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Valencia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 95-88
25-22 28-25 18-20 24-21
Position#8
Record14-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#12
Record12-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game80.0
SpainACBRound 29
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Valencia v Bilbao
10 Jan 2027
VAL v BIL
upcoming
03 Jun 2026
VAL83
BIL80
17 May 2026
VAL88
BIL83
08 Mar 2025
VAL89
BIL70
03 Dec 2023
VAL79
BIL85
22 Apr 2023
VAL95
BIL88
20 Nov 2021
VAL100
BIL84
25 Apr 2021
VAL99
BIL90
11 Mar 2018
VAL87
BIL67
03 Dec 2016
VAL83
BIL61
31 Jan 2016
VAL85
BIL49
30 May 2015
VAL76
BIL80
16 May 2015
VAL73
BIL78
03 May 2014
VAL83
BIL71
29 Jan 2013
VAL60
BIL61
06 Jan 2013
VAL113
BIL111
22 Apr 2012
VAL66
BIL63
20 May 2011
VAL72
BIL79
30 Jan 2011
VAL68
BIL54
10 Apr 2010
VAL83
BIL75
11 Apr 2009
VAL80
BIL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
69avg 75
A24/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
63avg 75
A26/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
73-92
73
92
-19
71avg 75
A29/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
74-95
74
95
-21
69avg 75
A31/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 75
H02/04
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 75
H06/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
70-85
70
85
-15
57avg 75
A09/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
A14/04
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
87-81
87
81
+6
68avg 75
H16/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 75
A19/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
19-26
23-23
15-19
22-24
14-14
19-20
20-28
21-20
20-26
21-23
11-23
16-21
24-31
15-25
19-18
18-14
17-23
20-19
26-29
17-19
23-19
18-19
21-11
17-21
15-16
21-19
17-29
21-24
25-27
15-21
10-13
16-21
22-19
32-16
17-25
24-25
22-22
19-20
17-23
162.8Avg total
77.1Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.683.5167.1+0.050%
Season at home (13)85.881.2167.1+4.669%
Season away (15)81.685.5167.1-3.933%
Last 10 (10)77.185.7162.8-8.620%
Last 5 (5)77.881.8159.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)82.089.2171.2-7.225%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.483.6165.0-2.254%
vs Weaker (4)87.280.0167.2+7.2100%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
L
71-94
71
94
-23
57avg 68
A05/03
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 68
H07/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
54avg 68
A12/03
ACB
Darussafaka
#25
L
85-95
85
95
-10
80avg 68
A14/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#15
W
84-77
84
77
+7
76avg 68
H19/03
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
67-71
67
71
-4
57avg 68
H21/03
Champions League
Baskonia
#2
L
78-100
78
100
-22
67avg 68
A26/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
81-68
81
68
+13
68avg 68
H01/04
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
82-80
82
80
+2
72avg 68
H09/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
71-77
71
77
-6
59avg 68
A15/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
23-16
19-26
15-23
19-23
24-12
20-17
9-22
15-11
13-27
13-26
24-22
24-22
28-22
15-25
18-26
19-16
23-21
19-18
23-22
17-22
11-13
17-12
22-24
17-24
10-27
25-27
26-22
18-16
15-8
23-23
25-21
18-22
13-15
21-20
30-23
25-19
14-20
10-21
22-17
157.8Avg total
75.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.780.0156.7-3.244%
Season at home (13)81.275.7156.8+5.569%
Season away (14)72.683.9156.6-11.321%
Last 10 (10)75.682.2157.8-6.630%
Last 5 (5)75.879.2155.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.282.7153.9-11.417%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.878.4156.2-0.750%
vs Weaker (6)85.776.2161.8+9.550%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
ValenciaBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A24/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A29/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A31/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/04
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H06/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A09/04
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A14/04
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H16/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A19/04
ACB
82.9Avg total
39.5Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.883.3-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.038.979.9+2.164%-
Last 30 away (16)41.944.486.2-2.525%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.482.9-3.910%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.683.0-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.643.786.2-1.142%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.241.082.2+0.246%-
