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Utah State vs Boise State Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 07 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position#22
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game57.0
Utah State
USA
vs
Boise State
USA
Position#5
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game67.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Utah State v Boise State
06 Jan 2027
UTAH v BOIS
upcoming
18 Feb 2026
UTAH75
BOIS56
16 Jan 2026
UTAH v BOIS
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
UTAH81
BOIS79
10 Feb 2024
UTAH80
BOIS61
04 Mar 2023
UTAH86
BOIS73
20 Jan 2022
UTAH59
BOIS62
08 Feb 2020
UTAH70
BOIS61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H01/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A04/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H07/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H12/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H14/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H14/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A20/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A23/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#375
W
94-58
94
58
+36
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#312
W
90-56
90
56
+34
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-27
33-42
24-32
41-60
42-43
52-47
37-23
43-37
39-32
40-34
34-35
39-27
37-39
49-37
24-33
42-45
37-29
57-29
44-21
46-35
150.8Avg total
80.1Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.057.0149.0+35.0100%
Season at home (2)92.057.0149.0+35.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.170.7150.8+9.480%
Last 5 (5)81.866.0147.8+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)66.078.0144.0-12.00%
vs Similar (2)90.078.0168.0+12.0100%
vs Weaker (27)82.069.7151.6+12.381%
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A19/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H21/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H25/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A01/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A07/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H12/03
NCAA
West Coast Baptist
#501
W
132-53
132
53
+79
H05/11
NCAA
Butler
#144
W
100-81
100
81
+19
H08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-29
37-48
23-30
33-45
36-31
48-38
32-30
40-32
28-23
41-30
34-27
52-50
36-28
42-39
39-41
35-43
69-26
63-27
51-31
49-50
154.1Avg total
83.4Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)116.067.0183.0+49.0100%
Season at home (2)116.067.0183.0+49.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.470.7154.1+12.770%
Last 5 (5)94.072.4166.4+21.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.075.6144.6-6.660%
vs Similar (16)78.176.9155.0+1.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.366.4156.8+23.978%
This opponent (Utah State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +9.2+9.22nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +3.8+3.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +9.2+9.22nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +3.8+3.8
Utah StateBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#95
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H01/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A04/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H12/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H14/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A20/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A23/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#375
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#312
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H07/11
NCAA
67.3Avg total
35.9Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.232.570.8+5.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.231.471.5+8.871%-
Last 30 away (13)35.734.169.8+1.654%-
Last 10 (10)35.931.467.3+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.231.466.6+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)24.033.057.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (2)39.038.077.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (27)38.732.170.8+6.667%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A19/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A01/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H04/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A07/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H12/03
NCAA
West Coast Baptist
#501
W
69-26
69
26
+43
H05/11
NCAA
Butler
#144
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H08/11
NCAA
68.4Avg total
38.8Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.232.568.7+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.331.268.5+6.272%-
Last 30 away (12)34.634.469.0+0.258%-
Last 10 (10)38.829.668.4+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)45.830.676.4+15.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.433.863.2-4.460%-
vs Similar (16)34.932.467.2+2.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.431.974.3+10.678%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Utah State wins
3
Boise State wins
DateGameScore
19/02/26Utah State v Boise State75-56
11/01/26Boise State v Utah State68-93
27/02/25Boise State v Utah State82-65
12/01/25Utah State v Boise State81-79
11/02/24Utah State v Boise State80-61
27/01/24Boise State v Utah State84-90 OT
11/03/23Boise State v Utah State62-72
05/03/23Utah State v Boise State86-73
07/01/23Boise State v Utah State82-59
19/02/22Boise State v Utah State68-57
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HNebraska O.90-56
03/11/26HIdaho State94-58
23/03/26AArizona66-78
20/03/26AVillanova86-76
14/03/26HSan Diego State73-62
14/03/26HNevada79-66
12/03/26HUNLV80-60
07/03/26HNew Mexico94-90
04/03/26AUNLV65-92
01/03/26HGrand Canyon74-69
Boise Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HButler100-81
05/11/26HWest Coast Baptist132-53
12/03/26HSan Jose State74-84
07/03/26AColorado State78-67
04/03/26HSan Diego State86-77
01/03/26AFresno State69-53
25/02/26HWyoming72-62
21/02/26HSan Jose State84-69
19/02/26AUtah State56-75
14/02/26HUNLV83-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game92.092.0-
Allowed / game57.057.0-
Point differential+35.0+35.0-
Avg total149.0149.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Boise State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game116.0116.0-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential+49.0+49.0-
Avg total183.0183.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State220100%116.067.0+49.0
2 Utah State220100%92.057.0+35.0
3 New Mexico220100%97.062.5+34.5
4 Grand Canyon220100%101.080.0+21.0
5 Nevada220100%91.072.0+19.0
6 San Diego State220100%89.572.0+17.5
7 Colorado State220100%81.070.5+10.5
8 UNLV220100%88.578.0+10.5
9 Wyoming32167%83.762.0+21.7
10 Air Force32167%89.080.7+8.3
11 San Jose State21150%87.082.5+4.5
12 Fresno State21150%76.580.0-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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