PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Thorl vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 94-69
23-10 24-17 26-17 21-25
Position#9
Record6-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game93.8
Thorl 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#5
Record5-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game91.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 13· Icelandic Glacial hollin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Thorl v Valur
23 Oct 2025
THOR117
VALU119
10 Jan 2025
THOR94
VALU69
06 Oct 2023
THOR81
VALU96
30 Apr 2023
THOR94
VALU103
24 Apr 2023
THOR92
VALU83
10 Feb 2023
THOR106
VALU74
26 Apr 2022
THOR65
VALU82
20 Apr 2022
THOR84
VALU89
16 Mar 2022
THOR90
VALU85
10 Mar 2022
THOR88
VALU69
30 Apr 2021
THOR98
VALU96
09 Jan 2020
THOR87
VALU70
20 Dec 2018
THOR114
VALU98
20 Nov 2017
THOR78
VALU68
14 Feb 2014
THOR91
VALU84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thorl winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
84-73
84
73
+11
78avg 86
A24/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
82-81
82
81
+1
82avg 86
H01/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
70-99
70
99
-29
56avg 86
A09/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
78-101
78
101
-23
68avg 86
H15/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
82-124
82
124
-42
76avg 86
A30/11
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
106-84
106
84
+22
115avg 86
H05/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
81-108
81
108
-27
77avg 86
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
93avg 86
H13/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
86-105
86
105
-19
80avg 86
A19/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
104-106
104
106
-2
89avg 86
A02/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
19-22
30-17
21-15
33-23
15-25
18-12
16-21
23-28
21-24
16-29
10-18
28-18
19-26
22-26
9-31
25-31
15-40
15-23
27-30
29-20
24-28
29-15
24-21
22-27
26-27
23-24
10-30
27-17
16-21
22-24
24-16
31-31
19-30
19-20
17-24
23-25
30-28
26-35
25-18
182.1Avg total
86.2Scored
95.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.493.8182.2-5.450%
Season at home (6)90.088.5178.5+1.567%
Season away (6)86.899.2186.0-12.333%
Last 10 (10)86.295.9182.1-9.740%
Last 5 (5)93.296.2189.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)86.098.8184.8-12.825%
vs Similar (17)94.393.0187.3+1.359%
vs Weaker (4)95.585.0180.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#10
W
104-80
104
80
+24
91avg 80
H24/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
94-101
94
101
-7
85avg 80
A31/10
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
70-83
70
83
-13
55avg 80
A08/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
101-94
101
94
+7
92avg 80
H14/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
74avg 80
A29/11
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
97-104
97
104
-7
91avg 80
H05/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#11
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 80
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#4
L
90-97
90
97
-7
85avg 80
A13/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
89-80
89
80
+9
86avg 80
H20/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
70avg 80
H05/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
19-21
27-25
33-13
20-27
13-28
28-25
33-21
11-30
32-15
14-22
13-16
20-27
23-17
31-16
27-34
22-19
14-27
28-13
19-25
31-17
21-35
23-23
22-29
21-29
20-15
18-13
29-20
26-30
25-18
15-31
24-18
18-20
31-16
24-20
16-24
19-18
23-31
23-13
18-17
177.8Avg total
89.9Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)90.291.0181.2-0.842%
Season at home (6)93.788.7182.3+5.067%
Season away (6)86.893.3180.2-6.517%
Last 10 (10)89.987.9177.8+2.050%
Last 5 (5)89.487.4176.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.384.7169.0-0.367%
vs Similar (17)87.886.9174.6+0.959%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.287.8178.0+2.444%
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
ThorlValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A24/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H01/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H15/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
40-71
40
71
-31
A30/11
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H05/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H13/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A19/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A02/01
Premier league
96.9Avg total
45.9Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.748.495.1-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.948.195.1-1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)46.648.695.2-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)45.951.096.9-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)49.450.8100.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)44.047.691.6-3.650%-
vs Similar (17)46.649.996.6-3.329%-
vs Weaker (4)52.242.094.2+10.275%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H24/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A31/10
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A08/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H14/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A29/11
Premier league
Haukar
#12
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H05/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#11
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A13/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H05/01
Premier league
89.5Avg total
43.4Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.343.887.1-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.643.286.9+0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)42.944.587.4-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)43.446.189.5-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)47.045.892.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.741.783.3+0.033%-
vs Similar (17)43.444.287.6-0.847%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.843.987.7-0.144%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.2
57.1%
53.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.9
36.8%
34.4%35.7
🏀 Free throws15.111.5
76.2%
75.6%11.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.5
52.7%
53.7%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.912.4
34.5%
34.4%37.2
🏀 Free throws20.214.9
73.8%
75.6%14.9
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Thorl
LLWLWLLLWW
Valur
WWLWLLWLLW
#9
League position
#5
-18.8
Net rating
+2.7
105.4
Offensive rating
108.3
124.3
Defensive rating
105.6
56.2%
Effective FG%
52.3%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
20.3%
Turnover %
13.9%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.8%
3-point %
34.5%
63.7%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 108.3Defence124.3 · 105.6Shooting56.2% · 52.3%3-point %36.8% · 34.5%Ball care20.3% · 13.9%Off. rebounds23.2% · 22.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Thorl   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Thorl wins
6
Valur wins
DateGameScore
10/10/24Valur v Thorl88-95 OT
04/01/24Valur v Thorl90-82
06/10/23Thorl v Valur81-96
02/05/23Valur v Thorl102-95
30/04/23Thorl v Valur94-103
27/04/23Valur v Thorl91-65
24/04/23Thorl v Valur92-83
21/04/23Valur v Thorl75-83
10/02/23Thorl v Valur106-74
03/11/22Valur v Thorl105-97
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/25ANjardvik104-106
19/12/24AKeflavik86-105
13/12/24HAlftanes89-78
09/12/24HStjarnan81-108
05/12/24HHottur106-84
30/11/24AStjarnan82-124
15/11/24HTindastoll78-101
09/11/24AGrindavik70-99
01/11/24HHaukar82-81
24/10/24AIR Reykjavik84-73
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HStjarnan83-79
20/12/24HTindastoll89-80
13/12/24AGrindavik90-97
08/12/24HGrindavik88-77
05/12/24HHaukar97-104
29/11/24AIR Reykjavik83-84
14/11/24HKR Basket101-94
08/11/24AHottur70-83
31/10/24ANjardvik94-101
24/10/24HKeflavik104-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Thorl
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game88.490.086.8
Allowed / game93.888.599.2
Point differential-5.4+1.5-12.3
Avg total182.2178.5186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Valur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW42%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%67%17%
Points / game90.293.786.8
Allowed / game91.088.793.3
Point differential-0.8+5.0-6.5
Avg total181.2182.3180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %17%17%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan1210283%99.086.4+12.6
2 Tindastoll1310377%96.887.3+9.5
3 Njardvik138562%90.588.6+1.8
4 Grindavik137654%96.190.1+6.0
5 Keflavik137654%100.594.8+5.6
6 KR Basket126650%92.793.4-0.8
7 Thorl126650%88.493.8-5.4
8 Valur125742%90.291.0-0.8
9 Alftanes135838%88.291.4-3.2
10 IR Reykjavik135838%87.293.5-6.3
11 Hottur134931%87.293.9-6.7
12 Haukar1331023%84.596.5-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Thorl2324262194
Valur1017172569
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.