Vaerlose vs Horsens Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	77.8	91.2	169.0	-13.4	18%
Season at home (5)	73.8	92.2	166.0	-18.4	0%
Season away (6)	81.2	90.3	171.5	-9.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	92.5	169.3	-15.7	10%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	86.8	160.4	-13.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	72.5	94.8	167.4	-22.3	8%
vs Similar (14)	86.1	86.3	172.4	-0.2	64%
vs Weaker (3)	87.0	96.0	183.0	-9.0	33%

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Horsens

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormHorsens

Date

Competition

Svendborg

92-70

+22

86avg 76

A17/09

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

64-83

-19

52avg 76

A24/09

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

73-101

101

-28

66avg 76

H27/09

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#11

99-79

+20

104avg 76

H02/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

80-69

+11

72avg 76

A10/10

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

97-83

+14

92avg 76

H15/10

Basketligaen

Randers

94-84

+10

92avg 76

H23/10

Basketligaen

Vejen

102-66

102

+36

105avg 76

A28/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

#10

93-84

no box

A04/11

Basketligaen

BMS Herlev

#12

98-57

+41

no box

H08/11

Basketligaen

24-13

16-25

23-13

29-19

13-27

21-19

21-10

9-27

15-31

21-28

15-24

22-18

20-25

26-16

21-21

32-17

16-22

21-20

27-13

16-14

23-18

43-24

0-0

31-41

28-25

18-21

22-20

26-18

30-21

26-17

19-13

27-15

25-21

22-12

19-21

27-30

28-11

24-12

26-17

20-17

166.8Avg total

89.2Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	89.2	77.6	166.8	+11.6	80%
Season at home (5)	92.2	80.8	173.0	+11.4	80%
Season away (5)	86.2	74.4	160.6	+11.8	80%
Last 10 (10)	89.2	77.6	166.8	+11.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	96.8	74.8	171.6	+22.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	81.1	90.4	171.5	-9.3	33%
vs Similar (5)	85.2	79.2	164.4	+6.0	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	94.6	77.5	172.1	+17.1	90%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VaerloseHorsens

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	22.7	43.1	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	22.5	41.7	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	22.9	44.6	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.6	38.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.5	22.5	41.0	-3.9	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.9	22.3	44.1	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	25.7	47.7	-3.7	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.5	44.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	20.9	43.4	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	24.1	44.7	-3.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	19.2	46.0	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.3	25.5	45.9	-5.2	13%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.6	19.6	42.2	+3.0	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.0	19.3	42.3	+3.7	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	23.3	41.5	-5.1	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	23.5	41.3	-5.7	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	23.1	41.7	-4.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	24.1	42.9	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.8	24.8	41.6	-8.1	8%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.8	21.9	40.6	-3.1	21%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	23.3	44.7	-2.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.2	42.3	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.3	19.2	43.5	+5.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	21.1	41.1	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	19.4	43.2	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	17.2	43.8	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	26.5	19.3	45.8	+7.2	90%	-

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Copenhagen

39-39

A22/09

Basketligaen

Randers

36-36

H27/09

Basketligaen

Horsens

41-46

-5

A02/10

Basketligaen

Vejen

45-44

A08/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

41-56

-15

H18/10

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

24-40

-16

H24/10

Basketligaen

BMS Herlev

#12

48-49

-1

A30/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

30-37

-7

H04/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

31-50

-19

A08/11

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

#10

44-52

-8

H14/11

Basketligaen

82.8Avg total

37.9Scored

44.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	46.0	84.6	-7.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.0	45.9	82.9	-8.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.2	46.1	86.3	-5.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	44.9	82.8	-7.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	45.6	81.0	-10.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	35.3	47.3	82.6	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.6	44.1	84.8	-3.5	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	49.0	92.3	-5.7	33%	-

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

40-38

A17/09

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

34-46

-12

A24/09

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

36-59

-23

H27/09

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#11

46-41

H02/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

37-42

-5

A10/10

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

66-42

+24

H15/10

Basketligaen

Randers

46-46

H23/10

Basketligaen

Vejen

56-38

+18

A28/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

#10

47-33

+14

A04/11

Basketligaen

BMS Herlev

#12

52-23

+29

H08/11

Basketligaen

86.8Avg total

46.0Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	42.6	86.4	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.8	40.1	86.9	+6.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	45.2	85.9	-4.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	40.8	86.8	+5.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.4	36.4	89.8	+17.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	41.2	46.3	87.5	-5.1	27%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.8	39.6	79.4	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	49.5	38.6	88.1	+10.9	80%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	22.6	41.6	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	21.9	41.5	-2.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	23.3	41.7	-5.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	22.5	39.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.8	35.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.3	24.0	41.3	-6.7	15%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.6	21.5	42.1	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	21.2	39.9	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	15.2	34.5	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	14.2	31.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.5	21.3	39.8	-2.9	27%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.6	17.1	36.7	+2.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.5	41.5	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	23.6	19.6	43.3	+4.0	71%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	21.7	41.3	-2.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	21.7	44.7	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	22.1	44.9	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	21.4	44.5	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	21.6	45.5	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	24.2	50.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.5	21.8	42.3	-1.3	47%	-
vs Similar (5)	25.2	21.4	46.6	+3.8	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	25.5	21.8	47.3	+3.7	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	43.6	83.8	-3.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	42.9	83.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	44.3	83.9	-4.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	45.0	80.9	-9.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	39.2	73.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	36.3	46.3	82.6	-10.0	15%	-
vs Similar (14)	44.3	41.1	85.4	+3.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (3)	37.7	43.7	81.3	-6.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	41.1	83.2	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	43.3	84.7	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	39.0	81.7	+3.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	36.8	80.0	+6.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	38.4	81.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	39.0	43.1	82.1	-4.1	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	45.4	39.6	85.0	+5.8	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	45.1	38.9	84.0	+6.2	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 81.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	21.3	53.8%	55.2%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	8.5	29.6%	31.2%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	21.7	13.7	63.1%	68.0%	13.7

