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UTRGV vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 80-67
44-29 36-38
Position#137
Record4-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game70.3
UTRGV 🏆
USA
vs
Position#287
Record8-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UTRGV v Incarnate Word
26 Jan 2027
UTRG v INCA
upcoming
05 Jan 2026
UTRG80
INCA67
17 Feb 2025
UTRG60
INCA66
30 Dec 2023
UTRG77
INCA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTRGV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southwest Adventist
#641
W
110-53
110
53
+57
H18/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A25/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A04/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H07/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H12/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A17/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
109-51
109
51
+58
H20/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
69-85
69
85
-16
H30/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H31/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
58-30
52-23
31-42
42-45
26-29
34-44
31-30
32-20
27-24
23-34
49-34
34-38
54-20
55-31
24-35
45-50
39-35
30-36
28-28
31-35
140.8Avg total
74.5Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.270.3144.6+3.933%
Season at home (7)75.661.6137.1+14.043%
Season away (5)72.482.6155.0-10.220%
Last 10 (10)74.566.3140.8+8.240%
Last 5 (5)77.868.4146.2+9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.784.2153.8-14.517%
vs Similar (13)69.675.0144.6-5.423%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.066.5145.5+12.564%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#357
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A23/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
117-55
117
55
+62
H26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H02/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A09/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A16/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H21/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H30/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-38
46-43
40-46
40-45
65-23
52-32
34-32
37-35
33-34
34-40
26-38
57-46
37-31
28-38
39-33
51-33
39-32
40-38
36-32
37-24
152.5Avg total
81.2Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.172.1154.3+10.057%
Season at home (8)91.265.6156.9+25.6100%
Season away (6)70.080.8150.8-10.80%
Last 10 (10)81.271.3152.5+9.960%
Last 5 (5)78.069.0147.0+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)65.574.9140.4-9.412%
vs Similar (10)69.473.5142.9-4.130%
vs Weaker (12)85.064.5149.5+20.5100%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +4.8+4.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +4.8+4.8
UTRGVIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southwest Adventist
#641
W
58-30
58
30
+28
H18/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A25/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H07/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H12/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A17/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
54-20
54
20
+34
H20/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H30/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H31/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H03/01
NCAA
67.4Avg total
36.7Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.733.868.6+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.430.667.0+5.873%-
Last 30 away (15)33.137.170.1-4.020%-
Last 10 (10)36.730.767.4+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.830.469.2+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.337.567.8-7.217%-
vs Similar (13)33.835.168.8-1.346%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.330.468.6+7.964%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#357
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
65-23
65
23
+42
H26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A09/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A16/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/01
NCAA
72.9Avg total
39.0Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.632.967.5+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.131.971.0+7.180%-
Last 30 away (15)30.133.963.9-3.827%-
Last 10 (10)39.033.972.9+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.268.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)29.435.164.5-5.838%-
vs Similar (10)31.132.563.6-1.430%-
vs Weaker (12)40.931.872.7+9.283%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UTRGV wins
1
Incarnate Word wins
DateGameScore
18/02/25UTRGV v Incarnate Word60-66
20/01/25Incarnate Word v UTRGV78-85
31/12/23UTRGV v Incarnate Word77-74
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HTexas A&M-CC59-63
31/12/25HNicholls State69-71
30/12/25HNew Orleans69-85
20/12/25HCBS Ambassadors109-51
17/12/25ALamar83-72
12/12/25HUT Arlington50-58
07/12/25HAustin Peay63-50
04/12/25AStephen F. Austin60-73
25/11/25AIllinois73-87
18/11/25HSouthwest Adventist110-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HHouston Christian73-56
30/12/25HSE Louisiana79-70
21/12/25HNorthern Arizona90-66
16/12/25ATCU65-69
09/12/25ANew Orleans83-84
06/12/25ANicholls State67-74
02/12/25HMcNeese State71-67
26/11/25HTexas Lutheran117-55
23/11/25AHigh Point80-91
20/11/25HSouthern Indiana87-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTRGV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeLWLLL43%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%43%20%
Points / game74.275.672.4
Allowed / game70.361.682.6
Point differential+3.9+14.0-10.2
Avg total144.6137.1155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game82.191.270.0
Allowed / game72.165.680.8
Point differential+10.0+25.6-10.8
Avg total154.3156.9150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin1412286%79.664.9+14.8
2 McNeese State1411379%86.469.2+17.1
3 Incarnate Word148657%82.172.1+10.0
4 Texas A&M-CC147750%75.567.7+7.8
5 Lamar157847%71.368.2+3.1
6 Nicholls State146843%75.675.4+0.2
7 Houston Christian145936%69.674.4-4.8
8 UTRGV124833%74.270.3+3.9
9 SE Louisiana1551033%65.369.2-3.9
10 New Orleans1551033%75.281.3-6.1
11 Northwestern St.1441029%72.578.3-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTRGV443680
Incarnate Word293867
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