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Unicaja vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 105-107
21-25 27-21 30-22 27-39
Position#4
Record17-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#1
Record19-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game76.6
SpainACBRound 24· Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Unicaja v Real Madrid
09 May 2027
UNI v MAD
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
UNI92
MAD96
17 Jun 2025
UNI79
MAD86
15 Jun 2025
UNI86
MAD84
23 Mar 2025
UNI105
MAD107
16 Feb 2025
UNI93
MAD79
17 Mar 2024
UNI81
MAD87
17 Sep 2023
UNI81
MAD88
09 Oct 2022
UNI71
MAD76
13 Feb 2022
UNI91
MAD92
23 May 2021
UNI90
MAD96
16 Feb 2020
UNI68
MAD95
03 Feb 2019
UNI103
MAD102
01 Apr 2018
UNI88
MAD89
19 Jan 2018
UNI80
MAD75
04 Jun 2017
UNI73
MAD76
12 Feb 2017
UNI82
MAD78
08 May 2016
UNI62
MAD88
02 Oct 2015
UNI94
MAD79
30 Dec 2014
UNI99
MAD92
12 Jun 2014
UNI79
MAD89
10 Jun 2014
UNI88
MAD75
25 May 2014
UNI83
MAD86
20 Jan 2013
UNI67
MAD91
17 Jan 2013
UNI64
MAD72
19 Jan 2012
UNI80
MAD81
13 Nov 2011
UNI80
MAD96
19 Mar 2011
UNI69
MAD68
02 Dec 2010
UNI75
MAD71
17 Oct 2009
UNI79
MAD81
04 Oct 2008
UNI82
MAD65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Unicaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UnicajaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnicaja
Date
Competition
Breogan
#13
L
79-81
79
81
-2
73avg 83
A08/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
100-83
100
83
+17
no box
H13/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
93-79
93
79
+14
no box
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Manresa
#9
W
105-97
105
97
+8
103avg 83
H02/03
ACB
Galatasaray
#6
L
84-86
84
86
-2
77avg 83
A05/03
Champions League
Granada
#17
W
95-78
95
78
+17
85avg 83
H08/03
ACB
Galatasaray
#6
W
97-91
97
91
+6
92avg 83
H11/03
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
69-84
69
84
-15
61avg 83
A15/03
ACB
Manisa
#25
W
103-97
103
97
+6
102avg 83
A18/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
22-17
19-28
18-19
21-16
21-26
31-19
27-22
21-15
17-24
34-21
18-23
18-15
21-21
25-19
29-24
20-27
29-29
25-22
31-19
21-24
17-14
19-24
27-24
21-27
22-21
26-23
26-7
20-27
25-27
21-18
31-19
8-24
14-14
21-19
26-27
26-24
27-22
25-32
25-19
177.4Avg total
91.5Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.282.8171.0+5.374%
Season at home (11)93.280.8174.0+12.491%
Season away (12)83.684.7168.2-1.158%
Last 10 (10)91.585.9177.4+5.670%
Last 5 (5)89.687.2176.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)85.588.0173.5-2.550%
vs Similar (7)88.987.7176.6+1.186%
vs Weaker (20)90.880.8171.6+10.075%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Manresa
#8
W
92-69
92
69
+23
no box
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Gran Canaria
#4
W
80-63
80
63
+17
no box
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#6
W
96-91
96
91
+5
85avg 82
H27/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
69-54
69
54
+15
61avg 82
A02/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
66avg 82
A06/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
80-75
80
75
+5
66avg 82
H09/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 82
A13/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
71avg 82
H16/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 82
H20/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
21-8
20-19
29-20
10-16
20-15
25-16
25-16
15-18
21-21
19-25
24-29
23-25
17-18
30-24
26-24
12-9
19-9
17-22
21-14
13-24
20-16
20-23
17-22
23-28
14-15
21-16
22-16
30-17
20-16
18-21
12-13
21-20
18-20
17-13
27-25
32-10
20-24
16-19
13-17
155.5Avg total
81.0Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.076.6163.6+10.383%
Season at home (13)88.875.5164.2+13.3100%
Season away (10)84.678.1162.7+6.560%
Last 10 (10)81.074.5155.5+6.580%
Last 5 (5)78.875.0153.8+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)83.082.3165.3+0.746%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.476.4162.8+10.0100%
This opponent (Unicaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
UnicajaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A08/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H13/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Manresa
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H02/03
ACB
Galatasaray
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A05/03
Champions League
Granada
#17
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H08/03
ACB
Galatasaray
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H11/03
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A15/03
ACB
Manisa
#25
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A18/03
Champions League
84.2Avg total
