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San Diego State vs UNLV Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-76
23-31 45-45
Position#65
Record11-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game61.8
vs
UNLV 🏆
USA
Position#165
Record10-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · San Diego State v UNLV
05 Dec 2026
SAN v UNLV
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
SAN 89
UNLV86
18 Jan 2025
SAN 68
UNLV76
06 Jan 2024
SAN 72
UNLV61
11 Feb 2023
SAN 82
UNLV71
24 Jan 2022
SAN 80
UNLV55
22 Feb 2020
SAN 63
UNLV66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
W
73-70 OT
73
70
+3
A01/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
84-62
84
62
+22
A05/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H08/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H12/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
71-50
71
50
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H28/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
67-38
67
38
+29
H09/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
48-62
48
62
-14
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-30
40-35
29-24
55-38
33-31
41-26
40-33
41-42
25-16
46-34
43-32
23-35
33-32
43-36
33-24
34-14
20-30
28-32
35-29
40-31
132.4Avg total
71.5Scored
60.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)72.361.8134.1+10.573%
Season at home (10)73.261.2134.4+12.070%
Season away (5)70.463.0133.4+7.480%
Last 10 (10)71.560.9132.4+10.680%
Last 5 (5)66.459.0125.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.872.5136.2-8.850%
vs Similar (16)70.466.1136.5+4.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)76.856.5133.3+20.3100%
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#59
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A07/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A18/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H29/12
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
77-58
77
58
+19
A31/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H04/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A08/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
62-84
62
84
-22
A11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-39
38-44
34-29
38-36
28-27
37-39
31-29
35-24
48-30
39-47
38-26
39-32
44-26
35-47
24-43
35-38
35-46
27-38
32-30
33-32
139.9Avg total
69.7Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.570.6142.1+0.959%
Season at home (12)73.969.0142.9+4.975%
Season away (5)65.674.4140.0-8.820%
Last 10 (10)69.770.2139.9-0.560%
Last 5 (5)68.471.6140.0-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)66.278.2144.4-12.022%
vs Similar (12)71.767.6139.2+4.167%
vs Weaker (8)74.860.8135.5+14.0100%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: -2.1-2.1
San Diego StateUNLV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A01/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A05/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H08/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H12/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
25-16
25
16
+9
H22/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H28/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A04/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H09/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H15/01
NCAA
59.7Avg total
31.6Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.829.362.1+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.629.363.9+5.371%-
Last 30 away (13)30.529.259.7+1.238%-
Last 10 (10)31.628.159.7+3.580%-
Last 5 (5)32.829.462.2+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.833.060.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (16)31.832.163.9-0.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)36.523.259.7+13.3100%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#59
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A07/12
NCAA
Pacific
#336
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H15/12
NCAA
Dayton
#62
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A18/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H29/12
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A31/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H04/01
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A08/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H16/01
NCAA
66.6Avg total
34.1Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.631.465.0+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.229.264.4+6.178%-
Last 30 away (12)31.134.865.8-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)34.132.566.6+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)34.634.268.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)30.838.269.0-7.433%-
vs Similar (12)33.830.464.2+3.467%-
vs Weaker (8)36.024.460.4+11.688%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
San Diego State wins
2
UNLV wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25HColorado State75-60
11/01/25ANew Mexico48-62
09/01/25HAir Force67-38
04/01/25ABoise State76-68
28/12/24HUtah State66-67
22/12/24HCalifornia71-50
12/12/24HCalifornia Baptist81-75
08/12/24HSan Diego Toreros74-57
05/12/24AFresno State84-62
01/12/24AHouston73-70 OT
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25HUtah State65-62
11/01/25AColorado State62-84
08/01/25ABoise State59-81
04/01/25HSan Jose State79-73
31/12/24AAir Force77-58
29/12/24HFresno State87-77
21/12/24HUC Riverside66-53
18/12/24ADayton65-66
15/12/24HPacific72-65
07/12/24ACreighton65-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW73%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %73%70%80%
Points / game72.373.270.4
Allowed / game61.861.263.0
Point differential+10.5+12.0+7.4
Avg total134.1134.4133.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%20%
UNLV
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %59%75%20%
Points / game71.573.965.6
Allowed / game70.669.074.4
Point differential+0.9+4.9-8.8
Avg total142.1142.9140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%42%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1816289%82.167.9+14.1
2 New Mexico1915479%83.372.6+10.6
3 San Diego State1511473%72.361.8+10.5
4 Grand Canyon1712571%79.469.0+10.4
5 Boise State1913668%78.067.1+10.9
6 Nevada1811761%74.866.9+7.9
7 Colorado State1811761%74.168.3+5.8
8 UNLV1710759%71.570.6+0.9
9 Wyoming189950%69.471.6-2.2
10 San Jose State2091145%75.073.0+1.9
11 Fresno State1851328%73.281.5-8.3
12 Air Force1831517%63.269.9-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State234568
UNLV314576
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