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Valparaiso vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-66
36-33 40-33
Position#306
Record7-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#289
Record9-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Valparaiso v Illinois (Chi.)
08 Jan 2027
VALP v ILLI
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
VALP66
ILLI59
18 Jan 2025
VALP74
ILLI81
20 Jan 2024
VALP84
ILLI77
17 Jan 2023
VALP76
ILLI66
13 Nov 2021
VALP70
ILLI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H07/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
61-98
61
98
-37
A10/12
NCAA
Elon
#349
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H18/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H01/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H05/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A07/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
50-32
46-28
30-53
31-45
42-29
29-37
36-20
41-47
26-24
37-44
24-36
26-32
38-41
29-28
24-49
42-39
30-38
29-36
34-28
42-41
141.3Avg total
68.6Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)68.173.7141.7-5.637%
Season at home (11)70.068.2138.2+1.855%
Season away (8)65.481.2146.6-15.912%
Last 10 (10)68.672.7141.3-4.140%
Last 5 (5)63.673.6137.2-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)62.174.6136.7-12.57%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.175.1146.2-4.050%
vs Weaker (5)79.862.6142.4+17.2100%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#345
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A10/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#314
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H18/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
54-92
54
92
-38
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
45-79
45
79
-34
A31/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H05/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A07/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
71-76 OT
71
76
-5
H11/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-18
32-38
39-34
31-27
46-41
35-32
21-42
33-50
33-17
22-34
13-39
32-40
31-35
40-42
28-42
32-38
35-30
26-31
28-39
36-42
135.9Avg total
63.3Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)66.869.8136.6-3.147%
Season at home (10)70.064.8134.8+5.260%
Season away (9)63.275.4138.7-12.233%
Last 10 (10)63.372.6135.9-9.340%
Last 5 (5)62.278.6140.8-16.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)63.576.0139.5-12.517%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.468.3138.7+2.160%
vs Weaker (8)78.166.6144.8+11.5100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: -5.5-5.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: -5.5-5.5
ValparaisoIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H07/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A10/12
NCAA
Elon
#349
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H18/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H01/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H05/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A07/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A14/01
NCAA
68.4Avg total
33.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.635.166.7-3.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.731.566.2+3.256%-
Last 30 away (14)28.139.267.4-11.129%-
Last 10 (10)33.435.068.4-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)30.038.468.4-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)27.937.164.9-9.213%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.935.268.1-2.360%-
vs Weaker (5)40.429.069.4+11.4100%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#345
W
30-18
30
18
+12
A10/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#314
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H18/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
33-17
33
17
+16
H29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
13-39
13
39
-26
A31/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H05/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A07/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A14/01
NCAA
64.1Avg total
30.4Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.666.7-0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.931.166.1+3.867%-
Last 30 away (15)31.236.167.3-4.947%-
Last 10 (10)30.433.764.1-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)27.037.064.0-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)28.336.765.0-8.325%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.232.068.2+4.270%-
vs Weaker (8)36.231.167.4+5.188%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
2
Illinois (Chi.) wins
DateGameScore
13/11/21Valparaiso v Illinois (Chi.)70-74 OT
02/12/20Illinois (Chi.) v Valparaiso66-50
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23AEvansville76-69
11/01/23HBelmont59-74
07/01/23ABradley66-88
05/01/23HNorthern Iowa67-69
01/01/23HIndiana State50-68
30/12/22ADrake63-68
21/12/22HStonehill77-67
18/12/22HElon71-66
10/12/22AOle Miss61-98
07/12/22HTrinity (IL)96-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23AMurray State64-81
11/01/23HDrake71-76 OT
07/01/23AIndiana State60-80
05/01/23HBelmont71-77
31/12/22ABradley45-79
29/12/22HIllinois State55-51
21/12/22ANorthwestern54-92
18/12/22HNortheastern81-73
14/12/22HPrairie View A&M70-61
10/12/22AWestern Michigan62-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW37%
HomeWWLLL55%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %37%55%12%
Points / game68.170.065.4
Allowed / game73.768.281.2
Point differential-5.6+1.8-15.9
Avg total141.7138.2146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %11%18%0%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL47%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%60%33%
Points / game66.870.063.2
Allowed / game69.864.875.4
Point differential-3.1+5.2-12.2
Avg total136.6134.8138.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1914574%73.463.6+9.8
2 Southern Illinois1914574%66.860.2+6.6
3 Indiana State1913668%78.869.0+9.8
4 Belmont1913668%74.370.3+4.1
5 Bradley1912763%70.460.3+10.1
6 Murray State1810856%71.068.9+2.1
7 Northern Iowa189950%70.066.2+3.8
8 Illinois (Chi.)1991047%66.869.8-3.1
9 Illinois State1981142%66.468.2-1.8
10 Valparaiso1971237%68.173.7-5.6
11 Evansville1941521%61.574.0-12.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso364076
Illinois (Chi.)333366
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