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Utah State vs Boise State Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 16 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Postponed
Position#20
Record15-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game66.7
vs
Position#101
Record9-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game74.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Utah State v Boise State
06 Jan 2027
UTAH v BOIS
upcoming
18 Feb 2026
UTAH75
BOIS56
16 Jan 2026
UTAH v BOIS
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
UTAH81
BOIS79
10 Feb 2024
UTAH80
BOIS61
04 Mar 2023
UTAH86
BOIS73
20 Jan 2022
UTAH59
BOIS62
08 Feb 2020
UTAH70
BOIS61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#144
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H29/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A05/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
79-53
79
53
+26
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H20/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A31/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H03/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
99-62
99
62
+37
A07/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
93-68
93
68
+25
A11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
33-35
20-41
41-33
44-30
35-23
40-33
43-45
45-24
55-34
35-26
37-37
48-51
48-27
45-31
54-31
46-23
47-45
29-23
42-39
151.5Avg total
83.8Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.066.7152.7+19.394%
Season at home (9)86.968.0154.9+18.9100%
Season away (7)84.965.0149.9+19.986%
Last 10 (10)83.867.7151.5+16.190%
Last 5 (5)86.266.6152.8+19.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)70.580.1150.6-9.630%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.764.8151.5+21.8100%
This opponent (Boise State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
102-76
102
76
+26
A27/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A06/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A21/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H31/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
68-93
68
93
-25
H11/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-39
59-37
33-31
44-37
45-30
41-34
37-32
31-35
26-36
40-45
21-19
41-34
29-50
50-29
27-37
31-38
23-46
45-47
39-40
37-36
155.5Avg total
77.9Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.774.4151.1+2.353%
Season at home (12)72.270.1142.3+2.258%
Season away (5)87.484.8172.2+2.640%
Last 10 (10)77.977.6155.5+0.350%
Last 5 (5)76.084.0160.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.872.5147.2+2.275%
vs Similar (17)72.772.4145.1+0.453%
vs Weaker (9)77.265.1142.3+12.178%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +8.6+8.62nd half: +4.7+4.7
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: +8.6+8.62nd half: +4.7+4.7
Utah StateBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#144
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H29/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
20-41
20
41
-21
A05/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A31/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A07/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H15/01
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.8Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.732.471.1+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.729.770.4+11.088%-
Last 30 away (14)36.435.471.9+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)38.831.670.4+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.630.871.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)33.137.270.3-4.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.529.971.5+11.680%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A06/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
21-19
21
19
+2
H31/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A04/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H08/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-46
23
46
-23
H11/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/01
NCAA
68.3Avg total
32.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.432.866.2+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.632.568.1+3.165%-
Last 30 away (13)30.633.263.8-2.546%-
Last 10 (10)32.336.068.3-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)27.838.466.2-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)31.833.064.8-1.275%-
vs Similar (17)32.434.266.6-1.841%-
vs Weaker (9)36.130.066.1+6.178%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Utah State wins
4
Boise State wins
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HNevada71-62
11/01/26ABoise State93-68
07/01/26AAir Force99-62
03/01/26HSan Jose State96-78
31/12/25AFresno State72-63
20/12/25HColorado State100-58
13/12/25HIllinois State83-78
07/12/25ACharlotte79-53
05/12/25ASouth Florida61-74
29/11/25HMontana State84-81 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AUNLV85-89 OT
11/01/26HUtah State68-93
08/01/26HGrand Canyon58-75
04/01/26ASan Diego State107-110 OT
31/12/25HNew Mexico62-53
21/12/25ANevada66-81
14/12/25HSt. Marys (CA)68-67
11/12/25HDuquesne86-64
06/12/25AButler77-68
27/11/25AChaminade Silverswords102-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %94%100%86%
Points / game86.086.984.9
Allowed / game66.768.065.0
Point differential+19.3+18.9+19.9
Avg total152.7154.9149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%56%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %6%11%0%
Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL53%
HomeWWWLL58%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %53%58%40%
Points / game76.772.287.4
Allowed / game74.470.184.8
Point differential+2.3+2.2+2.6
Avg total151.1142.3172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1615194%86.066.7+19.3
2 New Mexico1714382%80.866.2+14.5
3 San Diego State1612475%81.971.8+10.1
4 Nevada1712571%76.271.9+4.3
5 Wyoming1711665%82.472.8+9.6
6 Colorado State1711665%78.971.9+7.1
7 Grand Canyon1610662%74.868.6+6.2
8 Boise State179853%76.774.4+2.3
9 UNLV168850%79.177.3+1.8
10 Fresno State178947%73.170.8+2.3
11 San Jose State1761135%72.275.6-3.4
12 Air Force1731418%62.075.6-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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