41.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.281.1+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.641.484.1+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)41.136.777.8+4.464%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.184.2-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.885.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)36.042.578.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (7)41.142.083.1-0.957%-
vs Weaker (20)42.837.880.5+5.070%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Gran Canaria
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Unicaja
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/02
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
31-18
31
18
+13
A02/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/03
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H09/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A13/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H16/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H20/03
Euroleague
74.2Avg total
39.1Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.379.9+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.939.483.4+4.557%-
Last 30 away (16)39.637.276.9+2.456%-
Last 10 (10)39.135.174.2+4.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.080.2+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)39.339.678.9-0.338%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.437.781.1+5.869%-
This opponent (Unicaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.2
53.0%
54.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.3
40.9%
35.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws18.714.0
74.9%
76.4%14.0
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.1
52.9%
54.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.47.5
27.4%
35.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.617.7
78.3%
76.4%17.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Unicaja
WLWWLWWWWL
Real Madrid
WWWWLWWLWW
#4
League position
#1
+9.6
Net rating
+3.9
115.4
Offensive rating
105.5
105.8
Defensive rating
101.6
56.4%
Effective FG%
47.8%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.6%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
40.9%
3-point %
27.4%
65.2%
Assist %
63.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 105.5Defence105.8 · 101.6Shooting56.4% · 47.8%3-point %40.9% · 27.4%Ball care17.6% · 17.6%Off. rebounds31.7% · 33.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Unicaja   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Unicaja wins
6
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
16/02/25Unicaja v Real Madrid93-79
08/12/24Real Madrid v Unicaja90-77
22/09/24Real Madrid v Unicaja80-90
17/03/24Unicaja v Real Madrid81-87
19/11/23Real Madrid v Unicaja93-99
17/09/23Unicaja v Real Madrid81-88
07/05/23Real Madrid v Unicaja102-90
18/02/23Real Madrid v Unicaja82-93
09/10/22Unicaja v Real Madrid71-76
13/02/22Unicaja v Real Madrid91-92
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/25AManisa103-97
15/03/25ABasket Zaragoza69-84
11/03/25HGalatasaray97-91
08/03/25HGranada95-78
05/03/25AGalatasaray84-86
02/03/25HManresa105-97
16/02/25HReal Madrid93-79
15/02/25HTenerife90-83
13/02/25HJoventut Badalona100-83
08/02/25ABreogan79-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/25HLyon-Villeurbanne81-70
16/03/25HBaskonia83-78
13/03/25AVirtus Bologna80-67
09/03/25HMurcia80-75
06/03/25APanathinaikos70-85
02/03/25AGran Canaria69-54
27/02/25HBarcelona96-91
16/02/25AUnicaja79-93
15/02/25AGran Canaria80-63
14/02/25HManresa92-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Unicaja
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL74%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWLLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%91%58%
Points / game88.293.283.6
Allowed / game82.880.884.7
Point differential+5.3+12.4-1.1
Avg total171.0174.0168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %83%100%60%
Points / game87.088.884.6
Allowed / game76.675.578.1
Point differential+10.3+13.3+6.5
Avg total163.6164.2162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%54%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2319483%87.076.6+10.3
2 Tenerife2419579%87.281.9+5.3
3 Valencia2418675%98.386.0+12.3
4 Unicaja2317674%88.282.8+5.3
5 Barcelona24141058%91.786.9+4.8
6 Joventut Badalona24141058%85.083.6+1.4
7 Manresa24131154%87.984.7+3.2
8 Gran Canaria24131154%83.082.4+0.7
9 Baskonia24121250%86.286.7-0.5
10 Basket Zaragoza24111346%89.889.8+0.0
11 Murcia24111346%80.681.4-0.8
12 Breogan24101442%78.985.9-7.0
13 Bilbao2491538%81.283.1-1.9
14 Forca Lleida2481633%83.687.7-4.1
15 MoraBanc Andorra2481633%86.691.8-5.2
16 Basquet Girona2481633%80.387.5-7.1
17 Granada2461825%80.486.5-6.0
18 Leyma Coruna2451921%85.395.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Unicaja21273027105
Real Madrid25212239107
← all games of the day
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