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Utah State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 79-66
39-32 40-34
Position#20
Record26-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game70.8
Utah State 🏆
USA
vs
Nevada
USA
Position#86
Record22-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Utah State v Nevada
13 Mar 2026
UTAH79
NEVA66
14 Jan 2026
UTAH71
NEVA62
22 Jan 2025
UTAH90
NEVA69
06 Feb 2024
UTAH63
NEVA77
18 Feb 2023
UTAH75
NEVA66
11 Feb 2022
UTAH72
NEVA85
28 Feb 2021
UTAH87
NEVA66
26 Feb 2021
UTAH75
NEVA72
02 Feb 2021
UTAH v NEVA
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
UTAH80
NEVA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
99-75
99
75
+24
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H19/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A22/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A26/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H01/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A04/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H07/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-35
46-48
47-35
44-43
48-34
51-41
30-23
45-33
40-38
37-42
33-46
39-43
41-27
33-42
24-32
41-60
42-43
52-47
37-23
43-37
158.4Avg total
81.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.970.8153.7+12.281%
Season at home (18)85.369.7155.0+15.794%
Season away (14)79.972.1152.0+7.764%
Last 10 (10)81.277.2158.4+4.070%
Last 5 (5)77.080.0157.0-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)80.376.7157.0+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)82.370.5152.8+11.981%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A15/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H25/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
80-45
80
45
+35
H11/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-28
41-31
25-36
32-35
32-47
39-40
38-40
42-37
23-23
44-37
37-35
37-39
28-49
45-34
32-25
42-34
39-10
41-35
34-40
50-40
144.4Avg total
73.8Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.271.4147.6+4.967%
Season at home (20)77.267.6144.8+9.685%
Season away (13)74.877.2152.0-2.338%
Last 10 (10)73.870.6144.4+3.260%
Last 5 (5)78.870.4149.2+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.077.2150.2-4.240%
vs Similar (17)76.774.2150.9+2.559%
vs Weaker (8)75.862.4138.1+13.488%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +5.1+5.1
Utah StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H01/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A04/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H12/03
NCAA
71.7Avg total
38.1Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.433.171.5+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.031.971.9+8.169%-
Last 30 away (14)36.534.470.9+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)38.133.671.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.269.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)32.739.071.7-6.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)39.032.471.4+6.667%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A15/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A18/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H25/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
39-10
39
10
+29
H11/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/03
NCAA
64.9Avg total
31.6Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.732.665.3+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.929.263.1+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)31.237.168.2-5.923%-
Last 10 (10)31.633.364.9-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.031.865.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.635.265.8-4.60%-
vs Similar (17)33.334.167.4-0.859%-
vs Weaker (8)32.827.960.6+4.950%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Utah State wins
4
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
22/02/26Nevada v Utah State80-77
15/01/26Utah State v Nevada71-62
23/01/25Utah State v Nevada90-69
01/01/25Nevada v Utah State64-69
07/02/24Utah State v Nevada63-77
19/02/23Utah State v Nevada75-66
14/01/23Nevada v Utah State85-70
12/02/22Utah State v Nevada72-85
30/01/22Nevada v Utah State49-78
01/03/21Utah State v Nevada87-66
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26HUNLV80-60
07/03/26HNew Mexico94-90
04/03/26AUNLV65-92
01/03/26HGrand Canyon74-69
26/02/26ASan Diego State72-89
22/02/26ANevada77-80
19/02/26HBoise State75-56
15/02/26HMemphis99-75
11/02/26HFresno State91-78
08/02/26AWyoming85-83
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26AGrand Canyon84-80
11/03/26HAir Force80-45
08/03/26HAir Force74-59
04/03/26AWyoming73-83
01/03/26AUNLV83-85 OT
25/02/26HNew Mexico67-60
22/02/26HUtah State80-77
18/02/26ASan Jose State71-87
15/02/26ASan Diego State57-71
08/02/26HFresno State69-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW81%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWLLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %81%94%64%
Points / game82.985.379.9
Allowed / game70.869.772.1
Point differential+12.2+15.7+7.7
Avg total153.7155.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332013
Win %67%85%38%
Points / game76.277.274.8
Allowed / game71.467.677.2
Point differential+4.9+9.6-2.3
Avg total147.6144.8152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%45%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %12%10%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State3226681%82.970.8+12.2
2 New Mexico3223972%81.171.0+10.1
3 San Diego State31211068%79.271.2+8.0
4 Nevada33221167%76.271.4+4.9
5 Colorado State33211264%76.171.1+4.9
6 Grand Canyon32201262%75.668.7+7.0
7 Boise State32201262%78.273.5+4.7
8 Wyoming32181456%77.173.0+4.1
9 UNLV33171652%79.478.6+0.8
10 Fresno State32131941%72.872.8+0.0
11 San Jose State3392427%72.078.5-6.5
12 Air Force323299%61.579.9-18.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State394079
Nevada323466
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