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Valencia vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 91-71
27-15 22-27 19-15 23-14
Position#8
Record10-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#17
Record6-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20
European cup2020
Meetings · Valencia v Crvena zvezda
10 Dec 2026
VAL v CZV
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
VAL76
CZV73
06 Dec 2023
VAL85
CZV81
06 Jan 2023
VAL75
CZV77
15 Jan 2021
VAL91
CZV71
16 Jan 2019
VAL92
CZV76
15 Dec 2017
VAL82
CZV86
05 Dec 2014
VAL68
CZV77
03 Mar 2009
VAL82
CZV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
73-76
73
76
-3
70avg 80
A18/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
W
89-78
89
78
+11
83avg 80
H20/12
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
88-82
88
82
+6
91avg 80
H23/12
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
101-75
101
75
+26
106avg 80
H27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
70-71
70
71
-1
63avg 80
A29/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
101-85
101
85
+16
101avg 80
H02/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
91-80
91
80
+11
91avg 80
A04/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
70avg 80
A07/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
106-73
106
73
+33
107avg 80
A09/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
80-95
80
95
-15
77avg 80
A12/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
14-25
21-12
16-19
14-22
28-21
18-19
29-16
16-13
29-16
14-23
29-30
30-16
33-22
21-18
17-19
30-17
17-22
11-16
12-16
29-21
27-24
18-17
27-23
19-17
25-19
27-14
20-30
12-18
21-20
21-29
18-22
25-21
22-11
31-24
28-17
20-21
16-33
24-22
20-19
167.5Avg total
87.1Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.381.8163.1-0.553%
Season at home (9)80.279.9160.1+0.367%
Season away (10)82.283.5165.7-1.340%
Last 10 (10)87.180.4167.5+6.760%
Last 5 (5)90.084.4174.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.882.3160.2-4.533%
vs Similar (11)83.586.3169.8-2.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.379.6168.9+9.785%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
L
65-67
65
67
-2
56avg 71
H06/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
67avg 71
H10/12
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#8
W
111-75
111
75
+36
118avg 71
A12/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#15
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
no box
H15/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
76-73
76
73
+3
72avg 71
H18/12
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
69-98
69
98
-29
61avg 71
A22/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#4
L
65-85
65
85
-20
39avg 71
A27/12
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
74-71
74
71
+3
64avg 71
H30/12
Euroleague
Zadar
#10
W
81-66
81
66
+15
75avg 71
H02/01
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#9
L
71-73
71
73
-2
68avg 71
H07/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
19-27
16-12
10-11
30-16
15-21
16-25
18-19
30-19
31-19
28-25
22-12
16-15
21-19
20-14
19-28
20-22
25-14
12-21
19-16
12-30
25-18
17-21
15-29
16-25
12-25
15-21
22-14
22-15
26-22
9-9
17-25
22-16
21-12
25-22
13-16
22-18
17-20
14-15
18-20
155.4Avg total
77.5Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.778.0152.7-3.333%
Season at home (10)76.076.8152.8-0.840%
Season away (8)73.179.5152.6-6.425%
Last 10 (10)77.577.9155.4-0.440%
Last 5 (5)72.078.6150.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.978.5152.4-4.633%
vs Similar (5)76.275.8152.0+0.440%
vs Weaker (13)79.966.5146.4+13.577%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
ValenciaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A18/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#12
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H20/12
ACB
Khimki M.
#18
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H23/12
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A29/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H02/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A04/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A07/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A09/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A12/01
Euroleague
84.8Avg total
44.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.382.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.742.184.9+0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)39.540.580.0-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)44.939.984.8+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.084.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.542.378.8-5.833%-
vs Similar (11)40.542.482.8-1.945%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.839.983.8+3.954%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H06/12
ABA League
Olympiacos
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H10/12
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#8
W
61-38
61
38
+23
A12/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#15
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H18/12
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A22/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#4
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A27/12
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H30/12
Euroleague
Zadar
#10
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H02/01
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#9
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H07/01
Euroleague
81.2Avg total
42.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.938.078.8+2.959%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.436.777.1+3.767%-
Last 30 away (14)41.439.480.7+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.081.2+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.279.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.338.976.2-1.642%-
vs Similar (5)39.637.877.4+1.880%-
vs Weaker (12)44.937.182.0+7.867%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.920.8
63.2%
52.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.1
38.7%
38.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.814.0
83.3%
79.3%14.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.6
50.6%
52.7%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.2
36.5%
38.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.715.3
77.7%
79.3%15.3
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWLWWLWWWL
Crvena zvezda
LWWLLWLWLL
#8
League position
#17
+8.2
Net rating
+0.4
119.8
Offensive rating
107.9
111.6
Defensive rating
107.5
60.9%
Effective FG%
52.4%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.8%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.7%
3-point %
36.5%
70.9%
Assist %
62.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 107.9Defence111.6 · 107.5Shooting60.9% · 52.4%3-point %38.7% · 36.5%Ball care17.9% · 18.8%Off. rebounds27.6% · 30.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Valencia   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
5
Crvena zvezda wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/21AOlimpia Milano80-95
09/01/21ABilbao106-73
07/01/21ABarcelona72-89
04/01/21AJoventut Badalona91-80
02/01/21HGran Canaria101-85
29/12/20ABaskonia70-71
27/12/20HGipuzkoa101-75
23/12/20HKhimki M.88-82
20/12/20HMurcia89-78
18/12/20ACrvena zvezda73-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/21HFenerbahce71-73
02/01/21HZadar81-66
30/12/20HPanathinaikos74-71
27/12/20AIgokea65-85
22/12/20AZenit Petersburg69-98
18/12/20HValencia76-73
15/12/20HAlba Berlin84-90 OT
12/12/20AFMP Beograd111-75
10/12/20HOlympiacos79-81
06/12/20HBuducnost65-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL53%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game81.380.282.2
Allowed / game81.879.983.5
Point differential-0.5+0.3-1.3
Avg total163.1160.1165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%11%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game74.776.073.1
Allowed / game78.076.879.5
Point differential-3.3-0.8-6.4
Avg total152.7152.8152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2015575%84.679.0+5.7
2 Barcelona2014670%81.573.7+7.8
3 Real Madrid1913668%82.277.6+4.6
4 Zenit Petersburg1812667%76.872.9+3.9
5 Olimpia Milano1912763%82.479.7+2.7
6 Bayern2012860%79.576.8+2.8
7 Anadolu Efes2011955%79.376.8+2.6
8 Zalgiris Kaunas2011955%79.877.5+2.3
9 Olympiacos1910953%79.680.0-0.4
10 Valencia1910953%81.381.8-0.5
11 Fenerbahce20101050%75.878.0-2.2
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv2091145%79.778.5+1.2
13 Baskonia2091145%79.378.7+0.6
14 Alba Berlin2071335%77.083.6-6.6
15 Crvena zvezda1861233%74.778.0-3.3
16 Panathinaikos1961332%79.884.0-4.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1961332%74.579.9-5.4
18 Khimki M.2021810%78.690.3-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2722192391
Crvena zvezda1527151471
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