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Valencia vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 103-71
29-16 23-14 30-15 21-26
Position#4
Record11-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#15
Record7-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeEurocupRound 18
European cup2021
Meetings · Valencia v Ulm
05 Apr 2022
VAL103
ULM71
12 Oct 2016
VAL95
ULM58
02 Dec 2015
VAL93
ULM88
23 Oct 2013
VAL88
ULM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#17
W
88-77
88
77
+11
93avg 79
A08/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
68-76
68
76
-8
58avg 79
A12/03
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
84avg 79
H14/03
ACB
Venezia
#14
W
86-80
86
80
+6
79avg 79
H16/03
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 79
H20/03
ACB
Bursaspor
#11
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
A23/03
Eurocup
Murcia
#9
W
72-71
72
71
+1
64avg 79
A27/03
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
60avg 79
A30/03
Eurocup
Tenerife
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
87avg 79
H01/04
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
90-75
90
75
+15
85avg 79
H03/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
16-16
16-25
30-14
17-16
17-21
9-21
25-18
22-18
28-28
16-15
24-24
11-22
26-20
27-22
22-16
19-11
19-23
25-23
18-22
18-21
22-22
26-21
23-28
17-13
21-14
22-22
12-22
22-20
15-30
19-16
20-16
20-18
27-11
20-33
25-26
19-25
22-15
24-18
25-17
163.7Avg total
83.2Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.981.1167.0+4.865%
Season at home (8)90.283.1173.4+7.175%
Season away (9)82.079.3161.3+2.756%
Last 10 (10)83.280.5163.7+2.770%
Last 5 (5)83.881.6165.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.093.0187.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (14)84.183.9168.1+0.257%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.776.9164.6+10.886%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#10
L
87-91
87
91
-4
80avg 80
A12/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
59-78
59
78
-19
49avg 80
H15/02
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
92-86
92
86
+6
89avg 80
H18/02
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
88-76
88
76
+12
87avg 80
A04/03
BBL
Promitheas
#18
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
A08/03
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#6
L
93-94
93
94
-1
91avg 80
H15/03
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#17
W
85-72
85
72
+13
86avg 80
A22/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
61-58
61
58
+3
50avg 80
A25/03
BBL
Bursaspor
#11
L
72-86
72
86
-14
61avg 80
H29/03
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 80
H02/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
10-29
21-17
28-23
16-26
17-17
16-19
10-16
20-21
19-21
26-19
27-25
17-21
30-25
13-14
28-16
17-19
11-17
10-22
30-21
26-26
18-22
22-23
27-23
20-21
18-17
19-13
28-21
12-12
14-13
12-20
23-13
15-32
19-21
20-18
18-15
23-28
26-20
13-18
21-16
159.0Avg total
78.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.682.0164.6+0.641%
Season at home (9)82.883.8166.6-1.033%
Season away (8)82.580.0162.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)78.880.2159.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)78.878.4157.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)84.282.3166.5+1.833%
vs Similar (13)80.977.8158.8+3.169%
vs Weaker (11)83.479.2162.5+4.273%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +5.1+5.1
ValenciaUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#17
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A08/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/03
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H14/03
ACB
Venezia
#14
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H16/03
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H20/03
ACB
Bursaspor
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A23/03
Eurocup
Murcia
#9
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A27/03
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A30/03
Eurocup
Tenerife
#5
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H01/04
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H03/04
ACB
79.0Avg total
40.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.880.7+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.140.282.4+1.962%-
Last 30 away (14)39.639.278.9+0.457%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.679.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.878.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.048.099.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (14)41.039.480.4+1.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.838.779.5+2.157%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#10
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A12/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H15/02
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H18/02
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A04/03
BBL
Promitheas
#18
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A08/03
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H15/03
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#17
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A22/03
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#17
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A25/03
BBL
Bursaspor
#11
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H29/03
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H02/04
BBL
80.6Avg total
37.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.882.0+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.239.481.6+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)42.240.182.4+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)37.643.080.6-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.480.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)45.737.883.5+7.883%-
vs Similar (13)41.439.280.5+2.262%-
vs Weaker (11)41.341.582.8-0.345%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.7
51.0%
52.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.0
36.2%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.216.8
72.4%
74.8%16.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.7
56.3%
52.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.2
36.6%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
74.8%13.8
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWLWLWWWLW
Ulm
WLWWLLWWLL
#4
League position
#15
+3.7
Net rating
-2.0
112.5
Offensive rating
109.7
108.8
Defensive rating
111.7
52.5%
Effective FG%
55.7%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.2%
3-point %
36.6%
63.2%
Assist %
60.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 109.7Defence108.8 · 111.7Shooting52.5% · 55.7%3-point %36.2% · 36.6%Ball care17.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds34.8% · 28.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
1
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
12/01/22Ulm v Valencia70-76
16/11/16Ulm v Valencia60-86
12/10/16Valencia v Ulm95-58
02/12/15Valencia v Ulm93-88
27/10/15Ulm v Valencia79-82
26/11/13Ulm v Valencia92-84
23/10/13Valencia v Ulm88-74
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/22HUnicaja90-75
01/04/22HTenerife92-88
30/03/22ACedevita Olimpija76-82
27/03/22AMurcia72-71
23/03/22ABursaspor89-92
20/03/22HBasket Zaragoza81-79
16/03/22HVenezia86-80
14/03/22HManresa90-85
12/03/22AJoventut Badalona68-76
08/03/22AJL Bourg88-77
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/22HSyntainics MBC83-82
29/03/22HBursaspor72-86
25/03/22AFrankfurt61-58
22/03/22AJL Bourg85-72
15/03/22HGran Canaria93-94
08/03/22APromitheas68-79
04/03/22As.Oliver Wurzburg88-76
18/02/22Hs.Oliver Wurzburg92-86
15/02/22HBasketball Braunschweig59-78
12/02/22AGottingen87-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL65%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWLWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%75%56%
Points / game85.990.282.0
Allowed / game81.183.179.3
Point differential+4.8+7.1+2.7
Avg total167.0173.4161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Ulm
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL41%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%33%50%
Points / game82.682.882.5
Allowed / game82.083.880.0
Point differential+0.6-1.0+2.5
Avg total164.6166.6162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%22%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Joventut Badalona1713476%82.271.0+11.2
2 Gran Canaria1712571%82.076.4+5.6
3 Partizan1611569%85.577.6+7.9
4 Lokomotiv Kuban128467%90.485.8+4.7
5 Valencia1711665%85.981.1+4.8
6 Boulogne-Levallois1711665%83.481.1+2.4
7 Virtus Bologna1811761%84.481.4+3.0
8 Cedevita Olimpija1710759%86.984.8+2.1
9 Buducnost1810856%78.578.9-0.4
10 Lietkabelis179853%78.875.3+3.5
11 MoraBanc Andorra179853%80.479.9+0.5
12 Turk Telekom168850%75.279.2-3.9
13 Venezia178947%77.176.5+0.6
14 Bursaspor1881044%81.784.1-2.4
15 Hamburg167944%84.187.4-3.3
16 Ulm1771041%82.682.0+0.6
17 JL Bourg1861233%78.681.7-3.1
18 Promitheas1741324%72.282.8-10.6
19 Slask Wroclaw1631319%73.483.4-10.0
20 Trento161156%72.285.0-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia29233021103
Ulm1614152671
← all games of the day
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