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Valencia vs Crvena zvezda Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 10 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#3
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game88.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record7-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16· Roig Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Valencia v Crvena zvezda
10 Dec 2026
VAL v CZV
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
VAL76
CZV73
06 Dec 2023
VAL85
CZV81
06 Jan 2023
VAL75
CZV77
15 Jan 2021
VAL91
CZV71
16 Jan 2019
VAL92
CZV76
15 Dec 2017
VAL82
CZV86
05 Dec 2014
VAL68
CZV77
03 Mar 2009
VAL82
CZV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 93
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 93
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 93
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 93
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 93
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
111-79
111
79
+32
107avg 93
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
102-87
102
87
+15
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
111-97
111
97
+14
no box
H15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
24-15
16-22
11-22
33-14
22-27
19-25
30-20
29-21
29-19
23-22
21-24
29-22
27-24
36-24
27-24
21-25
185.8Avg total
99.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)96.488.9185.3+7.573%
Season at home (6)96.288.0184.2+8.267%
Season away (5)96.690.0186.6+6.680%
Last 10 (10)99.286.6185.8+12.690%
Last 5 (5)101.685.8187.4+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)89.085.0174.0+4.067%
vs Weaker (27)99.387.6186.9+11.781%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
97-78
97
78
+19
86avg 85
A18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#11
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
70avg 85
A22/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 85
A24/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
100-78
100
78
+22
104avg 85
H27/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
103-73
103
73
+30
103avg 85
H29/10
Euroleague
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
100-82
100
82
+18
105avg 85
H01/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
W
62-57
62
57
+5
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Slovan Bratislava
#9
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H09/11
ABA League
Real Madrid
#5
L
84-105
84
105
-21
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
94-83
94
83
+11
no box
H15/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
17-24
30-20
23-16
21-31
17-21
12-13
25-10
20-36
13-14
24-10
24-20
34-15
21-15
23-25
22-23
19-15
29-16
31-23
24-19
28-18
27-26
22-17
23-21
19-11
21-11
11-19
11-16
29-28
22-18
21-14
19-20
20-38
21-18
18-26
25-23
26-24
22-19
19-21
27-19
169.5Avg total
89.4Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.377.7161.0+5.564%
Season at home (6)87.878.0165.8+9.867%
Season away (5)77.877.4155.2+0.460%
Last 10 (10)89.480.1169.5+9.380%
Last 5 (5)86.281.4167.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0103.0185.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.385.9170.2-1.636%
vs Weaker (15)90.778.6169.3+12.193%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +3.6+3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +3.6+3.6
ValenciaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#10
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H15/11
ACB
88.7Avg total
47.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.641.188.6+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.040.190.1+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)44.842.186.9+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)47.641.188.7+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)48.443.491.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)45.331.376.7+14.0100%-
vs Weaker (27)47.842.190.0+5.774%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#11
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A22/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#11
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A24/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H27/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H29/10
Euroleague
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H01/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A06/11
Euroleague
Slovan Bratislava
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H09/11
ABA League
Real Madrid
#5
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A12/11
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H15/11
ABA League
86.9Avg total
45.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.387.9+1.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.642.089.6+5.687%-
Last 30 away (15)41.544.786.1-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)45.341.686.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.289.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.056.0100.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.546.089.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker (15)45.540.085.5+5.580%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.0
56.8%
55.2%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
77.1%15.6
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.922.2
61.8%
55.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.5
37.9%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
77.1%14.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWWLWWWW
Crvena zvezda
WLWWWWWWLW
#3
League position
#6
+8.9
Net rating
+14.0
108.3
Offensive rating
106.5
99.4
Defensive rating
92.5
54.8%
Effective FG%
59.7%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
8.8%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.6%
3-point %
37.9%
51.0%
Assist %
71.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 106.5Defence99.4 · 92.5Shooting54.8% · 59.7%3-point %34.6% · 37.9%Ball care8.8% · 13.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
4
Crvena zvezda wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLeyma Coruna111-97
12/11/26HBayern102-87
08/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos100-93
05/11/26AOlimpia Milano84-73
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HCedevita Olimpija94-83
12/11/26AReal Madrid84-105
09/11/26HSlovan Bratislava91-80
06/11/26AOlympiacos62-57
01/11/26HSiroki Brijeg100-82
29/10/26HBayern103-73
27/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-78
24/10/26AIgokea81-80
22/10/26APartizan82-85 OT
18/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto97-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game96.496.296.6
Allowed / game88.988.090.0
Point differential+7.5+8.2+6.6
Avg total185.3184.2186.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL64%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game83.387.877.8
Allowed / game77.778.077.4
Point differential+5.5+9.8+0.4
Avg total161.0165.8155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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