Vaerlose vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	77.2	88.9	166.1	-11.7	28%
Season at home (9)	77.0	84.9	161.9	-7.9	33%
Season away (9)	77.3	92.9	170.2	-15.6	22%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	86.5	166.6	-6.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	94.4	170.6	-18.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	76.5	92.5	169.0	-16.0	17%
vs Similar (5)	87.0	81.6	168.6	+5.4	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Horsens

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormHorsens

Date

Competition

Vaerlose

95-64

+31

no box

H01/12

Denmark Cup

Amager

117-94

117

+23

112avg 79

A12/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

92-95 OT

-3

80avg 79

A14/12

Denmark Cup

Herlev Wolfpack

99-71

+28

94avg 79

H18/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

95-91

83avg 79

H27/12

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

99-78

+21

93avg 79

H05/01

Basketligaen

Randers

84-89

-5

70avg 79

A09/01

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

87-77

+10

78avg 79

H19/01

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

#11

87-75

+12

74avg 79

A28/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

75-72

62avg 79

H03/02

Basketligaen

18-9

27-16

30-18

20-21

33-20

21-26

32-22

31-26

18-21

24-27

21-18

18-15

30-15

27-25

20-15

22-16

19-24

36-18

17-22

23-27

20-15

24-16

26-23

29-24

20-26

19-30

15-15

30-18

17-13

27-22

28-20

15-22

19-15

24-15

21-19

23-26

10-17

31-14

20-15

14-26

173.6Avg total

93.0Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	88.5	79.4	167.9	+9.1	78%
Season at home (9)	88.4	76.9	165.3	+11.6	89%
Season away (9)	88.6	81.9	170.4	+6.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	93.0	80.6	173.6	+12.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	78.2	164.6	+8.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	79.9	82.1	162.0	-2.3	43%
vs Similar (6)	87.5	94.2	181.7	-6.7	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	91.0	77.9	168.9	+13.1	88%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VaerloseHorsens

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	23.0	42.5	-3.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	23.3	42.9	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	22.7	42.2	-3.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	23.6	43.3	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	27.2	47.0	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.2	24.1	43.2	-4.9	21%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	17.9	38.2	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.2	34.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.9	20.0	37.9	-2.1	14%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.8	17.7	39.5	+4.1	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.9	40.3	-1.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	23.0	44.2	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	24.8	44.6	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.4	21.0	44.4	+2.4	80%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	21.0	44.7	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.7	20.1	44.8	+4.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	20.9	46.9	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	19.4	44.4	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	24.9	21.4	46.3	+3.4	57%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.3	23.7	45.0	-2.3	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	24.1	19.9	43.9	+4.2	71%	-

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

35-40

-5

H04/12

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

44-46

-2

H07/12

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

41-39

H10/12

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

#11

40-36

A21/12

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

51-45

A27/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

35-51

-16

H05/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

42-52

-10

H12/01

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

45-67

-22

A16/01

Basketligaen

Amager

44-44

H30/01

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

32-46

-14

A01/02

Basketligaen

87.5Avg total

40.9Scored

46.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	44.0	84.0	-3.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	44.3	85.5	-3.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	43.6	82.5	-4.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	46.6	87.5	-5.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	52.0	91.6	-12.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	38.8	45.1	83.8	-6.3	21%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.6	40.0	83.6	+3.6	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vaerlose

45-25

+20

H01/12

Denmark Cup

Amager

54-46

A12/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

42-48

-6

A14/12

Denmark Cup

Herlev Wolfpack

57-40

+17

H18/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

55-42

+13

H27/12

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

44-31

+13

H05/01

Basketligaen

Randers

39-56

-17

A09/01

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

44-35

H19/01

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

#11

43-30

+13

A28/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

41-31

+10

H03/02

Basketligaen

84.8Avg total

46.4Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	40.0	84.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.9	38.1	83.0	+6.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.8	42.2	86.0	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	38.4	84.8	+8.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	36.6	78.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	42.7	41.4	84.1	+1.3	57%	-
vs Similar (6)	42.3	45.2	87.5	-2.8	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	45.8	37.6	83.4	+8.2	76%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.9	43.0	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	23.1	43.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	22.8	42.3	-3.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.8	23.1	42.8	-3.3	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	19.7	41.8	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	20.1	39.6	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	18.7	41.7	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.0	19.3	35.3	-3.3	14%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.3	21.2	44.5	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.1	19.6	41.7	+2.4	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	23.6	42.5	-4.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	22.3	39.7	-4.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	24.9	45.3	-4.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.0	36.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.0	24.3	42.3	-6.3	21%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+3.0	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.8	43.9	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.6	22.5	46.1	+1.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.1	44.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.1	21.4	42.6	-0.3	43%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.8	27.8	49.7	-6.0	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.5	19.9	42.4	+2.6	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	46.5	85.5	-7.5	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.0	45.3	83.3	-7.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	47.7	87.6	-7.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	39.9	79.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	42.4	79.0	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	37.8	47.4	85.2	-9.7	17%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.4	41.6	85.0	+1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	41.7	84.6	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	40.9	83.7	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.1	42.6	85.7	+0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	40.8	86.3	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	41.6	85.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.1	40.7	77.9	-3.6	14%	-
vs Similar (6)	45.2	49.0	94.2	-3.8	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.5	39.5	84.1	+5.0	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 79.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	18.8	50.5%	51.9%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	8.7	29.6%	32.6%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	24.5	16.0	65.3%	70.2%	16.0