vs Weaker (4)41.039.280.2+1.850%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A05/03
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H07/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A12/03
ACB
Darussafaka
#25
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A14/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H19/03
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H21/03
Champions League
Baskonia
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A26/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H01/04
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H09/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A15/04
ACB
74.5Avg total
36.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.238.274.4-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.736.774.5+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)34.639.774.3-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.574.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.637.268.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.839.372.2-6.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.736.873.4-0.150%-
vs Weaker (6)41.839.080.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.4
50.7%
52.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.6
33.2%
34.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.812.5
79.1%
73.9%12.5
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.7
48.8%
52.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.9
34.6%
34.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.112.5
73.1%
73.9%12.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWLLWLLLLL
Bilbao
LWWLLWLLLL
#8
League position
#12
-13.0
Net rating
-9.2
105.5
Offensive rating
104.2
118.6
Defensive rating
113.4
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.1%
60.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.9%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.2%
3-point %
34.6%
60.7%
Assist %
55.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 104.2Defence118.6 · 113.4Shooting50.3% · 50.1%3-point %33.2% · 34.6%Ball care17.6% · 17.9%Off. rebounds28.8% · 30.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Valencia   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Valencia wins
3
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
09/10/22Bilbao v Valencia71-65
09/04/22Bilbao v Valencia84-78
20/11/21Valencia v Bilbao100-84
25/04/21Valencia v Bilbao99-90
09/01/21Bilbao v Valencia73-106
11/03/18Valencia v Bilbao87-67
12/11/17Bilbao v Valencia77-81
12/04/17Bilbao v Valencia88-75
03/12/16Valencia v Bilbao83-61
31/01/16Valencia v Bilbao85-49
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/23AMurcia82-90
16/04/23HReal Betis87-81
14/04/23ABarcelona71-85
09/04/23AJoventut Badalona70-85
06/04/23HVirtus Bologna79-68
02/04/23HBaskonia81-85
31/03/23AZalgiris Kaunas74-95
29/03/23ACrvena zvezda73-92
26/03/23ABasket Zaragoza75-86
24/03/23AMonaco79-90
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23AFuenlabrada71-77
09/04/23HBarcelona82-80
01/04/23HBasket Zaragoza81-68
26/03/23ABaskonia78-100
21/03/23HMurcia67-71
19/03/23HBasquet Girona84-77
14/03/23ADarussafaka85-95
12/03/23AReal Madrid65-86
07/03/23HTenerife72-74
05/03/23AGran Canaria71-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %50%69%33%
Points / game83.685.881.6
Allowed / game83.581.285.5
Point differential+0.0+4.6-3.9
Avg total167.1167.1167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%23%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)50% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Bilbao
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL44%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %44%69%21%
Points / game76.781.272.6
Allowed / game80.075.783.9
Point differential-3.2+5.5-11.3
Avg total156.7156.8156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2823582%84.073.2+10.7
2 Baskonia2823582%91.982.6+9.3
3 Real Madrid2822679%88.277.3+10.9
4 Tenerife2719870%82.473.7+8.7
5 Unicaja2819968%87.677.4+10.2
6 Joventut Badalona28181064%82.577.4+5.1
7 Gran Canaria28171161%83.778.3+5.4
8 Valencia28141450%83.683.5+0.0
9 Breogan28131546%78.279.5-1.3
10 Bilbao27121544%76.780.0-3.2
11 Murcia28121643%80.384.0-3.8
12 Obradoiro CAB28121643%78.582.8-4.3
13 Basket Zaragoza27101737%78.180.2-2.1
14 Basquet Girona29101934%76.481.2-4.8
15 Manresa2781930%82.789.9-7.2
16 Granada2982128%76.387.2-10.9
17 Real Betis2872125%77.284.9-7.7
18 Fuenlabrada2842414%76.491.0-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2528182495
Bilbao2225202188
← all games of the day
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