Vaerlose vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	81.4	86.7	168.1	-5.3	47%
Season at home (7)	84.6	84.1	168.7	+0.4	57%
Season away (8)	78.6	89.0	167.6	-10.4	38%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	90.7	169.6	-11.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	89.4	174.8	-4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	78.3	92.8	171.1	-14.4	11%
vs Similar (9)	76.9	80.4	157.3	-3.6	56%
vs Weaker (11)	87.2	74.4	161.5	+12.8	82%

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Horsens

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormHorsens

Date

Competition

Bears Academy

88-56

+32

88avg 81

A19/11

Basketligaen

Falcon

85-58

+27

no box

A03/12

Denmark Cup

Svendborg

75-81

-6

56avg 81

H11/12

Basketligaen

Randers

91-77

+14

86avg 81

A14/12

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

101-83

101

+18

98avg 81

A20/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

86-80

70avg 81

H28/12

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#10

76-61

+15

72avg 81

A03/01

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

71-42

+29

62avg 81

H08/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

79-84

-5

70avg 81

A20/01

Denmark Cup

Randers

74-79

-5

62avg 81

A21/01

Denmark Cup

21-15

24-16

22-7

21-18

–

13-14

17-27

12-14

33-26

23-22

29-25

16-16

23-14

28-27

20-15

32-15

21-26

17-16

24-20

20-27

25-17

20-8

23-19

12-12

21-22

22-14

19-9

15-10

15-9

20-20

20-24

20-19

19-21

19-20

18-12

19-24

18-23

152.7Avg total

82.6Scored

70.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	88.2	69.9	158.2	+18.3	81%
Season at home (8)	89.1	65.5	154.6	+23.6	88%
Season away (8)	87.4	74.4	161.8	+13.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	70.1	152.7	+12.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	69.2	146.4	+8.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	76.5	89.6	166.2	-13.1	9%
vs Similar (2)	98.0	88.5	186.5	+9.5	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	86.8	66.4	153.2	+20.4	81%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VaerloseHorsens

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	21.1	41.9	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	26.2	50.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.9	23.7	42.6	-4.8	22%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.9	19.4	42.3	+3.5	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.9	16.8	36.7	+3.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	19.8	39.9	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.3	17.3	37.7	+3.0	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	15.6	35.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.5	45%	-
vs Similar (2)	28.5	23.5	52.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.7	17.1	36.9	+2.6	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	24.6	43.9	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	23.2	41.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	21.3	23.1	44.4	-1.8	44%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.7	17.7	35.3	+0.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.1	19.8	42.9	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	24.5	17.8	42.2	+6.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+0.8	65%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.6	18.6	40.1	+3.0	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.8	37.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.6	25.1	46.7	-3.5	36%	-
vs Similar (2)	23.5	14.0	37.5	+9.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.5	16.6	40.1	+6.9	87%	-

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

28-40

-12

A29/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

36-57

-21

A05/11

Basketligaen

Randers

45-42

H07/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

36-48

-12

H12/11

Denmark Cup

Holbaek-Stenhus

#10

43-34

A16/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

47-57

-10

H09/12

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

39-52

-13

A17/12

Basketligaen

Amager

#11

46-48

-2

H28/12

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

47-42

H07/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

34-48

-14

A15/01

Basketligaen

86.9Avg total

40.1Scored

46.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	40.7	80.8	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	41.1	82.9	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	40.3	78.6	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	46.8	86.9	-6.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	49.4	92.0	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	40.2	46.8	87.0	-6.6	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.7	37.8	74.4	-1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.1	37.5	80.5	+5.6	64%	-

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bears Academy

45-31

+14

A19/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

30-41

-11

H11/12

Basketligaen

Randers

52-47

A14/12

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

48-42

A20/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

41-36

H28/12

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#10

43-27

+16

A03/01

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

41-23

+18

H08/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

40-44

-4

A20/01

Denmark Cup

Randers

37-32

A21/01

Denmark Cup

77.8Avg total

41.9Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.1	38.3	81.4	+4.8	72%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	44.4	34.5	78.9	+9.9	83%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.2	41.0	83.2	+1.2	65%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.9	35.9	77.8	+6.0	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	32.4	72.8	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	40.9	44.9	85.8	-4.0	55%	-
vs Similar (2)	52.0	37.5	89.5	+14.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	43.3	33.7	77.0	+9.5	80%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	21.7	41.9	-1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	23.4	43.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.9	25.1	44.0	-6.2	22%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.7	19.2	41.9	+3.5	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.2	18.3	37.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.7	16.0	34.7	+2.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.6	22.5	41.1	-3.8	27%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.4	15.1	35.5	+5.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.6	39.7	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.1	38.7	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	19.4	38.6	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.4	17.7	39.1	+3.6	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	20.4	41.3	+0.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.1	17.2	40.3	+5.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	22.6	42.1	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.8	19.6	41.3	+2.2	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.0	22.3	39.3	-5.3	27%	-
vs Similar (2)	25.0	29.0	54.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.3	18.1	41.4	+5.1	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	41.1	81.6	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	40.4	82.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	41.8	80.6	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	43.9	82.7	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	40.0	82.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	38.1	46.0	84.1	-7.9	22%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.1	41.2	80.3	-2.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (11)	44.1	36.9	81.0	+7.2	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.7	38.9	79.6	+1.9	59%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.2	35.6	77.8	+6.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.6	41.2	80.8	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.4	35.6	76.0	+4.9	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	36.8	73.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	35.6	44.7	80.4	-9.1	18%	-
vs Similar (2)	46.0	51.0	97.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	43.7	33.2	76.9	+10.5	87%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 79.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game