They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 84.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	21.5	56.6%	55.2%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.9	34.4%	31.2%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	24.2	14.8	61.2%	68.0%	14.8

They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.1	57.0%	55.2%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.4	36.7%	31.2%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	24.9	16.6	66.7%	68.0%	16.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.1	25.0	59.4%	55.2%	50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.8	7.1	29.8%	31.2%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	12.8	67.4%	68.0%	12.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	20.4	53.9%	55.2%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.0	32.2%	31.2%	24.1
🏀 Free throws	25.1	16.8	67.2%	68.0%	16.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	22.1	55.7%	55.2%	44.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	8.4	33.3%	31.2%	25.3
🏀 Free throws	23.5	14.5	61.8%	68.0%	14.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	22.4	56.7%	55.2%	44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	9.5	35.0%	31.2%	28.6
🏀 Free throws	24.0	17.0	70.8%	68.0%	17.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	22.0	57.9%	55.2%	43.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.5	32.5%	31.2%	25.4
🏀 Free throws	18.4	13.3	72.1%	68.0%	13.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Vaerlose

LLLWLLLLLL

Horsens

WWWWWWWLLW

#11

League position

-9.7

Net rating

+0.4

86.1

Offensive rating

95.0

95.7

Defensive rating

94.6

49.9%

Effective FG%

54.5%

56.3%

Opp. effective FG%

54.1%

17.7%

Turnover %

16.9%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.38

29.6%

3-point %

34.4%

61.7%

Assist %

65.1%

10%

Form (last 10/10)

80%

Profile

■ Vaerlose ■ Horsens

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vaerlose wins

Horsens wins

Date	Game	Score
02/10/26	Horsens v Vaerlose	99-79
02/11/25	Horsens v Vaerlose	98-72
26/10/25	Vaerlose v Horsens	60-74
08/02/25	Vaerlose v Horsens	69-89
01/12/24	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-64
14/11/24	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-59
28/03/24	Horsens v Vaerlose	70-78
18/03/24	Vaerlose v Horsens	64-86
25/01/24	Vaerlose v Horsens	78-99
12/11/23	Vaerlose v Horsens	71-90

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/11/26	H	Bears Academy	76-86
08/11/26	A	Svendborg	59-86
04/11/26	H	Team FOG Naestved	62-95
30/10/26	A	BMS Herlev	107-99 OT
24/10/26	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	64-68
18/10/26	H	Bakken Bears	82-123
08/10/26	A	Vejen	80-92
02/10/26	A	Horsens	79-99
27/09/26	H	Randers	85-89 OT
22/09/26	A	Copenhagen	74-88

Horsenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	H	BMS Herlev	98-57
04/11/26	A	Bears Academy	93-84
28/10/26	A	Vejen	102-66
23/10/26	H	Randers	94-84
15/10/26	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	97-83
10/10/26	A	Copenhagen	80-69
02/10/26	H	Vaerlose	99-79
27/09/26	H	Team FOG Naestved	73-101
24/09/26	A	Bakken Bears	64-83
17/09/26	A	Svendborg	92-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	18%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	18%	0%	33%
Points / game	77.8	73.8	81.2
Allowed / game	91.2	92.2	90.3
Point differential	-13.4	-18.4	-9.2
Avg total	169.0	166.0	171.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	0%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	18%	20%	17%

Horsens

Basketligaen 2026-27

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	80%
Home	LWWWW	80%
Away	WLWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	80%	80%	80%
Points / game	89.2	92.2	86.2
Allowed / game	77.6	80.8	74.4
Point differential	+11.6	+11.4	+11.8
Avg total	166.8	173.0	160.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	70%	80%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Team FOG Naestved	11	10	1	91%	99.0	72.6	+26.4
2	Bakken Bears	9	8	1	89%	104.7	74.9	+29.8
3	Horsens	10	8	2	80%	89.2	77.6	+11.6
4	Svendborg	10	8	2	80%	90.6	79.7	+10.9
5	Randers	10	7	3	70%	95.6	86.0	+9.6
6	Copenhagen	10	5	5	50%	83.0	82.3	+0.7
7	Holbaek-Stenhus	11	5	6	45%	78.2	86.2	-8.0
8	Gladsaxe	10	3	7	30%	79.4	88.9	-9.5
9	Vejen	10	3	7	30%	78.9	96.8	-17.9
10	Bears Academy	11	2	9	18%	79.5	91.1	-11.6
11	Vaerlose	11	2	9	18%	77.8	91.2	-13.4
12	BMS Herlev	11	1	10	9%	74.4	97.0	-22.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

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Vaerlose vs Horsens Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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