-21
26-18
23-25
193.3Avg total
106.1Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)106.385.3191.6+21.0100%
Season at home (5)101.680.8182.4+20.8100%
Season away (2)118.096.5214.5+21.5100%
Last 10 (10)106.187.2193.3+18.990%
Last 5 (5)98.485.0183.4+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)92.389.4181.7+2.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)98.689.1187.7+9.561%
This opponent (Unicaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +5.9+5.9
UnicajaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H03/10
ACB
Juventus
#19
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A07/10
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H10/10
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A17/10
ACB
Pardubice
#49
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A20/10
Champions League
Breogan
#6
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A25/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H01/11
ACB
Reggiana
#32
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H03/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A08/11
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H15/11
ACB
84.9Avg total
45.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.783.4+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.740.782.4+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)41.742.784.3-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)45.839.184.9+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.043.290.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)43.446.489.8-3.040%-
vs Similar (10)43.545.889.3-2.330%-
vs Weaker (15)39.937.377.3+2.667%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#8
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#18
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H01/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H04/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H08/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#6
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H12/11
Euroleague
94.6Avg total
52.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.243.993.1+5.373%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.941.991.8+7.980%-
Last 30 away (15)48.545.994.3+2.667%-
Last 10 (10)52.142.594.6+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)47.440.888.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)48.343.792.0+4.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)49.444.093.4+5.574%-
This opponent (Unicaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.3
56.2%
55.8%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.9
32.4%
36.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.718.4
77.6%
76.0%18.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.6
57.5%
55.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.815.0
41.9%
36.4%45.0
🏀 Free throws23.519.8
84.3%
76.0%19.8
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Unicaja
WLWLWWWWWL
Real Madrid
WWLWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
+5.9
Net rating
+23.0
101.7
Offensive rating
114.6
95.8
Defensive rating
91.6
53.0%
Effective FG%
60.2%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
13.2%
Turnover %
12.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.4%
3-point %
41.9%
57.9%
Assist %
62.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 114.6Defence95.8 · 91.6Shooting53.0% · 60.2%3-point %32.4% · 41.9%Ball care13.2% · 12.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Unicaja   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Unicaja wins
8
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
27/09/26Real Madrid v Unicaja89-87
15/02/26Unicaja v Real Madrid92-96
28/12/25Real Madrid v Unicaja91-82
17/06/25Unicaja v Real Madrid79-86
15/06/25Unicaja v Real Madrid86-84
13/06/25Real Madrid v Unicaja90-75
11/06/25Real Madrid v Unicaja99-81
23/03/25Unicaja v Real Madrid105-107
16/02/25Unicaja v Real Madrid93-79
08/12/24Real Madrid v Unicaja90-77
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HBasquet Girona82-70
08/11/26ABasket Zaragoza91-96
03/11/26HReggiana99-94
01/11/26HBarcelona89-92
25/10/26ABreogan103-90
20/10/26APardubice79-63
17/10/26AManresa84-72
10/10/26HMoraBanc Andorra92-84
07/10/26AJuventus105-66
03/10/26HTenerife75-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HCrvena zvezda105-84
08/11/26HMurcia90-71
04/11/26HPanathinaikos112-115 OT
01/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos90-79
29/10/26HFenerbahce95-76
27/10/26ABaskonia104-86
25/10/26AForca Lleida122-86
22/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv113-99
18/10/26HBilbao119-84
15/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne111-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Unicaja
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.984.591.2
Allowed / game84.181.586.8
Point differential+3.8+3.0+4.5
Avg total172.0166.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game106.3101.6118.0
Allowed / game85.380.896.5
Point differential+21.0+20.8+21.5
Avg total191.6182.4214.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %14%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
5 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
10 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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