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Valencia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 99-90
17-33 25-18 30-21 27-18
Position#4
Record19-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#17
Record7-23
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game87.1
SpainACBRound 33
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Valencia v Bilbao
10 Jan 2027
VAL v BIL
upcoming
03 Jun 2026
VAL83
BIL80
17 May 2026
VAL88
BIL83
08 Mar 2025
VAL89
BIL70
03 Dec 2023
VAL79
BIL85
22 Apr 2023
VAL95
BIL88
20 Nov 2021
VAL100
BIL84
25 Apr 2021
VAL99
BIL90
11 Mar 2018
VAL87
BIL67
03 Dec 2016
VAL83
BIL61
31 Jan 2016
VAL85
BIL49
30 May 2015
VAL76
BIL80
16 May 2015
VAL73
BIL78
03 May 2014
VAL83
BIL71
29 Jan 2013
VAL60
BIL61
06 Jan 2013
VAL113
BIL111
22 Apr 2012
VAL66
BIL63
20 May 2011
VAL72
BIL79
30 Jan 2011
VAL68
BIL54
10 Apr 2010
VAL83
BIL75
11 Apr 2009
VAL80
BIL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#18
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A19/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H21/03
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H25/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A28/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H31/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
A02/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
89-102
89
102
-13
H04/04
ACB
Baskonia
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H08/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A11/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
97-82
97
82
+15
H16/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
17-21
14-11
19-19
14-17
15-24
18-17
17-22
26-19
20-14
12-30
25-13
20-20
24-19
20-22
22-29
19-23
12-21
10-30
38-14
13-26
29-27
22-17
26-16
21-24
22-23
19-24
27-31
25-21
14-23
21-15
26-22
21-21
24-17
19-19
21-19
28-18
24-23
25-23
20-18
166.5Avg total
83.6Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)85.681.2166.7+4.463%
Season at home (15)88.282.5170.7+5.760%
Season away (15)82.979.9162.8+3.167%
Last 10 (10)83.682.9166.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)89.485.4174.8+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.094.0178.0-10.033%
vs Similar (12)81.377.0158.3+4.358%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.182.1168.2+4.164%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A30/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H06/02
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
97-74
97
74
+23
A27/02
ACB
Real Betis
#16
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H07/03
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
L
89-95
89
95
-6
A14/03
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H21/03
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
A28/03
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
96-108
96
108
-12
H03/04
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A15/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A21/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
18-17
12-18
23-20
23-25
16-20
12-30
22-15
24-21
18-15
24-17
31-21
18-18
24-26
24-22
20-18
20-26
23-18
26-30
20-21
19-20
16-25
20-24
17-16
28-15
13-14
18-22
15-23
27-31
19-27
25-28
25-22
22-18
16-17
22-23
14-30
23-20
9-17
15-28
20-21
168.8Avg total
81.6Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.487.1166.5-7.723%
Season at home (14)78.487.4165.7-9.021%
Season away (16)80.286.9167.1-6.625%
Last 10 (10)81.687.2168.8-5.630%
Last 5 (5)79.889.8169.6-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.587.4161.9-12.96%
vs Similar (8)83.587.2170.8-3.838%
vs Weaker (4)82.268.0150.2+14.2100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
ValenciaBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#18
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H21/03
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H25/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H31/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A02/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H04/04
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/04
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A11/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H16/04
ACB
83.3Avg total
41.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.781.0-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.440.482.8+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)38.640.979.5-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.883.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.688.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.743.382.0-4.733%-
vs Similar (12)40.038.778.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.441.382.7+0.150%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A30/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H06/02
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A27/02
ACB
Real Betis
#16
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H07/03
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A14/03
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H21/03
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A28/03
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H03/04
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A15/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A21/04
ACB
81.0Avg total
39.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.541.376.8-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.542.177.6-6.621%-
Last 30 away (16)35.640.676.1-5.031%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.581.0-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.879.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.442.275.7-8.822%-
vs Similar (8)38.542.681.1-4.112%-
vs Weaker (4)39.034.273.2+4.875%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.3
56.3%
53.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.8
37.4%
36.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.514.8
80.0%
76.6%14.8
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.4
53.7%
53.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.8
35.8%
36.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws14.712.0
81.6%
76.6%12.0
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWLWLLWLW
Bilbao
LLLWLLWWLL
#4
League position
#17
+1.5
Net rating
-11.3
113.1
Offensive rating
110.9
111.6
Defensive rating
122.3
56.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.0%
19.6%
Turnover %
19.4%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.4%
3-point %
35.8%
73.9%
Assist %
49.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 110.9Defence111.6 · 122.3Shooting56.2% · 53.7%3-point %37.4% · 35.8%Ball care19.6% · 19.4%Off. rebounds31.0% · 34.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Valencia   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Valencia wins
2
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
09/01/21Bilbao v Valencia73-106
11/03/18Valencia v Bilbao87-67
12/11/17Bilbao v Valencia77-81
12/04/17Bilbao v Valencia88-75
03/12/16Valencia v Bilbao83-61
31/01/16Valencia v Bilbao85-49
15/11/15Bilbao v Valencia104-111 OT
01/06/15Bilbao v Valencia70-71
30/05/15Valencia v Bilbao76-80
28/05/15Bilbao v Valencia75-91
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/21HObradoiro CAB97-82
11/04/21ABasket Zaragoza85-76
08/04/21HBaskonia86-81
04/04/21HJoventut Badalona89-102
02/04/21AAlba Berlin90-86
31/03/21HOlympiacos79-88
28/03/21ATenerife86-90
25/03/21HBayern83-76
21/03/21HBarcelona64-80
19/03/21AKhimki M.77-68
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/21ATenerife67-86
15/04/21AUnicaja74-88
03/04/21HManresa96-108
28/03/21AMurcia90-82 OT
21/03/21HBaskonia72-85
14/03/21AEstudiantes89-95
07/03/21HReal Betis86-84
27/02/21AGipuzkoa97-74
06/02/21HBarcelona73-90
30/01/21AObradoiro CAB72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW63%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWLLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %63%60%67%
Points / game85.688.282.9
Allowed / game81.282.579.9
Point differential+4.4+5.7+3.1
Avg total166.7170.7162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%47%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)0% (1)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL23%
HomeLLWLL21%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %23%21%25%
Points / game79.478.480.2
Allowed / game87.187.486.9
Point differential-7.7-9.0-6.6
Avg total166.5165.7167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3231197%87.575.8+11.7
2 Barcelona3228488%87.373.3+14.0
3 Tenerife3225778%88.279.3+8.8
4 Baskonia3122971%83.578.5+4.9
5 Valencia30191163%85.681.2+4.4
6 San Pablo Burgos32191359%86.783.2+3.6
7 Joventut Badalona31171455%85.585.3+0.2
8 Manresa32151747%84.987.5-2.6
9 Unicaja30141647%83.683.0+0.6
10 Gran Canaria31141745%80.784.2-3.5
11 Murcia30131743%81.582.8-1.3
12 MoraBanc Andorra28121643%77.578.8-1.2
13 Basket Zaragoza32131941%87.888.1-0.3
14 Obradoiro CAB31102132%80.385.1-4.9
15 Real Betis31102132%78.083.3-5.3
16 Fuenlabrada3092130%80.284.1-3.9
17 Estudiantes3292328%82.288.0-5.8
18 Bilbao3072323%79.487.1-7.7
19 Gipuzkoa3172423%73.886.8-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1725302799
Bilbao3318211890
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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