54%

29%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.1	20.1	45.6%	51.8%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	7.4	28.0%	31.7%	22.2
🏀 Free throws	22.6	16.7	73.9%	67.0%	16.7

They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 82.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game

54%

29%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.3	22.3	51.5%	51.8%	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	8.8	31.1%	31.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	18.7	11.2	59.9%	67.0%	11.2

They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.9	23.3	50.8%	51.8%	46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	8.6	35.2%	31.7%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	24.2	16.6	68.6%	67.0%	16.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	20.4	48.9%	51.8%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.1	5.4	24.4%	31.7%	16.2
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.8	73.3%	67.0%	14.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.9	21.1	48.2%	51.8%	42.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	7.3	29.0%	31.7%	21.8
🏀 Free throws	22.6	16.5	73.2%	67.0%	16.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.3	24.1	53.1%	51.8%	48.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.7	32.3%	31.7%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	18.8	11.7	62.4%	67.0%	11.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.9	23.1	52.6%	51.8%	46.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	7.8	32.3%	31.7%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	24.2	16.3	67.2%	67.0%	16.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.4	19.4	46.9%	51.8%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.9	5.7	27.4%	31.7%	17.2
🏀 Free throws	20.4	14.7	72.2%	67.0%	14.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Vaerlose

LWWLLWLLLL

Horsens

LLWWWWWLWW

League position

-12.1

Net rating

+13.4

97.1

Offensive rating

105.6

109.2

Defensive rating

92.2

44.3%

Effective FG%

49.6%

51.5%

Opp. effective FG%

44.7%

17.6%

Turnover %

16.5%

29.3%

Off. rebound %

34.7%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.26

28.0%

3-point %

31.1%

61.5%

Assist %

59.8%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Vaerlose ■ Horsens

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vaerlose wins

Horsens wins

Date	Game	Score
12/11/23	Vaerlose v Horsens	71-90
29/10/23	Horsens v Vaerlose	88-56
22/01/23	Horsens v Vaerlose	90-63
04/11/22	Vaerlose v Horsens	82-87
16/01/22	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-92
22/10/21	Vaerlose v Horsens	84-89
03/01/21	Vaerlose v Horsens	84-100
11/10/20	Horsens v Vaerlose	96-88
24/11/19	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-85
27/09/19	Vaerlose v Horsens	73-93

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/01/24	A	Svendborg	76-98
07/01/24	H	Herlev Wolfpack	81-76
28/12/23	H	Amager	91-89
17/12/23	A	Copenhagen	84-85
09/12/23	H	Team FOG Naestved	95-99
16/11/23	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	78-70
12/11/23	H	Horsens	71-90
07/11/23	H	Randers	85-94
05/11/23	A	Bakken Bears	72-118
29/10/23	A	Horsens	56-88

Horsenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/24	A	Randers	74-79
20/01/24	A	Team FOG Naestved	79-84
08/01/24	H	Copenhagen	71-42
03/01/24	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	76-61
28/12/23	H	Bakken Bears	86-80
20/12/23	A	Herlev Wolfpack	101-83
14/12/23	A	Randers	91-77
11/12/23	H	Svendborg	75-81
03/12/23	A	Falcon	85-58
19/11/23	A	Bears Academy	88-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	47%
Home	LLLWW	57%
Away	LLWLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	47%	57%	38%
Points / game	81.4	84.6	78.6
Allowed / game	86.7	84.1	89.0
Point differential	-5.3	+0.4	-10.4
Avg total	168.1	168.7	167.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	0%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Horsens

Basketligaen 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	81%
Home	WWLWW	88%
Away	WWWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	81%	88%	75%
Points / game	88.2	89.1	87.4
Allowed / game	69.9	65.5	74.4
Point differential	+18.3	+23.6	+13.0
Avg total	158.2	154.6	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	69%	62%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	16	15	1	94%	102.6	75.5	+27.1
2	Team FOG Naestved	17	14	3	82%	97.5	80.5	+17.0
3	Horsens	16	13	3	81%	88.2	69.9	+18.3
4	Svendborg	16	13	3	81%	89.9	79.1	+10.8
5	Randers	16	10	6	62%	96.1	85.5	+10.6
6	Vaerlose	15	7	8	47%	81.4	86.7	-5.3
7	Copenhagen	17	7	10	41%	81.1	80.1	+1.1
8	Bears Academy	15	4	11	27%	76.0	86.5	-10.5
9	Holbaek-Stenhus	17	3	14	18%	68.6	90.1	-21.4
10	Herlev Wolfpack	16	2	14	12%	73.0	92.4	-19.4
11	Amager	17	1	16	6%	71.6	98.9	-27.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vaerlose	20	19	21	18	78
Horsens	23	29	23	24	99

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Vaerlose vs Horsens Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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