Valencia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Apr 2010

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 83-75

17-14 23-10 19-22 24-29

Position#4

Record19-9

FormWWWWW

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game75.4

Valencia 🏆

Bilbao

Position#9

Record13-15

FormWWWLW

Points / game75.1

Allowed / game74.9

ACBRound 29

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Valencia v Bilbao

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bilbao winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#16

84-71

+13

H27/02

ACB

Hapoel M. Jerusalem

#11

69-64

A02/03

Eurocup

Manresa

#12

84-82

A06/03

ACB

Unics Kazan

91-81

+10

H09/03

Eurocup

Real Madrid

67-78

-11

H13/03

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#15

83-76

A21/03

ACB

Aris

#10

71-64

A24/03

Eurocup

Unicaja

92-87

H27/03

ACB

Aris

#10

85-67

+18

H31/03

Eurocup

Murcia

#18

96-92

A04/04

ACB

28-13

23-13

17-26

16-19

20-21

23-12

11-20

15-11

15-17

21-27

22-24

26-14

24-19

22-15

27-21

18-26

14-15

21-13

17-27

15-23

19-20

25-16

18-20

21-20

21-13

16-21

16-14

18-16

22-14

27-22

27-32

16-19

22-14

25-14

17-20

21-19

25-25

25-26

28-15

18-26

158.4Avg total

82.2Scored

76.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	77.6	75.4	153.0	+2.2	68%
Season at home (13)	80.2	70.8	151.0	+9.5	92%
Season away (15)	75.3	79.4	154.7	-4.1	47%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	76.2	158.4	+6.0	90%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	77.2	162.6	+8.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	64.5	69.5	134.0	-5.0	25%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	77.6	75.2	152.8	+2.4	69%
vs Weaker (12)	80.9	77.8	158.7	+3.2	83%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

#15

88-62

+26

H28/02

ACB

Treviso

#15

68-72

-4

H02/03

Eurocup

Unicaja

77-66

+11

A07/03

ACB

Panellinios

#12

70-77

-7

A09/03

Eurocup

Murcia

#18

58-57

H14/03

ACB

Real Betis

63-60

H20/03

ACB

Nymburk

59-47

+12

A23/03

Eurocup

Alicante

#13

76-74

A28/03

ACB

Nymburk

46-52

-6

H31/03

Eurocup

Obradoiro CAB

#17

98-58

+40

H05/04

ACB

23-18

25-16

26-19

14-9

15-18

19-15

19-20

15-19

19-12

17-22

22-21

19-11

21-19

19-22

16-19

14-17

15-21

20-14

6-8

17-14

10-15

13-18

17-13

23-14

15-18

7-14

13-10

24-5

20-26

19-11

17-21

20-16

13-12

5-14

17-10

11-16

23-10

29-13

27-10

19-25

132.8Avg total

70.3Scored

62.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	75.1	74.9	149.9	+0.2	46%
Season at home (14)	75.3	71.6	146.9	+3.7	57%
Season away (14)	74.9	78.1	153.0	-3.3	36%
Last 10 (10)	70.3	62.5	132.8	+7.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	68.4	58.2	126.6	+10.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	74.0	80.0	154.0	-6.0	40%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	70.8	68.4	139.2	+2.3	56%
vs Weaker (15)	78.7	69.6	148.3	+9.1	73%

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValenciaBilbao

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.9	38.2	+0.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.1	38.1	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.2	39.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	12.8	17.0	29.8	-4.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.8	16.8	38.5	+5.0	77%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.2	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.7	18.0	35.7	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	19.8	38.1	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	16.9	34.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	16.2	32.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.6	19.2	35.8	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	16.7	17.9	34.6	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.5	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	16.8	36.3	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	16.5	37.6	+4.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	17.1	34.9	+0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	17.9	40.7	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.8	43.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	12.5	30.8	+5.8	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.2	16.3	35.5	+2.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.6	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	17.8	36.5	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	17.1	36.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	18.6	36.9	-0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	15.9	33.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	14.0	28.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	13.8	18.3	32.1	-4.6	22%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.8	16.1	37.9	+5.7	73%	-

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#16

51-26

+25

H27/02

ACB

Hapoel M. Jerusalem

#11

43-33

+10

A02/03

Eurocup

Manresa

#12

36-44

-8

A06/03

ACB

Unics Kazan

46-34

+12

H09/03

Eurocup

Real Madrid

35-28

H13/03

ACB

Gipuzkoa

#15

44-36

A21/03

ACB

Aris

#10

37-34

A24/03

Eurocup

Unicaja

49-36

+13

H27/03

ACB

Aris

#10

47-28

+19

H31/03

Eurocup

Murcia

#18

50-51

-1

A04/04

ACB

78.8Avg total

43.8Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	35.0	74.5	+4.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	34.2	75.8	+7.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	35.9	73.1	+1.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	35.0	78.8	+8.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	37.0	82.4	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.0	29.5	60.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	41.0	33.1	74.1	+7.9	85%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.0	39.2	80.2	+1.8	42%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

