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UT Martin vs Morehead State Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 31 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#263
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#285
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game83.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UT Martin v Morehead State
30 Dec 2026
UT M v MORE
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
UT M55
MORE61
01 Mar 2025
UT M47
MORE59
08 Mar 2024
UT M78
MORE84
17 Feb 2024
UT M88
MORE82
31 Dec 2022
UT M64
MORE57
16 Feb 2022
UT M60
MORE68
20 Feb 2021
UT M69
MORE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UT Martin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UT MartinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A14/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
53-56 OT
53
56
-3
H18/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H27/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
42-67
42
67
-25
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Tulane
#182
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
A03/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#79
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A07/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#297
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-32
37-44
16-26
31-21
32-28
33-39
23-22
41-27
21-35
21-32
27-22
39-41
28-36
27-32
37-35
43-45
34-36
40-39
54-34
28-31
136.6Avg total
68.0Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.780.0164.7+4.733%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)84.780.0164.7+4.733%
Last 10 (10)68.068.6136.6-0.640%
Last 5 (5)75.074.2149.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)74.075.0149.0-1.00%
vs Similar (12)65.469.9135.3-4.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)72.658.6131.2+14.188%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#51
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H14/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H25/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A27/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
67-93
67
93
-26
A08/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#102
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A03/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#487
W
114-60
114
60
+54
H05/11
NCAA
Louisville
#14
L
57-107
57
107
-50
A07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-41
57-45
29-28
44-42
43-27
38-32
29-29
35-34
37-24
39-46
29-36
37-25
34-55
33-38
28-38
30-45
58-24
56-36
33-46
24-61
150.2Avg total
75.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.383.3159.7-7.033%
Season at home (1)114.060.0174.0+54.0100%
Season away (2)57.595.0152.5-37.50%
Last 10 (10)75.075.2150.2-0.270%
Last 5 (5)72.480.8153.2-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.581.6153.2-10.136%
vs Similar (9)69.672.2141.8-2.767%
vs Weaker (9)79.067.4146.4+11.689%
This opponent (UT Martin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -1.1-1.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -1.1-1.1
UT MartinMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UT MartinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A14/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
16-26
16
26
-10
H18/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
23-22
23
22
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H06/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A07/03
NCAA
Tulane
#182
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A03/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#79
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A07/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#297
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A11/11
NCAA
62.2Avg total
31.6Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.830.863.6+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.227.657.8+2.660%-
Last 30 away (15)35.434.069.4+1.460%-
Last 10 (10)31.630.662.2+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.032.668.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.036.070.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (12)31.132.463.5-1.358%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)33.929.463.3+4.665%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#51
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A20/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H25/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A27/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H07/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A08/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#102
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A03/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#487
W
58-24
58
24
+34
H05/11
NCAA
Louisville
#14
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A07/11
NCAA
70.5Avg total
35.7Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.734.570.3+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.032.171.1+6.954%-
Last 30 away (17)33.236.469.6-3.235%-
Last 10 (10)35.734.870.5+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.876.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.738.972.6-5.227%-
vs Similar (9)32.733.766.3-1.044%-
vs Weaker (9)38.430.669.0+7.956%-
This opponent (UT Martin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UT Martin wins
7
Morehead State wins
UT Martinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AArkansas State82-65
07/11/26AIU Indy74-75
03/11/26ATulane98-100 OT
07/03/26ATennessee State55-68
06/03/26HEastern Illinois66-63
28/02/26HTennessee State42-67
27/02/26HTennessee Tech64-49
20/02/26AUALR65-67
18/02/26HSoutheast Missouri State53-56 OT
14/02/26ASiu Edwardsville81-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ALouisville57-107
05/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg114-60
03/11/26AWestern Kentucky58-83
08/03/26ATennessee State67-93
07/03/26HSoutheast Missouri State66-61
27/02/26AUALR76-70
25/02/26HSouthern Indiana64-63
21/02/26AWestern Illinois81-59
20/02/26AEastern Illinois73-70
14/02/26HTennessee State94-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UT Martin
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
Home--
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game84.7-84.7
Allowed / game80.0-80.0
Point differential+4.7-+4.7
Avg total164.7-164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %33%-33%
Morehead State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game76.3114.057.5
Allowed / game83.360.095.0
Point differential-7.0+54.0-37.5
Avg total159.7174.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State32167%104.776.0+28.7
2 Southeast Missouri State32167%81.374.0+7.3
3 Lindenwood42250%88.570.5+18.0
4 Siu Edwardsville42250%77.868.5+9.2
5 Tennessee Tech42250%92.090.0+2.0
6 UT Martin31233%84.780.0+4.7
7 Morehead State31233%76.383.3-7.0
8 Southern Indiana41325%78.066.5+11.5
9 Western Illinois41325%74.573.2+1.2
10 Eastern Illinois41325%69.080.0-11.0
11 UALR3030%73.386.3-13.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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