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Utsunomiya Brex vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 76-62
15-20 22-18 21-12 18-12
Position#1
Record25-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Position#15
Record18-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game74.3
JapanB League· Brex Arena Utsunomiya (Utsunomiya)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Utsunomiya Brex v Saga
28 Jan 2024
UTSU76
SAGA62
27 Jan 2024
UTSU83
SAGA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utsunomiya Brex winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
W
83-68
83
68
+15
84avg 71
H23/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
60-76
60
76
-16
49avg 71
H24/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
73-59
73
59
+14
71avg 71
A29/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
77-55
77
55
+22
73avg 71
A30/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
98-82
98
82
+16
94avg 71
H06/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
81-53
81
53
+28
77avg 71
H07/01
B League
Gunma
#13
W
93-81
93
81
+12
90avg 71
A17/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
66-68
66
68
-2
56avg 71
A20/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
74-68
74
68
+6
61avg 71
A21/01
B League
Saga
#15
W
83-70
83
70
+13
86avg 71
H27/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
25-13
24-18
19-18
18-19
16-18
19-13
7-26
20-13
26-20
15-8
12-18
18-18
22-9
26-12
11-16
24-27
30-27
23-14
21-14
14-18
29-9
23-14
15-12
27-20
26-15
21-25
19-21
17-17
18-11
13-20
18-20
23-15
17-22
17-18
17-13
21-18
24-11
21-21
17-20
146.8Avg total
78.8Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.268.5146.8+9.878%
Season at home (15)78.970.7149.5+8.280%
Season away (17)77.766.6144.3+11.176%
Last 10 (10)78.868.0146.8+10.880%
Last 5 (5)79.468.0147.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)69.876.8146.5-7.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)79.567.3146.8+12.381%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#19
W
87-54
87
54
+33
90avg 68
H23/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
102-63
102
63
+39
103avg 68
H24/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 68
H29/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
61-94
61
94
-33
46avg 68
H30/12
B League
Sendai
#16
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 68
A06/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
58avg 68
A07/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 68
A17/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
81-72
81
72
+9
81avg 68
H20/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 68
H21/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
59avg 68
A27/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
22-22
27-8
15-8
26-13
30-18
22-16
24-16
14-18
13-18
15-13
26-25
22-24
14-21
8-32
17-17
15-30
25-10
24-14
13-13
25-16
13-9
18-13
10-18
25-11
22-19
31-19
13-20
29-21
15-19
23-16
14-16
21-14
23-21
16-13
14-15
18-21
11-24
21-21
20-17
147.2Avg total
77.7Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)76.274.3150.5+2.056%
Season at home (17)75.773.9149.6+1.859%
Season away (15)76.974.7151.6+2.153%
Last 10 (10)77.769.5147.2+8.270%
Last 5 (5)76.468.6145.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.688.5160.1-16.912%
vs Similar (12)74.370.8145.2+3.558%
vs Weaker (10)83.365.9149.2+17.4100%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +7.8+7.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +7.8+7.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
Utsunomiya BrexSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H23/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H24/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A29/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A30/12
B League
Osaka
#18
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H06/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H07/01
B League
Gunma
#13
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A17/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A20/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/01
B League
Saga
#15
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H27/01
B League
76.9Avg total
43.0Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.433.974.3+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.036.577.5+4.554%-
Last 30 away (17)39.931.971.8+8.182%-
Last 10 (10)43.033.976.9+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)43.231.274.4+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)34.836.571.2-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.333.574.8+7.873%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#19
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H23/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H24/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H29/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H30/12
B League
Sendai
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A06/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A07/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A17/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H20/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H21/01
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/01
B League
77.1Avg total
40.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.977.3+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.938.377.2+0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.937.577.3+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)40.636.577.1+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.075.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.147.682.8-12.50%-
vs Similar (12)38.634.372.9+4.267%-
vs Weaker (10)43.834.378.1+9.590%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.717.4
54.9%
50.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.4
36.4%
33.5%34.2
🏀 Free throws12.18.8
72.7%
72.0%8.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.7
51.5%
50.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.6
41.6%
33.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.49.9
60.4%
72.0%9.9
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utsunomiya Brex
WWLWWWWWLW
Saga
LWWWWWLLWW
#1
League position
#15
+15.4
Net rating
+12.0
112.9
Offensive rating
107.7
97.5
Defensive rating
95.7
54.8%
Effective FG%
56.1%
44.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
15.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.4%
3-point %
41.6%
61.8%
Assist %
67.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 107.7Defence97.5 · 95.7Shooting54.8% · 56.1%3-point %36.4% · 41.6%Ball care15.4% · 15.7%Off. rebounds29.4% · 19.0%Free throws0.19 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Utsunomiya Brex   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Utsunomiya Brex wins
0
Saga wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Utsunomiya Brex v Saga83-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HSaga83-70
21/01/24ARyukyu74-68
20/01/24ARyukyu66-68
17/01/24AGunma93-81
07/01/24HOsaka81-53
06/01/24HOsaka98-82
30/12/23AShinshu77-55
29/12/23AShinshu73-59
24/12/23HShimane60-76
23/12/23HShimane83-68
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AUtsunomiya Brex70-83
21/01/24HToyama74-63
20/01/24HToyama81-72
17/01/24AOsaka91-69
07/01/24ASendai66-56
06/01/24ASendai77-67
30/12/23HAlvark61-94
29/12/23HAlvark68-74
24/12/23HYokohama102-63
23/12/23HYokohama87-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWWLW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %78%80%76%
Points / game78.278.977.7
Allowed / game68.570.766.6
Point differential+9.8+8.2+11.1
Avg total146.8149.5144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%53%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeWLLWW59%
AwayLWWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %56%59%53%
Points / game76.275.776.9
Allowed / game74.373.974.7
Point differential+2.0+1.8+2.1
Avg total150.5149.6151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%24%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3329488%90.877.0+13.8
2 Alvark3228488%82.066.3+15.7
3 Utsunomiya Brex3225778%78.268.5+9.8
4 SeaHorses Mikawa32211166%82.976.8+6.0
5 Ryukyu32211166%79.476.4+3.0
6 Shimane33211264%85.077.8+7.2
7 Chiba33201361%85.882.9+2.8
8 Diamond Dolphins32191359%81.379.2+2.1
9 Brave Thunders33191458%79.977.2+2.7
10 Saga32181456%76.274.3+2.0
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya32181456%77.675.7+1.9
12 Hiroshima D.32171553%78.373.2+5.1
13 Akita33161748%73.174.7-1.6
14 Gunma32151747%77.881.7-3.9
15 Sendai32141844%79.580.5-1.0
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles32141844%71.174.8-3.7
17 Nagasaki33141942%81.183.9-2.8
18 Yokohama33141942%76.882.7-6.0
19 Osaka32131941%77.782.2-4.6
20 Kyoto32102231%78.084.3-6.3
21 Hokkaido33102330%74.779.9-5.2
22 Shinshu3362718%71.384.2-12.8
23 Toyama3342912%74.285.3-11.2
24 Ibaraki Robots323299%73.986.2-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utsunomiya Brex1522211876
Saga2018121262
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