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Utsunomiya Brex vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 83-70
21-18 24-11 21-21 17-20
Position#1
Record24-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Position#15
Record18-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game74.0
JapanB League· Brex Arena Utsunomiya (Utsunomiya)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Utsunomiya Brex v Saga
28 Jan 2024
UTSU76
SAGA62
27 Jan 2024
UTSU83
SAGA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utsunomiya Brex winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
65avg 71
H20/12
B League
Shimane
#12
W
83-68
83
68
+15
84avg 71
H23/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
60-76
60
76
-16
49avg 71
H24/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
73-59
73
59
+14
71avg 71
A29/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
77-55
77
55
+22
73avg 71
A30/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
98-82
98
82
+16
94avg 71
H06/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
81-53
81
53
+28
77avg 71
H07/01
B League
Gunma
#13
W
93-81
93
81
+12
90avg 71
A17/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
66-68
66
68
-2
56avg 71
A20/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
74-68
74
68
+6
61avg 71
A21/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
22-14
16-19
23-14
15-19
25-13
24-18
19-18
18-19
16-18
19-13
7-26
20-13
26-20
15-8
12-18
18-18
22-9
26-12
11-16
24-27
30-27
23-14
21-14
14-18
29-9
23-14
15-12
27-20
26-15
21-25
19-21
17-17
18-11
13-20
18-20
23-15
17-22
17-18
17-13
145.8Avg total
78.3Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.168.5146.5+9.677%
Season at home (14)78.670.7149.3+7.979%
Season away (17)77.766.6144.3+11.176%
Last 10 (10)78.367.5145.8+10.880%
Last 5 (5)82.470.4152.8+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)69.876.8146.5-7.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)79.367.0146.3+12.381%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
W
80-77
80
77
+3
72avg 69
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
87-54
87
54
+33
90avg 69
H23/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
102-63
102
63
+39
103avg 69
H24/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 69
H29/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
61-94
61
94
-33
46avg 69
H30/12
B League
Sendai
#16
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 69
A06/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
58avg 69
A07/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 69
A17/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
81-72
81
72
+9
81avg 69
H20/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
74-63
74
63
+11
65avg 69
H21/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
21-14
17-22
24-17
23-16
22-22
27-8
15-8
26-13
30-18
22-16
24-16
14-18
13-18
15-13
26-25
22-24
14-21
8-32
17-17
15-30
25-10
24-14
13-13
25-16
13-9
18-13
10-18
25-11
22-19
31-19
13-20
29-21
15-19
23-16
14-16
21-14
23-21
16-13
14-15
147.6Avg total
78.7Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.574.0150.5+2.558%
Season at home (17)75.773.9149.6+1.859%
Season away (14)77.474.1151.5+3.257%
Last 10 (10)78.768.9147.6+9.880%
Last 5 (5)77.865.4143.2+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.989.3161.1-17.414%
vs Similar (13)74.771.5146.2+3.254%
vs Weaker (10)83.365.9149.2+17.4100%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
Utsunomiya BrexSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H20/12
B League
Shimane
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H23/12
B League
Shimane
#12
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H24/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A29/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A30/12
B League
Osaka
#18
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H06/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H07/01
B League
Gunma
#13
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A17/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A20/01
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/01
B League
76.6Avg total
42.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.233.974.0+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.536.576.9+4.054%-
Last 30 away (17)39.931.971.8+8.182%-
Last 10 (10)42.434.276.6+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)45.036.281.2+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)34.836.571.2-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.033.574.5+7.573%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H23/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H24/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H29/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H30/12
B League
Sendai
#16
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A06/01
B League
Sendai
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A07/01
B League
Osaka
#18
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A17/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H20/01
B League
Toyama
#24
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H21/01
B League
77.4Avg total
41.6Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.577.3+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.038.177.1+0.962%-
Last 30 away (14)40.636.977.6+3.757%-
Last 10 (10)41.635.877.4+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.076.6+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.048.084.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (13)38.734.473.1+4.369%-
vs Weaker (10)43.834.378.1+9.590%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.7
53.2%
50.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.8
35.1%
33.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws13.69.5
69.9%
72.0%9.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.8
52.0%
50.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.8
42.0%
33.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.610.3
62.0%
72.0%10.3
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utsunomiya Brex
WLWWWWWLWW
Saga
WWWWWLLWWW
#1
League position
#15
+15.3
Net rating
+14.7
111.7
Offensive rating
108.6
96.4
Defensive rating
93.9
52.9%
Effective FG%
56.8%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.9%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.0%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
19.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.1%
3-point %
42.0%
62.1%
Assist %
66.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 108.6Defence96.4 · 93.9Shooting52.9% · 56.8%3-point %35.1% · 42.0%Ball care14.2% · 16.0%Off. rebounds29.5% · 19.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Utsunomiya Brex   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Utsunomiya Brex wins
0
Saga wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24ARyukyu74-68
20/01/24ARyukyu66-68
17/01/24AGunma93-81
07/01/24HOsaka81-53
06/01/24HOsaka98-82
30/12/23AShinshu77-55
29/12/23AShinshu73-59
24/12/23HShimane60-76
23/12/23HShimane83-68
20/12/23HChiba78-65
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HToyama74-63
20/01/24HToyama81-72
17/01/24AOsaka91-69
07/01/24ASendai66-56
06/01/24ASendai77-67
30/12/23HAlvark61-94
29/12/23HAlvark68-74
24/12/23HYokohama102-63
23/12/23HYokohama87-54
20/12/23HShimane80-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW77%
HomeWWLWW79%
AwayWWWLW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %77%79%76%
Points / game78.178.677.7
Allowed / game68.570.766.6
Point differential+9.6+7.9+11.1
Avg total146.5149.3144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW58%
HomeWLLWW59%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %58%59%57%
Points / game76.575.777.4
Allowed / game74.073.974.1
Point differential+2.5+1.8+3.2
Avg total150.5149.6151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%24%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark3127487%82.166.3+15.9
2 NeoPhoenix3127487%90.277.4+12.8
3 Utsunomiya Brex3124777%78.168.5+9.6
4 SeaHorses Mikawa31211068%82.576.2+6.4
5 Ryukyu31211068%79.275.8+3.4
6 Shimane31191261%84.377.6+6.6
7 Saga31181358%76.574.0+2.5
8 Chiba31181358%85.483.0+2.4
9 Diamond Dolphins31181358%81.179.0+2.1
10 Brave Thunders32181456%79.977.5+2.3
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya31171455%77.976.2+1.8
12 Hiroshima D.31161552%77.973.9+4.1
13 Akita32161650%73.274.5-1.3
14 Sendai31141745%79.380.2-0.9
15 Nagasaki31141745%81.782.8-1.1
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles31141745%71.475.0-3.6
17 Gunma31141745%77.181.3-4.2
18 Yokohama31141745%76.681.9-5.3
19 Osaka31131842%78.082.4-4.5
20 Hokkaido3192229%74.280.7-6.5
21 Kyoto3192229%77.584.3-6.8
22 Shinshu3152616%71.684.4-12.8
23 Toyama3142713%73.684.9-11.3
24 Ibaraki Robots3132810%74.586.1-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utsunomiya Brex2124211783
Saga1811212070
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