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Valparaiso vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 70-74 (OT)
29-34 30-25 11-15
Position#242
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#225
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game54.0
Allowed / game64.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Valparaiso v Illinois (Chi.)
08 Jan 2027
VALP v ILLI
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
VALP66
ILLI59
18 Jan 2025
VALP74
ILLI81
20 Jan 2024
VALP84
ILLI77
17 Jan 2023
VALP76
ILLI66
13 Nov 2021
VALP70
ILLI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#234
L
52-76
52
76
-24
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A14/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A15/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H23/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H27/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-37
22-39
39-27
31-30
33-39
27-35
29-26
23-28
34-39
32-26
26-30
38-37
16-38
27-20
39-18
31-40
13-31
42-35
33-35
28-34
123.7Avg total
59.3Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)61.069.0130.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)61.069.0130.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)59.364.4123.7-5.130%
Last 5 (5)58.663.6122.2-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)62.971.7134.6-8.817%
vs Similar ◀ (15)64.167.9132.1-3.840%
vs Weaker (3)84.758.0142.7+26.7100%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Kentucky
#174
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#174
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A30/01
NCAA
Wright State
#28
L
47-72
47
72
-25
H06/02
NCAA
Wright State
#28
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H07/02
NCAA
IUPUI
#223
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A12/02
NCAA
IUPUI
#223
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A13/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#295
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H20/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#295
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H21/02
NCAA
Youngstown State
#173
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A26/02
NCAA
Dayton
#63
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-32
45-40
27-30
47-32
23-33
24-39
29-36
28-41
30-40
39-49
38-43
43-45
31-34
30-24
26-31
33-38
25-35
33-39
32-25
22-39
135.3Avg total
62.8Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)54.064.0118.0-10.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)54.064.0118.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)62.872.5135.3-9.720%
Last 5 (5)62.670.6133.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)59.869.5129.3-9.717%
vs Similar ◀ (19)69.971.5141.4-1.653%
vs Weaker (5)77.065.4142.4+11.680%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -4.2-4.2
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -4.2-4.2
ValparaisoIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#234
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A14/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#10
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#211
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H23/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
L
16-38
16
38
-22
H27/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#122
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#50
L
13-31
13
31
-18
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H10/11
NCAA
61.2Avg total
29.2Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.431.663.0-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.231.663.8+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)30.631.662.2-1.044%-
Last 10 (10)29.232.061.2-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)25.430.455.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.532.161.6-2.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.332.463.7-1.140%-
vs Weaker (3)39.025.764.7+13.3100%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Kentucky
#174
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#174
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A30/01
NCAA
Wright State
#28
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H06/02
NCAA
Wright State
#28
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H07/02
NCAA
IUPUI
#223
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A12/02
NCAA
IUPUI
#223
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A13/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#295
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H20/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#295
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Youngstown State
#173
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A26/02
NCAA
Dayton
#63
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A10/11
NCAA
62.3Avg total
28.4Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.233.165.3-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.231.466.6+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)28.735.063.7-6.314%-
Last 10 (10)28.433.962.3-5.510%-
Last 5 (5)30.433.664.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.332.562.8-2.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)31.733.665.4-1.932%-
vs Weaker (5)36.231.667.8+4.680%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
1
Illinois (Chi.) wins
DateGameScore
02/12/20Illinois (Chi.) v Valparaiso66-50
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/21HToledo61-69
06/03/21AMissouri State55-66
27/02/21HIndiana State70-58
27/02/21HIndiana State43-58
23/02/21HSouthern Illinois64-67
21/02/21ASouthern Illinois66-65
18/02/21ALoyola Chicago52-54
15/02/21ANorthern Iowa60-74
14/02/21ANorthern Iowa70-57
11/02/21HBradley52-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/21ADayton54-64
26/02/21AYoungstown State58-74
21/02/21HWisc. Green Bay59-69
20/02/21HWisc. Green Bay61-58
13/02/21AIUPUI81-88
12/02/21AIUPUI69-89
07/02/21HWright State57-77
06/02/21HWright State47-72
30/01/21ANorthern Kentucky74-62
29/01/21ANorthern Kentucky68-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game61.061.0-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total130.0130.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game54.0-54.0
Allowed / game64.0-64.0
Point differential-10.0--10.0
Avg total118.0-118.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State110100%109.077.0+32.0
2 Drake110100%87.061.0+26.0
3 Southern Illinois21150%69.562.0+7.5
4 Illinois State21150%83.083.0+0.0
5 Evansville21150%51.552.5-1.0
6 Indiana State21150%74.084.5-10.5
7 Valparaiso1010%61.069.0-8.0
8 Northern Iowa2020%57.566.5-9.0
9 Illinois (Chi.)1010%54.064.0-10.0
10 Belmont1010%80.092.0-12.0
11 Bradley1010%65.081.0-16.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Valparaiso29301170
Illinois (Chi.)34251574
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