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Valencia vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-81
25-19 31-21 16-25 13-16
Position#14
Record5-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#16
Record4-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game80.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2023
Meetings · Valencia v Crvena zvezda
10 Dec 2026
VAL v CZV
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
VAL76
CZV73
06 Dec 2023
VAL85
CZV81
06 Jan 2023
VAL75
CZV77
15 Jan 2021
VAL91
CZV71
16 Jan 2019
VAL92
CZV76
15 Dec 2017
VAL82
CZV86
05 Dec 2014
VAL68
CZV77
03 Mar 2009
VAL82
CZV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 74
A05/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
52-83
52
83
-31
44avg 74
A09/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 74
H12/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 74
H14/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
55avg 74
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 74
A19/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
71avg 74
A23/11
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
101-77
101
77
+24
101avg 74
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
84-98
84
98
-14
71avg 74
H01/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
79-85
79
85
-6
67avg 74
H03/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
25-15
15-24
21-20
12-23
19-21
8-20
13-19
22-23
15-20
25-15
14-11
26-24
23-19
13-20
11-13
16-25
17-12
19-17
18-20
19-15
18-21
20-26
17-21
18-27
17-22
18-23
20-18
25-20
31-27
26-17
19-13
21-20
31-24
18-23
14-31
17-19
22-24
20-17
20-25
157.3Avg total
75.8Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.976.9150.8-3.045%
Season at home (6)76.375.0151.3+1.367%
Season away (5)71.079.2150.2-8.220%
Last 10 (10)75.881.5157.3-5.720%
Last 5 (5)82.286.6168.8-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.677.1149.7-4.540%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.380.4158.7-2.150%
vs Weaker (10)81.777.1158.8+4.660%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
W
95-86
95
86
+9
97avg 81
H05/11
ABA League
Barcelona
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
76avg 81
A10/11
Euroleague
Zadar
#6
W
81-74
81
74
+7
78avg 81
A12/11
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
86avg 81
H14/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
69avg 81
A16/11
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#13
W
95-75
95
75
+20
101avg 81
H20/11
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
71-93
71
93
-22
62avg 81
H24/11
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
90-67
90
67
+23
92avg 81
A27/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
97-83
97
83
+14
94avg 81
H01/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
84-56
84
56
+28
81avg 81
H03/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
32-24
16-21
26-23
18-21
25-26
19-18
19-21
23-24
22-19
25-11
11-20
25-16
20-10
15-14
27-16
23-20
21-25
9-19
30-24
29-17
23-22
26-21
17-15
19-20
20-18
17-25
15-30
26-13
15-12
21-17
28-25
22-21
21-28
29-21
25-13
21-16
25-13
15-14
23-13
162.8Avg total
86.4Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.080.1162.1+1.936%
Season at home (6)83.275.8159.0+7.367%
Season away (5)80.685.2165.8-4.60%
Last 10 (10)86.476.4162.8+10.070%
Last 5 (5)87.474.8162.2+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.072.0157.0+13.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.583.4163.9-2.929%
vs Weaker (14)89.768.4158.1+21.4100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
ValenciaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A05/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A09/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H14/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A23/11
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H01/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H03/12
ACB
83.1Avg total
40.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.578.0+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.539.078.5+0.556%-
Last 30 away (14)39.537.977.4+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.283.1-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.887.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.338.975.2-2.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.538.280.7+4.380%-
vs Weaker (10)39.738.478.1+1.350%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H05/11
ABA League
Barcelona
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A10/11
Euroleague
Zadar
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A12/11
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H14/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A16/11
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#13
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H20/11
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/11
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A27/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/12
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/12
ABA League
83.4Avg total
45.1Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.737.780.4+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.134.179.2+10.979%-
Last 30 away (16)40.740.881.4-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.138.383.4+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.236.080.2+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.535.580.0+9.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.242.480.6-4.229%-
vs Weaker (14)47.033.280.2+13.8100%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.5
48.0%
53.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.9
32.4%
36.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
77.4%14.9
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.621.0
60.7%
53.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.8
37.1%
36.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws14.711.2
76.2%
77.4%11.2
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLWLLLLWLL
Crvena zvezda
WWWLWLWWLW
#14
League position
#16
-8.8
Net rating
+14.4
104.0
Offensive rating
118.8
112.7
Defensive rating
104.4
48.2%
Effective FG%
58.4%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.1%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.4%
3-point %
37.1%
58.3%
Assist %
69.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 118.8Defence112.7 · 104.4Shooting48.2% · 58.4%3-point %32.4% · 37.1%Ball care18.6% · 17.1%Off. rebounds34.2% · 33.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
7
Crvena zvezda wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HBilbao79-85
01/12/23HBaskonia84-98
25/11/23APalencia101-77
23/11/23APanathinaikos73-90
19/11/23ABaskonia74-83
17/11/23ABarcelona70-74
14/11/23HReal Madrid73-76
12/11/23HBasket Zaragoza76-69
09/11/23AOlimpia Milano52-83
05/11/23AJoventut Badalona76-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HCibona84-56
01/12/23HAnadolu Efes97-83
27/11/23AKK Krka Novo mesto90-67
24/11/23HOlimpia Milano71-93
20/11/23HMornar Bar95-75
16/11/23AOlympiacos83-88
14/11/23HFenerbahce87-56
12/11/23AZadar81-74
10/11/23ABarcelona81-86
05/11/23HBuducnost95-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game73.976.371.0
Allowed / game76.975.079.2
Point differential-3.0+1.3-8.2
Avg total150.8151.3150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW36%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%67%0%
Points / game82.083.280.6
Allowed / game80.175.885.2
Point differential+1.9+7.3-4.6
Avg total162.1159.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)-0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1211192%89.175.6+13.5
2 Barcelona119282%84.277.1+7.1
3 Virtus Bologna117464%83.081.7+1.3
4 Monaco127558%79.478.3+1.1
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv127558%85.586.6-1.1
6 Baskonia116555%83.082.3+0.7
7 Fenerbahce116555%80.981.3-0.4
8 Panathinaikos126650%81.779.8+1.9
9 Olympiacos126650%78.176.3+1.8
10 Partizan126650%87.686.8+0.8
11 Bayern126650%80.081.2-1.2
12 Anadolu Efes126650%80.286.2-5.9
13 Valencia115645%73.976.9-3.0
14 Zalgiris Kaunas125742%78.680.1-1.5
15 Crvena zvezda114736%82.080.1+1.9
16 Olimpia Milano124833%79.878.3+1.4
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1221017%82.289.9-7.7
18 Alba Berlin1221017%75.785.8-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2531161385
Crvena zvezda1921251681
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