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Vaerlose vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 64-86
17-24 20-22 11-19 16-21
Position#7
Record10-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
Position#2
Record19-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game72.2
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vaerlose v Horsens
31 Jan 2027
VAER v HORS
upcoming
26 Oct 2025
VAER60
HORS74
08 Feb 2025
VAER69
HORS89
18 Mar 2024
VAER64
HORS86
25 Jan 2024
VAER78
HORS99
12 Nov 2023
VAER71
HORS90
04 Nov 2022
VAER82
HORS87
22 Oct 2021
VAER84
HORS89
03 Jan 2021
VAER84
HORS100
27 Sep 2019
VAER73
HORS93
16 Jan 2019
VAER94
HORS101
04 Dec 2014
VAER68
HORS76
13 Oct 2014
VAER63
HORS91
31 Oct 2013
VAER78
HORS70
16 Jan 2013
VAER75
HORS95
04 Oct 2012
VAER65
HORS79
02 Nov 2011
VAER92
HORS88
17 Feb 2011
VAER69
HORS80
21 Nov 2010
VAER92
HORS56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 72
H28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 72
H07/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
76-98
76
98
-22
61avg 72
A15/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
78-99
78
99
-21
72avg 72
H25/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
61avg 72
H03/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
80-79
80
79
+1
73avg 72
A11/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
94avg 72
H15/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
72-61
72
61
+11
70avg 72
A17/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
95-98
95
98
-3
88avg 72
H07/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 72
A14/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
22-25
23-17
22-24
32-21
15-21
20-19
14-15
17-25
17-23
24-31
18-19
20-23
19-29
21-23
18-24
17-17
17-21
21-31
21-29
23-18
16-19
18-23
23-19
27-17
28-20
31-20
13-23
17-19
19-13
18-16
18-13
23-31
18-17
31-29
23-21
27-21
21-21
18-24
18-25
170.1Avg total
83.2Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.086.7168.7-4.645%
Season at home (11)85.587.6173.1-2.245%
Season away (11)78.685.7164.4-7.145%
Last 10 (10)83.286.9170.1-3.750%
Last 5 (5)86.081.8167.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.992.9172.7-13.014%
vs Similar (5)76.475.0151.4+1.480%
vs Weaker (10)88.476.8165.2+11.680%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
76-61
76
61
+15
72avg 83
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
71-42
71
42
+29
62avg 83
H08/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
70avg 83
A20/01
Denmark Cup
Randers
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
62avg 83
A21/01
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
W
99-78
99
78
+21
99avg 83
A25/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
115-84
115
84
+31
109avg 83
A03/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
92-88
92
88
+4
88avg 83
H09/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
86-66
86
66
+20
85avg 83
H15/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
88-77
88
77
+11
76avg 83
H04/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
69avg 83
A11/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-8
23-19
12-12
21-22
22-14
19-9
15-10
15-9
20-20
20-24
20-19
19-21
19-20
18-12
19-24
18-23
23-20
29-19
23-21
24-18
28-14
27-18
34-19
26-33
21-28
21-20
23-17
27-23
23-12
23-12
24-20
16-22
15-20
25-17
23-23
25-17
21-22
21-20
20-7
21-27
159.8Avg total
86.3Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)89.872.2162.0+17.686%
Season at home (11)89.068.6157.6+20.491%
Season away (11)90.575.7166.3+14.882%
Last 10 (10)86.373.5159.8+12.880%
Last 5 (5)92.878.2171.0+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.187.8168.9-6.625%
vs Similar (2)93.583.5177.0+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.768.8157.5+19.984%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
VaerloseHorsens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H25/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H03/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H15/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A17/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H07/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A14/03
Basketligaen
84.3Avg total
41.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.983.2-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.342.485.7+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.480.7-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.484.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.283.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.245.685.8-5.436%-
vs Similar (5)40.438.078.4+2.480%-
vs Weaker (10)43.838.181.9+5.760%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H08/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A20/01
Denmark Cup
Randers
#3
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/01
Denmark Cup
Vaerlose
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A25/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A03/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H09/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H15/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H04/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A11/03
Basketligaen
78.6Avg total
43.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.836.880.6+7.072%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.633.275.8+9.375%-
Last 30 away (17)44.639.383.9+5.371%-
Last 10 (10)43.834.878.6+9.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.036.681.6+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.643.184.8-1.562%-
vs Similar (2)43.540.083.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.533.778.2+10.878%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.820.8
48.6%
51.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.6
29.6%
31.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.918.4
77.0%
67.0%18.4
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.725.6
53.7%
51.8%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.2
31.9%
31.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.112.3
64.4%
67.0%12.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLWWWLLLWW
Horsens
WWWWWWLLWW
#7
League position
#2
-3.6
Net rating
+16.0
103.4
Offensive rating
111.8
107.0
Defensive rating
95.7
47.0%
Effective FG%
51.8%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
17.0%
Turnover %
14.8%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.6%
3-point %
31.9%
71.5%
Assist %
53.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 111.8Defence107.0 · 95.7Shooting47.0% · 51.8%3-point %29.6% · 31.9%Ball care17.0% · 14.8%Off. rebounds30.2% · 34.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Horsens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vaerlose wins
10
Horsens wins
DateGameScore
25/01/24Vaerlose v Horsens78-99
12/11/23Vaerlose v Horsens71-90
29/10/23Horsens v Vaerlose88-56
22/01/23Horsens v Vaerlose90-63
04/11/22Vaerlose v Horsens82-87
16/01/22Horsens v Vaerlose95-92
22/10/21Vaerlose v Horsens84-89
03/01/21Vaerlose v Horsens84-100
11/10/20Horsens v Vaerlose96-88
24/11/19Horsens v Vaerlose95-85
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24ARanders84-91
07/03/24HSvendborg95-98
17/02/24ABears Academy72-61
15/02/24HHolbaek-Stenhus99-80
11/02/24ARanders80-79
03/02/24HBakken Bears76-98
25/01/24HHorsens78-99
15/01/24ASvendborg76-98
07/01/24HHerlev Wolfpack81-76
28/12/23HAmager91-89
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/24ASvendborg83-76
04/03/24HBakken Bears88-77
15/02/24HBears Academy86-66
09/02/24HTeam FOG Naestved92-88
03/02/24AAmager115-84
25/01/24AVaerlose99-78
21/01/24ARanders74-79
20/01/24ATeam FOG Naestved79-84
08/01/24HCopenhagen71-42
03/01/24AHolbaek-Stenhus76-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeWLLWL45%
AwayLLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%45%45%
Points / game82.085.578.6
Allowed / game86.787.685.7
Point differential-4.6-2.2-7.1
Avg total168.7173.1164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Horsens
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %86%91%82%
Points / game89.889.090.5
Allowed / game72.268.675.7
Point differential+17.6+20.4+14.8
Avg total162.0157.6166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%64%73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2320387%100.377.1+23.2
2 Horsens2219386%89.872.2+17.6
3 Team FOG Naestved2317674%96.383.8+12.6
4 Svendborg2317674%91.582.3+9.2
5 Randers23131057%93.987.4+6.4
6 Copenhagen23121152%82.379.2+3.1
7 Vaerlose22101245%82.086.7-4.6
8 Bears Academy2371630%75.883.6-7.8
9 Herlev Wolfpack2351822%75.691.7-16.1
10 Holbaek-Stenhus2341917%72.190.4-18.3
11 Amager242228%75.899.5-23.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1720111664
Horsens2422192186
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