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UTRGV vs Incarnate Word Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 27 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#211
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#378
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.8
Allowed / game79.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · UTRGV v Incarnate Word
26 Jan 2027
UTRG v INCA
upcoming
05 Jan 2026
UTRG80
INCA67
17 Feb 2025
UTRG60
INCA66
30 Dec 2023
UTRG77
INCA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTRGV win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A21/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A24/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-Kingsville
#419
W
81-51
81
51
+30
H03/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#27
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H11/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#82
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-26
50-49
22-34
46-41
24-34
39-21
39-30
35-32
44-32
42-36
23-31
35-27
42-19
39-32
30-29
38-34
28-30
37-42
24-45
53-40
144.8Avg total
75.8Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.867.8140.5+5.050%
Season at home (3)71.362.0133.3+9.367%
Season away (1)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)75.869.0144.8+6.860%
Last 5 (5)74.271.0145.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.076.3147.3-5.317%
vs Similar (4)59.056.5115.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)79.167.8146.9+11.279%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H14/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H17/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A24/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H28/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H03/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#150
L
60-91
60
91
-31
A03/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#267
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H06/11
NCAA
UTEP
#164
L
60-79
60
79
-19
A09/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#121
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-46
53-45
28-39
36-39
43-39
39-34
23-18
26-36
37-22
35-38
26-28
42-48
17-54
43-37
22-34
32-32
29-46
31-33
33-49
36-32
141.0Avg total
66.1Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)60.879.2140.0-18.50%
Season at home (1)54.066.0120.0-12.00%
Season away (3)63.083.7146.7-20.70%
Last 10 (10)66.174.9141.0-8.820%
Last 5 (5)62.278.6140.8-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)67.177.9145.0-10.914%
vs Similar (6)70.075.0145.0-5.017%
vs Weaker (10)76.168.3144.4+7.860%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -8.7-8.72nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: -0.1-0.1
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -8.7-8.72nd half2nd half: +6.0+6.02nd half: -0.1-0.1
UTRGVIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A21/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A24/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-Kingsville
#419
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H03/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#27
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H11/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#82
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A15/11
NCAA
63.2Avg total
32.2Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.230.265.5+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.828.763.6+6.172%-
Last 30 away (12)35.832.568.3+3.358%-
Last 10 (10)32.231.063.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)29.430.860.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)27.032.559.5-5.517%-
vs Similar (4)27.525.553.0+2.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.131.170.2+8.079%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#265
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H14/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H17/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
23-18
23
18
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H03/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#150
L
17-54
17
54
-37
A03/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#267
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H06/11
NCAA
UTEP
#164
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A09/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#121
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A11/11
NCAA
66.3Avg total
28.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.935.267.1-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.233.968.1+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)29.836.466.2-6.631%-
Last 10 (10)28.837.566.3-8.730%-
Last 5 (5)25.442.267.6-16.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.437.867.2-8.421%-
vs Similar (6)28.834.563.3-5.717%-
vs Weaker (10)37.132.069.1+5.170%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
UTRGV wins
1
Incarnate Word wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Incarnate Word v UTRGV93-106
06/01/26UTRGV v Incarnate Word80-67
18/02/25UTRGV v Incarnate Word60-66
20/01/25Incarnate Word v UTRGV78-85
31/12/23UTRGV v Incarnate Word77-74
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUT Arlington77-85
11/11/26HTexas State65-72
07/11/26HPrairie View A&M68-63
03/11/26HTexas A&M-Kingsville81-51
11/03/26AMcNeese State80-84 OT
10/03/26HNicholls State86-68
03/03/26HNorthwestern St.74-62
28/02/26HEast Texas A&M63-55
24/02/26AMcNeese State68-75
21/02/26ASE Louisiana96-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AUC Davis69-81
09/11/26AUTEP60-79
06/11/26HChicago State54-66
03/11/26AOklahoma State60-91
03/03/26HStephen F. Austin68-76
28/02/26HLamar72-60
24/02/26ANorthwestern St.49-54
21/02/26AEast Texas A&M82-73
17/02/26HNew Orleans64-78
14/02/26HNicholls State83-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTRGV
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game72.871.377.0
Allowed / game67.862.085.0
Point differential+5.0+9.3-8.0
Avg total140.5133.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game60.854.063.0
Allowed / game79.266.083.7
Point differential-18.5-12.0-20.7
Avg total140.0120.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Christian440100%94.265.2+29.0
2 Stephen F. Austin43175%90.861.2+29.5
3 Lamar32167%109.067.3+41.7
4 McNeese State32167%100.380.7+19.7
5 New Orleans32167%81.782.3-0.7
6 Nicholls State42250%76.867.8+9.0
7 UTRGV42250%72.867.8+5.0
8 Texas A&M-CC42250%71.067.2+3.8
9 SE Louisiana31233%64.387.3-23.0
10 Northwestern St.51420%68.079.0-11.0
11 Incarnate Word4040%60.879.2-18.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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