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Valencia vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-86
22-26 16-14 25-16 19-30
Position#11
Record3-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#14
Record4-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12
European cup2017
Meetings · Valencia v Crvena zvezda
10 Dec 2026
VAL v CZV
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
VAL76
CZV73
06 Dec 2023
VAL85
CZV81
06 Jan 2023
VAL75
CZV77
15 Jan 2021
VAL91
CZV71
16 Jan 2019
VAL92
CZV76
15 Dec 2017
VAL82
CZV86
05 Dec 2014
VAL68
CZV77
03 Mar 2009
VAL82
CZV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
67-94
67
94
-27
94avg 106
A09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A12/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#15
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
no box
H15/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
L
71-89
71
89
-18
99avg 106
A17/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
101avg 106
A19/11
ACB
Bamberg
#13
L
82-83
82
83
-1
109avg 106
A23/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
64-72
64
72
-8
84avg 106
H30/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
no box
H03/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
91-94
91
94
-3
117avg 106
A07/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#10
L
71-73
71
73
-2
96avg 106
A10/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
19-23
16-30
13-21
19-15
15-21
12-14
35-27
20-19
25-22
19-17
10-16
18-24
14-26
24-21
15-18
16-13
13-24
23-21
22-21
23-20
24-21
19-11
16-31
13-20
17-15
15-19
19-18
26-16
22-14
10-20
15-23
21-25
25-21
19-23
26-25
21-21
18-15
17-14
15-23
163.9Avg total
78.8Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.079.6157.6-1.627%
Season at home (4)82.874.8157.5+8.050%
Season away (7)75.382.4157.7-7.114%
Last 10 (10)78.885.1163.9-6.320%
Last 5 (5)79.481.8161.2-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.282.2155.4-9.020%
vs Similar ◀ (16)81.377.0158.3+4.356%
vs Weaker (8)82.677.0159.6+5.688%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
L
65-79
65
79
-14
90avg 103
A10/11
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#8
W
84-77
84
77
+7
115avg 103
H12/11
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
59-85
59
85
-26
86avg 103
H15/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
59-85
59
85
-26
83avg 103
A17/11
Euroleague
Zadar
#6
W
88-76
88
76
+12
no box
A20/11
ABA League
Baskonia
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
110avg 103
H23/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
118avg 103
A01/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#10
W
85-80
85
80
+5
111avg 103
H04/12
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
100-81
100
81
+19
129avg 103
H08/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
93-87
93
87
+6
120avg 103
A11/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
19-23
19-18
15-16
19-18
17-17
26-20
22-22
10-22
17-22
7-21
25-20
13-22
24-25
12-20
10-18
19-23
23-22
29-9
17-22
17-22
21-25
19-17
24-21
19-24
27-15
21-19
20-25
22-19
26-19
16-20
21-22
29-23
21-21
24-18
26-19
35-18
22-24
22-21
14-24
161.9Avg total
80.1Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.482.0159.4-4.636%
Season at home (6)81.082.0163.0-1.050%
Season away (5)73.082.0155.0-9.020%
Last 10 (10)80.181.8161.9-1.760%
Last 5 (5)89.283.2172.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.783.3159.0-7.629%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.279.6158.8-0.440%
vs Weaker (18)89.672.8162.4+16.894%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
ValenciaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A12/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H15/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A17/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A19/11
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A23/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H30/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H03/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A07/12
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A10/12
ACB
78.3Avg total
38.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.878.2+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.535.277.7+7.364%-
Last 30 away (16)38.640.078.6-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.578.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.679.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.842.680.4-4.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.436.777.1+3.750%-
vs Weaker (8)40.937.178.0+3.862%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A10/11
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#8
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H12/11
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H15/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A17/11
Euroleague
Zadar
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A20/11
ABA League
Baskonia
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H23/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/12
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H08/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#11
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A11/12
ABA League
83.8Avg total
41.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.437.981.4+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.835.077.8+7.876%-
Last 30 away (13)44.241.886.0+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.683.8-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.842.089.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.442.181.6-2.743%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.642.279.8-4.640%-
vs Weaker (18)46.635.181.7+11.589%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.2
45.3%
51.7%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.9
37.7%
37.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.515.1
86.3%
76.3%15.1
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.2
48.7%
51.7%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.6
36.2%
37.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.813.9
70.2%
76.3%13.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLWLLLLLWL
Crvena zvezda
WWWWLWLLWL
#11
League position
#14
-10.3
Net rating
-2.4
106.6
Offensive rating
109.8
117.0
Defensive rating
112.1
49.7%
Effective FG%
51.0%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.7%
3-point %
36.2%
66.9%
Assist %
61.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 109.8Defence117.0 · 112.1Shooting49.7% · 51.0%3-point %37.7% · 36.2%Ball care17.9% · 15.0%Off. rebounds31.0% · 33.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valencia wins
2
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
05/12/14Valencia v Crvena zvezda68-77
30/10/14Crvena zvezda v Valencia76-63
03/03/09Valencia v Crvena zvezda82-80
27/01/09Crvena zvezda v Valencia73-85
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/17AEstudiantes71-73
07/12/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv91-94
03/12/17HMoraBanc Andorra89-87 OT
30/11/17HOlympiacos64-72
23/11/17ABamberg82-83
19/11/17ABarcelona74-79
17/11/17ABarcelona71-89
15/11/17HOlimpia Milano98-103 OT
12/11/17ABilbao81-77
09/11/17ACSKA Moscow67-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/17ACibona93-87
08/12/17HAnadolu Efes100-81
04/12/17HIgokea85-80
01/12/17AReal Madrid87-83
23/11/17HBaskonia81-85
20/11/17AZadar88-76
17/11/17AOlympiacos59-85
15/11/17HCSKA Moscow59-85
12/11/17HFMP Beograd84-77
10/11/17AUnicaja65-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %27%50%14%
Points / game78.082.875.3
Allowed / game79.674.882.4
Point differential-1.6+8.0-7.1
Avg total157.6157.5157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %9%25%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game77.481.073.0
Allowed / game82.082.082.0
Point differential-4.6-1.0-9.0
Avg total159.4163.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow1210283%90.178.4+11.7
2 Olympiacos129375%76.672.2+4.4
3 Fenerbahce128467%80.974.5+6.4
4 Panathinaikos128467%78.777.2+1.5
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv127558%80.080.2-0.2
6 Zalgiris Kaunas127558%82.082.2-0.2
7 Khimki M.127558%78.480.4-2.0
8 Real Madrid126650%84.881.1+3.7
9 Baskonia126650%80.780.1+0.6
10 Bamberg126650%74.179.2-5.2
11 Crvena zvezda114736%77.482.0-4.6
12 Barcelona124833%80.678.7+1.9
13 Unicaja124833%74.781.2-6.5
14 Valencia113827%78.079.6-1.6
15 Anadolu Efes123925%79.183.7-4.6
16 Olimpia Milano123925%78.284.0-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2216251982
Crvena zvezda2614163086
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