#15

48-34

+14

H28/02

ACB

Treviso

#15

34-33

H02/03

Eurocup

Unicaja

36-34

A07/03

ACB

Panellinios

#12

40-41

-1

A09/03

Eurocup

Murcia

#18

35-35

H14/03

ACB

Real Betis

23-33

-10

H20/03

ACB

Nymburk

22-32

-10

A23/03

Eurocup

Alicante

#13

39-37

A28/03

ACB

Nymburk

18-26

-8

H31/03

Eurocup

Obradoiro CAB

#17

52-23

+29

H05/04

ACB

67.5Avg total

34.7Scored

32.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	36.6	73.3	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.7	35.1	71.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	38.4	75.1	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	32.8	67.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.8	30.2	61.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	34.6	41.4	76.0	-6.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	30.4	36.2	66.7	-5.8	22%	-
vs Weaker (15)	41.5	35.3	76.8	+6.3	73%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	19.2	39.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	20.6	37.4	-3.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.9	41.9	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.2	21.0	36.2	-5.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	46%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.3	42%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	16.4	35.2	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	16.6	36.1	+2.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	16.3	34.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	15.1	33.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	12.8	31.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.2	15.2	34.4	+4.0	78%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.1	15.9	33.9	+2.2	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	19.1	36.8	-1.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.3	37.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	16.6	21.2	37.8	-4.6	23%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.8	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.8	36.9	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	17.6	35.2	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	17.9	38.9	+3.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	14.6	32.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	15.2	34.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.1	17.0	38.1	+4.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.6	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	40.0	77.1	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.2	38.3	76.6	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	41.9	77.7	-6.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	41.2	79.6	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.2	80.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.5	40.0	73.5	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	36.6	42.2	78.8	-5.5	23%	-
vs Weaker (12)	38.7	37.5	76.2	+1.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	34.2	72.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.1	34.2	71.2	+2.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	34.2	73.1	+4.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	29.7	65.3	+5.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	28.0	65.6	+9.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	39.4	38.6	78.0	+0.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	40.3	32.2	72.6	+8.1	89%	-
vs Weaker (15)	36.5	33.7	70.1	+2.8	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valencia wins

Bilbao wins

Date	Game	Score
27/12/09	Bilbao v Valencia	79-80
11/04/09	Valencia v Bilbao	80-67
11/01/09	Bilbao v Valencia	72-78

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/04/10	A	Murcia	96-92
31/03/10	H	Aris	85-67
27/03/10	H	Unicaja	92-87
24/03/10	A	Aris	71-64
21/03/10	A	Gipuzkoa	83-76
13/03/10	H	Real Madrid	67-78
09/03/10	H	Unics Kazan	91-81
06/03/10	A	Manresa	84-82
02/03/10	A	Hapoel M. Jerusalem	69-64
27/02/10	H	Fuenlabrada	84-71

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/10	H	Obradoiro CAB	98-58
31/03/10	H	Nymburk	46-52
28/03/10	A	Alicante	76-74
23/03/10	A	Nymburk	59-47
20/03/10	H	Real Betis	63-60
14/03/10	H	Murcia	58-57
09/03/10	A	Panellinios	70-77
07/03/10	A	Unicaja	77-66
02/03/10	H	Treviso	68-72
28/02/10	H	Gipuzkoa	88-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia

ACB 2009-10

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	68%
Home	WWWLW	92%
Away	LLWWW	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	13	15
Win %	68%	92%	47%
Points / game	77.6	80.2	75.3
Allowed / game	75.4	70.8	79.4
Point differential	+2.2	+9.5	-4.1
Avg total	153.0	151.0	154.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	54%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	88% (8)	100% (4)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bilbao

ACB 2009-10

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	46%
Home	WWWWW	57%
Away	WLWWW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	46%	57%	36%
Points / game	75.1	75.3	74.9
Allowed / game	74.9	71.6	78.1
Point differential	+0.2	+3.7	-3.3
Avg total	149.9	146.9	153.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	43%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	67% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	29	27	2	93%	81.0	64.8	+16.1
2	Real Madrid	29	23	6	79%	81.3	71.5	+9.8
3	Baskonia	28	22	6	79%	80.5	73.8	+6.8
4	Valencia	28	19	9	68%	77.6	75.4	+2.2
5	Real Betis	28	16	12	57%	70.9	68.5	+2.4
6	Unicaja	28	14	14	50%	79.2	75.1	+4.1
7	Estudiantes	28	14	14	50%	77.9	77.1	+0.8
8	Bilbao	28	13	15	46%	75.1	74.9	+0.2
9	Gran Canaria	28	13	15	46%	75.1	75.4	-0.3
10	Joventut Badalona	28	13	15	46%	76.7	78.6	-1.9
11	CB Granada	29	13	16	45%	77.5	79.7	-2.2
12	Manresa	29	12	17	41%	71.6	76.0	-4.4
13	Fuenlabrada	29	12	17	41%	75.8	80.2	-4.5
14	Baloncesto Valladolid	29	11	18	38%	73.6	77.4	-3.8
15	Gipuzkoa	28	10	18	36%	74.7	79.3	-4.6
16	Alicante	28	10	18	36%	74.0	79.3	-5.3
17	Obradoiro CAB	28	8	20	29%	75.2	82.1	-6.9
18	Murcia	28	5	23	18%	73.3	82.2	-8.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valencia	17	23	19	24	83
Bilbao	14	10	22	29	75

← all games of the day

Valencia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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