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Valencia vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 75-77
19-24 23-23 16-14 17-16
Position#13
Record7-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game84.8
Valencia
vs
Crvena zvezda 🏆
Position#11
Record8-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17
European cup2022
Meetings · Valencia v Crvena zvezda
10 Dec 2026
VAL v CZV
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
VAL76
CZV73
06 Dec 2023
VAL85
CZV81
06 Jan 2023
VAL75
CZV77
15 Jan 2021
VAL91
CZV71
16 Jan 2019
VAL92
CZV76
15 Dec 2017
VAL82
CZV86
05 Dec 2014
VAL68
CZV77
03 Mar 2009
VAL82
CZV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
L
62-79
62
79
-17
no box
A04/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
68-84
68
84
-16
68avg 77
A08/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
104-69
104
69
+35
110avg 77
H11/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
no box
H13/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
92-97
92
97
-5
89avg 77
A15/12
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
110-81
110
81
+29
113avg 77
A18/12
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
84-83
84
83
+1
76avg 77
H23/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
89-95
89
95
-6
87avg 77
A27/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
79-90
79
90
-11
71avg 77
A29/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
92-86
92
86
+6
84avg 77
H03/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-19
20-13
16-26
19-21
10-15
17-20
20-18
21-31
22-14
23-22
34-9
25-24
20-26
24-15
26-22
14-21
26-23
13-20
26-26
27-28
27-18
20-18
33-17
30-28
20-20
21-18
21-21
22-24
25-22
26-24
18-25
20-24
22-29
21-21
17-21
19-19
18-13
22-23
26-17
26-33
172.9Avg total
87.4Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.284.8166.1-3.644%
Season at home (8)81.281.1162.4+0.150%
Season away (8)81.288.5169.8-7.238%
Last 10 (10)87.485.5172.9+1.950%
Last 5 (5)90.887.0177.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.885.2164.0-6.538%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.385.8169.2-2.538%
vs Weaker (4)97.278.5175.8+18.8100%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#8
W
92-76
92
76
+16
no box
A04/12
ABA League
Partizan
#6
W
76-73
76
73
+3
69avg 75
A08/12
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#14
W
93-77
93
77
+16
96avg 75
H10/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
64avg 75
H13/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
67-71
67
71
-4
61avg 75
H15/12
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#6
W
92-58
92
58
+34
95avg 75
H18/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
W
90-86
90
86
+4
96avg 75
A22/12
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-57
86
57
+29
94avg 75
H25/12
ABA League
Barcelona
#3
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
no box
H30/12
Euroleague
Split
#10
W
72-63
72
63
+9
70avg 75
A02/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
23-18
19-28
24-9
11-20
29-13
14-19
22-21
25-22
27-14
19-26
22-15
14-22
22-15
20-21
21-15
16-26
13-17
20-14
18-14
25-16
19-17
18-18
30-7
21-22
20-23
24-17
25-24
23-13
22-24
20-8
21-12
17-28
23-15
25-14
19-27
19-17
13-13
26-14
14-19
157.2Avg total
83.9Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.978.6154.5-2.850%
Season at home (8)76.875.1151.9+1.662%
Season away (8)75.082.1157.1-7.138%
Last 10 (10)83.973.3157.2+10.680%
Last 5 (5)86.872.6159.4+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.085.7165.7-5.733%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.877.8153.7-2.050%
vs Weaker (15)84.968.8153.7+16.193%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +5.3+5.3
ValenciaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A04/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A08/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H11/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/12
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A18/12
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H23/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A27/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A29/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H03/01
ACB
79.7Avg total
40.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.580.4-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.840.481.2+0.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.140.579.6-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.379.7+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.285.6+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.241.878.1-5.623%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.540.783.2+1.869%-
vs Weaker (4)43.535.278.8+8.2100%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A04/12
ABA League
Partizan
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A08/12
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#14
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H10/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H13/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H15/12
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#6
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H18/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A22/12
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H25/12
ABA League
Barcelona
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H30/12
Euroleague
Split
#10
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A02/01
ABA League
78.4Avg total
40.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.378.2+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.837.380.1+5.572%-
Last 30 away (12)38.137.475.5+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.678.4+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.678.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.042.379.3-5.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.539.377.8-0.842%-
vs Weaker (15)43.634.778.3+8.993%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.417.7
54.6%
53.5%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.9
37.5%
36.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.815.8
79.8%
78.5%15.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.020.5
62.1%
53.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.3
36.2%
36.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.113.3
77.8%
78.5%13.3
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLWWLWWLL
Crvena zvezda
WLWWWLWWWW
#13
League position
#11
+0.0
Net rating
+18.1
113.6
Offensive rating
117.9
113.6
Defensive rating
99.8
55.4%
Effective FG%
58.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.5%
3-point %
36.2%
66.8%
Assist %
68.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 117.9Defence113.6 · 99.8Shooting55.4% · 58.7%3-point %37.5% · 36.2%Ball care19.1% · 18.8%Off. rebounds31.2% · 32.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
5
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
15/01/21Valencia v Crvena zvezda91-71
18/12/20Crvena zvezda v Valencia76-73
23/01/19Crvena zvezda v Valencia81-82
16/01/19Valencia v Crvena zvezda92-76
15/03/18Crvena zvezda v Valencia106-90
15/12/17Valencia v Crvena zvezda82-86
05/12/14Valencia v Crvena zvezda68-77
30/10/14Crvena zvezda v Valencia76-63
03/03/09Valencia v Crvena zvezda82-80
27/01/09Crvena zvezda v Valencia73-85
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/23HFuenlabrada92-86
29/12/22AOlimpia Milano79-90
27/12/22AGran Canaria89-95
23/12/22HBarcelona84-83
18/12/22AGranada110-81
15/12/22ABayern92-97
13/12/22HPanathinaikos94-91 OT
11/12/22HBasquet Girona104-69
08/12/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv68-84
04/12/22AReal Madrid62-79
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/23ASplit72-63
30/12/22HBarcelona94-99 OT
25/12/22HBorac Mozzart86-57
22/12/22AOlympiacos90-86
18/12/22HMega Basket92-58
15/12/22HOlimpia Milano67-71
13/12/22HZalgiris Kaunas77-73
10/12/22HMornar Bar93-77
08/12/22APartizan76-73
04/12/22AStudentski Centar92-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game81.281.281.2
Allowed / game84.881.188.5
Point differential-3.6+0.1-7.2
Avg total166.1162.4169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLLWWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game75.976.875.0
Allowed / game78.675.182.1
Point differential-2.8+1.6-7.1
Avg total154.5151.9157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (6)100% (3)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos1711665%86.677.2+9.5
2 Baskonia1711665%85.980.7+5.2
3 Barcelona1711665%80.377.4+2.9
4 Monaco1711665%82.582.1+0.4
5 Real Madrid1610662%83.978.9+5.0
6 Fenerbahce1710759%82.878.5+4.2
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv169756%81.580.6+0.9
8 Anadolu Efes179853%82.377.5+4.8
9 Zalgiris Kaunas179853%77.077.6-0.6
10 Crvena zvezda168850%75.978.6-2.8
11 Partizan178947%84.584.9-0.5
12 Virtus Bologna178947%77.280.7-3.5
13 Valencia167944%81.284.8-3.6
14 Bayern1761135%75.178.2-3.1
15 Panathinaikos1761135%78.383.0-4.7
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne1761135%74.179.6-5.6
17 Olimpia Milano1761135%70.576.2-5.7
18 Alba Berlin1751229%81.484.4-3.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1923161775
Crvena zvezda2423141677
← all games of the day
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