PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Vardar vs FMP Akademija Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-92 (OT)
19-23 24-13 12-26 29-22 10-8
Position#10
Record3-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game92.4
vs
Position#11
Record5-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game95.0
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 2· SRC Kale
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vardar v FMP Akademija
13 Apr 2024
VARD94
FMP 92
05 Nov 2023
VARD102
FMP 91
16 Dec 2020
VARD79
FMP 82
01 Mar 2020
VARD79
FMP 77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vardar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Akademija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
80avg 62
A20/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
60-102
60
102
-42
45avg 62
H27/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
58-101
58
101
-43
42avg 62
A03/02
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
74-80
74
80
-6
62avg 62
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
76avg 62
H02/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
75-101
75
101
-26
53avg 62
A09/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
65avg 62
H13/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
73avg 62
A27/03
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
67-70
67
70
-3
62avg 62
H31/03
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
63-74
63
74
-11
47avg 62
A06/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
17-22
23-27
24-16
18-23
11-30
23-23
8-26
9-28
18-27
19-25
12-21
17-16
24-17
18-20
15-27
22-21
19-21
22-23
15-27
14-29
17-23
19-27
25-22
15-22
22-19
16-22
21-23
18-21
14-17
25-22
21-26
22-19
13-15
15-15
17-21
12-16
16-19
20-24
15-15
159.3Avg total
70.9Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)73.692.4166.0-18.813%
Season at home (11)75.392.8168.1-17.518%
Season away (12)72.092.0164.0-20.08%
Last 10 (10)70.988.4159.3-17.50%
Last 5 (5)71.483.4154.8-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)68.790.8159.5-22.24%
vs Similar ◀ (4)86.885.8172.5+1.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Akademija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP AkademijaMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkademija
Date
Competition
Feniks 2010
#7
L
76-109
76
109
-33
54avg 64
A21/01
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
62-90
62
90
-28
45avg 64
H24/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
73-103
73
103
-30
57avg 64
A03/02
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
W
80-74
80
74
+6
73avg 64
H10/02
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
52-99
52
99
-47
28avg 64
A03/03
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
60-88
60
88
-28
50avg 64
A09/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
82-102
82
102
-20
65avg 64
H16/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
89-98
89
98
-9
82avg 64
A27/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
67-105
67
105
-38
53avg 64
H30/03
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
93-88
93
88
+5
86avg 64
A05/04
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-32
19-24
23-29
25-24
10-28
16-18
22-18
14-26
17-23
21-20
23-25
12-35
16-17
17-24
20-18
27-15
10-24
7-23
24-27
11-25
22-26
17-21
12-20
9-21
16-24
28-22
11-35
27-21
24-23
25-24
13-20
27-31
18-30
15-25
19-24
15-26
23-20
22-21
24-29
24-18
169.0Avg total
73.4Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.395.0171.4-18.722%
Season at home (11)77.498.3175.6-20.927%
Season away (12)75.492.1167.5-16.717%
Last 10 (10)73.495.6169.0-22.220%
Last 5 (5)78.296.2174.4-18.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)74.096.8170.8-22.811%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.788.9175.6-2.157%
vs Weaker (4)96.582.0178.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Vardar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -5.1-5.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -5.1-5.1
VardarFMP Akademija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A20/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H27/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A03/02
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A09/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H13/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/03
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H31/03
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A06/04
Prva Liga
76.8Avg total
33.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.646.181.7-10.610%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.147.282.3-12.28%-
Last 30 away (17)35.945.481.2-9.512%-
Last 10 (10)33.643.276.8-9.620%-
Last 5 (5)32.640.072.6-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)34.646.781.3-12.18%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.542.584.0-1.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (FMP Akademija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP AkademijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feniks 2010
#7
L
28-56
28
56
-28
A21/01
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H24/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A03/02
Prva Liga
Vardar
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H10/02
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A03/03
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A09/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H16/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A27/03
Prva Liga
MZT Skopje
#1
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H30/03
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A05/04
Prva Liga
82.1Avg total
35.2Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.545.885.3-6.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.345.984.1-7.633%-
Last 30 away (15)40.745.886.5-5.147%-
Last 10 (10)35.246.982.1-11.720%-
Last 5 (5)42.047.289.2-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.547.784.2-11.216%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.343.486.7-0.171%-
vs Weaker (4)46.841.288.0+5.5100%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.420.1
48.6%
53.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.15.9
24.5%
32.2%17.7
🏀 Free throws18.712.0
64.2%
70.3%12.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Akademijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Akademija: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.719.0
44.5%
53.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.3
29.1%
32.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.212.3
71.5%
70.3%12.3
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vardar
LLLLLLLLLL
FMP Akademija
WLLLLLWLLL
#10
League position
#11
-22.8
Net rating
-29.7
89.2
Offensive rating
91.2
112.0
Defensive rating
120.8
44.2%
Effective FG%
44.2%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
59.3%
21.7%
Turnover %
18.5%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
24.5%
3-point %
29.1%
63.5%
Assist %
50.2%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.2 · 91.2Defence112.0 · 120.8Shooting44.2% · 44.2%3-point %24.5% · 29.1%Ball care21.7% · 18.5%Off. rebounds28.5% · 26.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)0% · 20%
■ Vardar   ■ FMP Akademija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Vardar wins
4
FMP Akademija wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24FMP Akademija v Vardar80-74
05/11/23Vardar v FMP Akademija102-91
20/03/21FMP Akademija v Vardar78-63
16/12/20Vardar v FMP Akademija79-82
01/03/20Vardar v FMP Akademija79-77
23/11/19FMP Akademija v Vardar95-66
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24AKozuv63-74
31/03/24HTikvesh67-70
27/03/24AMZT Skopje78-86
13/03/24HPelister74-86
09/03/24AGostivar75-101
02/03/24HKozuv78-92
10/02/24AFMP Akademija74-80
03/02/24ARabotnicki58-101
27/01/24HCair 203060-102
20/01/24ATFT Skopje82-92
FMP Akademijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24AOhrid93-88
30/03/24HMZT Skopje67-105
27/03/24APelister89-98
16/03/24HGostivar82-102
09/03/24AKozuv60-88
03/03/24ARabotnicki52-99
10/02/24HVardar80-74
03/02/24ACair 203073-103
24/01/24HTFT Skopje62-90
21/01/24AFeniks 201076-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %13%18%8%
Points / game73.675.372.0
Allowed / game92.492.892.0
Point differential-18.8-17.5-20.0
Avg total166.0168.1164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
FMP Akademija
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW22%
HomeWLWLL27%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %22%27%17%
Points / game76.377.475.4
Allowed / game95.098.392.1
Point differential-18.7-20.9-16.7
Avg total171.4175.6167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rabotnicki2420483%90.275.1+15.1
2 MZT Skopje2319483%82.669.5+13.1
3 Pelister2418675%84.875.2+9.7
4 Cair 20302416867%84.278.5+5.7
5 TFT Skopje2415962%75.771.7+4.0
6 Tikvesh24141058%83.977.2+6.7
7 Feniks 201024121250%83.281.5+1.7
8 Gostivar2381535%81.685.3-3.8
9 Kozuv2361726%77.180.3-3.2
10 Ohrid2351822%76.089.3-13.3
11 FMP Akademija2351822%76.395.0-18.7
12 Vardar2332013%73.692.4-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Vardar192412291094
FMP Akademija23132622892
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.