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Valencia vs Obradoiro CAB Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
3.6/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game96.6
SpainACBRound 28· Roig Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Valencia v Obradoiro CAB
11 Apr 2027
VAL v OKA
upcoming
08 Oct 2023
VAL85
OKA79
29 Apr 2023
VAL87
OKA78
23 Dec 2021
VAL91
OKA71
16 Apr 2021
VAL97
OKA82
09 Feb 2019
VAL87
OKA94
04 Oct 2017
VAL80
OKA67
29 Apr 2017
VAL85
OKA74
31 Oct 2015
VAL76
OKA56
09 Nov 2014
VAL81
OKA64
29 Mar 2014
VAL69
OKA64
21 Oct 2012
VAL68
OKA64
04 Jan 2012
VAL77
OKA71
25 Apr 2010
VAL81
OKA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Obradoiro CAB win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#11
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 98
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 98
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 98
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 98
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 98
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
111-79
111
79
+32
107avg 98
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
102-87
102
87
+15
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
111-97
111
97
+14
no box
H15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
24-15
16-22
11-22
33-14
22-27
19-25
30-20
29-21
29-19
23-22
21-24
29-22
27-24
36-24
27-24
21-25
185.8Avg total
99.2Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)100.689.1189.8+11.575%
Season at home (4)102.892.5195.2+10.275%
Season away (4)98.585.8184.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)99.286.6185.8+12.690%
Last 5 (5)101.685.8187.4+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)89.085.0174.0+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)99.387.6186.9+11.781%
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCAB
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
81avg 82
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
95-65
95
65
+30
92avg 82
A02/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
73avg 82
H08/05
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
90-85
90
85
+5
88avg 82
A26/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
107-114 OT
107
114
-7
93avg 82
H04/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#18
W
91-89
91
89
+2
81avg 82
H11/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
79-72
79
72
+7
66avg 82
A17/10
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
76-106
76
106
-30
66avg 82
A25/10
ACB
Breogan
#6
L
90-110
90
110
-20
82avg 82
H01/11
ACB
Manresa
#16
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
no box
A07/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
19-27
20-23
24-15
28-21
25-13
19-22
23-9
26-24
21-18
18-14
20-12
14-27
29-19
22-24
25-15
22-22
21-32
26-21
30-24
22-21
27-22
20-17
22-29
25-23
21-15
20-16
13-18
19-20
14-29
17-30
26-27
22-20
21-30
19-32
28-28
19-19
17-16
12-20
25-18
178.9Avg total
90.1Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.396.6186.9-6.343%
Season at home (3)96.0104.3200.3-8.333%
Season away (4)86.090.8176.8-4.850%
Last 10 (10)90.188.8178.9+1.360%
Last 5 (5)87.095.4182.4-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)88.0100.5188.5-12.525%
vs Similar (1)90.085.0175.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker (25)94.375.7170.0+18.688%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +4.1+4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +4.1+4.1
ValenciaObradoiro CAB
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#11
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#4
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/11
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H12/11
Euroleague
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H15/11
ACB
88.7Avg total
47.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.641.188.6+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.040.190.1+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)44.842.186.9+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)47.641.188.7+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)48.443.491.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.331.376.7+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.842.190.0+5.774%-
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A02/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H08/05
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H04/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#18
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H11/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/10
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A25/10
ACB
Breogan
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H01/11
ACB
Manresa
#16
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/11
ACB
87.0Avg total
43.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.539.786.1+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.538.585.0+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)46.440.987.3+5.567%-
Last 10 (10)43.843.287.0+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.084.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.247.889.0-6.525%-
vs Similar (1)43.046.089.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (25)47.438.185.6+9.384%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.0
56.8%
55.8%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
36.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
76.0%15.6
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Obradoiro CABtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obradoiro CAB: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.0
54.3%
55.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.5
31.7%
36.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.617.1
75.7%
76.0%17.1
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWWLWWWW
Obradoiro CAB
LLLWWLWWWW
#2
League position
#12
+8.9
Net rating
+1.2
108.3
Offensive rating
105.5
99.4
Defensive rating
104.3
54.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
8.8%
Turnover %
9.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.6%
3-point %
31.7%
51.0%
Assist %
55.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 105.5Defence99.4 · 104.3Shooting54.8% · 51.4%3-point %34.6% · 31.7%Ball care8.8% · 9.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Obradoiro CAB
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Valencia wins
1
Obradoiro CAB wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLeyma Coruna111-97
12/11/26HBayern102-87
08/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos100-93
05/11/26AOlimpia Milano84-73
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AManresa99-100 OT
01/11/26HBreogan90-110
25/10/26ATenerife76-106
17/10/26ASan Pablo Burgos79-72
11/10/26HForca Lleida91-89
04/10/26HReal Madrid107-114 OT
26/09/26AMoraBanc Andorra90-85
08/05/26HGipuzkoa85-68
02/05/26AEstela95-65
26/04/26HEstudiantes89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game100.6102.898.5
Allowed / game89.192.585.8
Point differential+11.5+10.2+12.8
Avg total189.8195.2184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Obradoiro CAB
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game90.396.086.0
Allowed / game96.6104.390.8
Point differential-6.3-8.3-4.8
Avg total186.9200.3176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %29%33%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%106.385.3+21.0
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
5 Barcelona75271%97.394.4+2.9
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
10 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
11 Murcia73443%90.193.3-3.1
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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