They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 90.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	20.7	53.1%	51.9%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.3	10.9	34.8%	32.6%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	23.6	16.7	70.8%	70.2%	16.7

They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	20.1	53.3%	51.9%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.5	10.0	32.8%	32.6%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	23.1	15.5	67.1%	70.2%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	19.6	53.0%	51.9%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	9.1	37.4%	32.6%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.2	73.3%	70.2%	16.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	19.3	49.6%	51.9%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	8.2	29.3%	32.6%	24.5
🏀 Free throws	22.2	15.4	69.3%	70.2%	15.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	21.9	53.2%	51.9%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	9.1	32.2%	32.6%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	23.7	15.8	66.7%	70.2%	15.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	23.3	55.2%	51.9%	46.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	8.8	32.5%	32.6%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	23.1	15.5	67.0%	70.2%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	21.4	54.0%	51.9%	42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	8.1	34.3%	32.6%	24.2
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.2	72.2%	70.2%	15.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Vaerlose

LWLLLWWWLL

Horsens

WWWLWWWLWW

#10

League position

-7.5

Net rating

+10.0

99.5

Offensive rating

111.7

107.0

Defensive rating

101.7

47.8%

Effective FG%

52.7%

51.5%

Opp. effective FG%

54.2%

19.7%

Turnover %

16.3%

30.0%

Off. rebound %

30.3%

0.37

Free-throw rate

0.34

29.6%

3-point %

34.8%

67.3%

Assist %

58.9%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

80%

Profile

■ Vaerlose ■ Horsens

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vaerlose wins

Horsens wins

Date	Game	Score
01/12/24	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-64
14/11/24	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-59
28/03/24	Horsens v Vaerlose	70-78
18/03/24	Vaerlose v Horsens	64-86
25/01/24	Vaerlose v Horsens	78-99
12/11/23	Vaerlose v Horsens	71-90
29/10/23	Horsens v Vaerlose	88-56
22/01/23	Horsens v Vaerlose	90-63
04/11/22	Vaerlose v Horsens	82-87
16/01/22	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-92

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/02/25	A	Copenhagen	61-86
30/01/25	H	Amager	84-77
16/01/25	A	Team FOG Naestved	93-125
12/01/25	H	Bakken Bears	73-98
05/01/25	H	Svendborg	70-86
27/12/24	A	Herlev Wolfpack	105-80
21/12/24	A	Bears Academy	80-70
10/12/24	H	Copenhagen	79-74
07/12/24	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	88-90
04/12/24	H	Randers	68-79

Horsenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/02/25	H	Svendborg	75-72
28/01/25	A	Bears Academy	87-75
19/01/25	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	87-77
09/01/25	A	Randers	84-89
05/01/25	H	Copenhagen	99-78
27/12/24	H	Bakken Bears	95-91
18/12/24	H	Herlev Wolfpack	99-71
14/12/24	A	Bakken Bears	92-95 OT
12/12/24	A	Amager	117-94
01/12/24	H	Vaerlose	95-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	28%
Home	LWLLW	33%
Away	LWWLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	28%	33%	22%
Points / game	77.2	77.0	77.3
Allowed / game	88.9	84.9	92.9
Point differential	-11.7	-7.9	-15.6
Avg total	166.1	161.9	170.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	0%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Horsens

Basketligaen 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	78%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	LLWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	78%	89%	67%
Points / game	88.5	88.4	88.6
Allowed / game	79.4	76.9	81.9
Point differential	+9.1	+11.6	+6.7
Avg total	167.9	165.3	170.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	44%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Team FOG Naestved	19	17	2	89%	99.2	87.4	+11.8
2	Svendborg	18	16	2	89%	88.2	72.8	+15.4
3	Horsens	18	14	4	78%	88.5	79.4	+9.1
4	Bakken Bears	19	14	5	74%	95.4	81.8	+13.6
5	Randers	20	14	6	70%	93.2	81.0	+12.3
6	Copenhagen	19	6	13	32%	82.0	85.9	-3.9
7	Amager	18	5	13	28%	86.3	94.3	-8.0
8	Vaerlose	18	5	13	28%	77.2	88.9	-11.7
9	Herlev Wolfpack	19	5	14	26%	79.4	89.0	-9.6
10	Holbaek-Stenhus	19	4	15	21%	78.1	93.6	-15.6
11	Bears Academy	19	3	16	16%	75.4	89.3	-13.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vaerlose	16	16	19	18	69
Horsens	23	25	25	16	89

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Vaerlose vs Horsens Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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