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Valparaiso vs Southern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-77
24-44 44-33
Position#355
Record4-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#131
Record11-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game63.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valparaiso v Southern Illinois
02 Jan 2027
VALP v SOUT
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
VALP69
SOUT63
28 Jan 2025
VALP75
SOUT79
10 Jan 2024
VALP68
SOUT77
14 Feb 2023
VALP62
SOUT66
08 Jan 2022
VALP60
SOUT63
22 Feb 2021
VALP64
SOUT67
12 Feb 2020
VALP55
SOUT38
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#166
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
65-83
65
83
-18
H30/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A02/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A09/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H19/12
NCAA
Elon
#282
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
61-86
61
86
-25
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-24
40-35
36-37
29-46
34-43
34-34
22-37
45-34
23-37
27-34
32-33
30-30
27-35
34-44
29-42
49-40
29-44
32-42
36-42
28-28
138.8Avg total
64.7Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)66.972.0138.9-5.127%
Season at home (9)68.169.1137.2-1.044%
Season away (6)65.276.3141.5-11.20%
Last 10 (10)64.774.1138.8-9.410%
Last 5 (5)65.276.0141.2-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)65.674.5140.1-9.015%
vs Similar (6)71.270.3141.5+0.850%
vs Weaker (4)78.266.2144.5+12.075%
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#13
L
48-77
48
77
-29
A29/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
101-62
101
62
+39
H02/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H13/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A17/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
81-50
81
50
+31
H23/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H31/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H03/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
20-38
28-39
42-27
59-35
34-34
36-34
40-31
28-39
27-34
41-35
42-31
34-32
39-14
42-36
32-30
30-20
34-31
39-32
31-29
40-35
135.4Avg total
71.8Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.063.5138.5+11.573%
Season at home (11)77.962.5140.5+15.482%
Season away (4)67.066.0133.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)71.863.6135.4+8.270%
Last 5 (5)72.658.0130.6+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)55.869.7125.5-13.80%
vs Similar (6)67.559.5127.0+8.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)75.262.0137.2+13.289%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.5-7.51st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +4.0+4.0
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.5-7.51st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +4.0+4.0
ValparaisoSouthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#166
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H25/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A02/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A07/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A09/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H19/12
NCAA
Elon
#282
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A29/12
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A07/01
NCAA
67.3Avg total
29.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.934.567.4-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.632.065.6+1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)32.237.369.5-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)29.937.467.3-7.510%-
Last 5 (5)30.639.269.8-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)31.036.467.3-5.425%-
vs Similar (6)34.034.568.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (4)41.025.066.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Southern Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#13
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A29/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H02/12
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H06/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H13/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A17/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H20/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
39-14
39
14
+25
H23/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H31/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A07/01
NCAA
64.0Avg total
34.1Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.129.362.5+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.928.464.3+7.674%-
Last 30 away (11)28.331.059.3-2.745%-
Last 10 (10)34.129.964.0+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.627.062.6+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)25.535.761.2-10.20%-
vs Similar (6)34.530.064.5+4.583%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)35.227.062.2+8.278%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valparaiso wins
5
Southern Illinois wins
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24AIllinois (Chi.)64-70
04/01/24HBradley61-86
29/12/23AElon78-82
19/12/23HSamford61-79
16/12/23HChicago State62-63
09/12/23AVirginia Tech50-71
07/12/23ACentral Michigan67-71
02/12/23ABelmont68-77
30/11/23HDrake65-83
25/11/23HSouthern Univ.71-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24AIllinois State71-64
03/01/24HBelmont73-63
31/12/23HIllinois (Chi.)62-50
23/12/23HSouthern Indiana81-50
20/12/23HNorth Dakota St76-63
17/12/23AWichita State68-69
13/12/23HAustin Peay68-70
06/12/23HOklahoma State70-68
02/12/23HSt. Louis Billikens101-62
29/11/23AIndiana State48-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWLLLL44%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %27%44%0%
Points / game66.968.165.2
Allowed / game72.069.176.3
Point differential-5.1-1.0-11.2
Avg total138.9137.2141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %73%82%50%
Points / game75.077.967.0
Allowed / game63.562.566.0
Point differential+11.5+15.4+1.0
Avg total138.5140.5133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%73%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1513287%86.571.7+14.7
2 Drake1512380%78.468.5+9.9
3 Southern Illinois1511473%75.063.5+11.5
4 Belmont1611569%79.476.7+2.8
5 Bradley1510567%73.767.6+6.1
6 Evansville1510567%78.772.7+6.0
7 Illinois (Chi.)158753%71.164.4+6.7
8 Illinois State168850%67.969.2-1.2
9 Northern Iowa157847%76.173.2+2.9
10 Murray State156940%73.171.4+1.7
11 Valparaiso1541127%66.972.0-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso244468
Southern Illinois443377
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