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Varese vs Nymburk Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 91-76
24-15 21-20 22-19 24-22
Position#7
Record9-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game86.2
Varese 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record9-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game72.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Quarter-finals· Palasport Lino Oldrini
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nymburk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
69-81
69
81
-12
56avg 81
H21/01
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
88avg 81
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 81
A28/01
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
77-81
77
81
-4
64avg 81
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
84-90
84
90
-6
77avg 81
A04/02
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
W
103-96
103
96
+7
88avg 81
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 81
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-94
63
94
-31
49avg 81
A03/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
80-65
80
65
+15
70avg 81
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 81
H10/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
20-20
16-17
13-17
25-21
20-16
18-20
27-21
19-12
20-23
26-22
18-25
27-19
13-27
18-19
19-16
29-20
15-25
21-21
19-24
18-27
25-23
39-29
21-17
29-21
18-22
22-21
22-16
13-29
17-25
20-27
13-13
16-16
18-16
23-16
23-17
15-16
20-22
28-18
18-17
164.1Avg total
82.1Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)92.186.2178.3+5.869%
Season at home (6)92.384.2176.5+8.267%
Season away (7)91.988.0179.9+3.971%
Last 10 (10)82.182.0164.1+0.160%
Last 5 (5)83.681.6165.2+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.894.6173.4-15.912%
vs Similar ◀ (15)91.086.7177.7+4.367%
vs Weaker (7)90.782.6173.3+8.171%
This opponent (Nymburk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NymburkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNymburk
Date
Competition
Kolin
#11
W
87-43
87
43
+44
82avg 82
A03/02
NBL
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
71-74
71
74
-3
57avg 82
A06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
USK Prague
#10
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
no box
A10/02
NBL
Iskra Svit
#3
W
85-61
85
61
+24
82avg 82
H14/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
USK Prague
#4
W
71-55
71
55
+16
61avg 82
H15/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Levice
#2
W
95-82
95
82
+13
84avg 82
H16/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Brno
#5
W
87-59
87
59
+28
84avg 82
H28/02
NBL
Decin
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
106avg 82
H02/03
NBL
Varese
#7
L
65-80
65
80
-15
59avg 82
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Opava
#4
W
92-79
92
79
+13
80avg 82
H09/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
21-6
24-17
18-3
20-14
13-23
17-20
21-17
18-18
23-20
18-21
14-14
18-21
27-15
26-10
14-15
15-18
21-13
23-12
12-12
34-22
20-19
24-22
17-19
21-14
20-18
26-13
20-14
29-17
22-27
24-17
26-25
16-16
16-18
16-23
17-23
23-22
23-19
25-18
21-20
153.6Avg total
83.8Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.372.8154.1+8.569%
Season at home (7)79.368.9148.1+10.471%
Season away (6)83.777.3161.0+6.367%
Last 10 (10)83.869.8153.6+14.080%
Last 5 (5)88.077.2165.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.080.0168.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (1)65.080.0145.0-15.00%
vs Weaker (27)86.469.5156.0+16.981%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
VareseNymburk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/01
Lega A
Chemnitz
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/01
Lega A
Leiden
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A04/02
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#17
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#16
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A03/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H10/03
Lega A
82.4Avg total
39.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.444.689.0-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.742.189.8+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.147.088.1-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.782.4-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.843.481.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.952.693.5-11.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.542.186.6+2.553%-
vs Weaker (7)48.140.788.9+7.471%-
This opponent (Nymburk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NymburkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolin
#11
W
45-23
45
23
+22
A03/02
NBL
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
USK Prague
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/02
NBL
Iskra Svit
#3
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H14/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
USK Prague
#4
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H15/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Levice
#2
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H16/02
Czech-Slovak Cup
Brno
#5
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H28/02
NBL
Decin
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H02/03
NBL
Varese
#7
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Opava
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H09/03
NBL
78.1Avg total
42.4Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.136.580.6+7.677%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.035.381.3+10.793%-
Last 30 away (15)42.337.779.9+4.660%-
Last 10 (10)42.435.778.1+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.483.2+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.038.083.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)32.034.066.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker (27)44.436.580.9+7.978%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.015.5
48.4%
52.2%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.111.7
34.3%
33.8%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.814.8
78.7%
73.0%14.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nymburktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nymburk: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.3
55.0%
52.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.8
32.2%
33.8%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.015.1
62.9%
73.0%15.1
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWLWWLLWWL
Nymburk
WLWWWWWWLW
#7
League position
#10
-0.4
Net rating
+22.3
106.9
Offensive rating
110.8
107.3
Defensive rating
88.5
50.0%
Effective FG%
51.9%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
42.1%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.6%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
39.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.3%
3-point %
32.2%
55.1%
Assist %
64.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 110.8Defence107.3 · 88.5Shooting50.0% · 51.9%3-point %34.3% · 32.2%Ball care16.1% · 18.6%Off. rebounds27.3% · 39.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Varese   ■ Nymburk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
0
Nymburk wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24Nymburk v Varese65-80
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HBrindisi81-73
06/03/24ANymburk80-65
03/03/24AOlimpia Milano63-94
11/02/24HPesaro91-80
07/02/24ACSM Oradea103-96
04/02/24ATrento84-90
31/01/24ALeiden77-81
28/01/24ACremona83-82
24/01/24HChemnitz90-78
21/01/24HVirtus Bologna69-81
Nymburklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HOpava92-79
06/03/24HVarese65-80
02/03/24HDecin101-86
28/02/24HBrno87-59
16/02/24HLevice95-82
15/02/24HUSK Prague71-55
14/02/24HIskra Svit85-61
10/02/24AUSK Prague84-79 OT
06/02/24AGravelines-Dunkerque71-74
03/02/24AKolin87-43

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%67%71%
Points / game92.192.391.9
Allowed / game86.284.288.0
Point differential+5.8+8.2+3.9
Avg total178.3176.5179.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Nymburk
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL69%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game81.379.383.7
Allowed / game72.868.977.3
Point differential+8.5+10.4+6.3
Avg total154.1148.1161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
2 Chemnitz1413193%92.372.9+19.4
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1412286%91.675.9+15.8
4 Bilbao1412286%82.469.5+12.9
5 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
6 Legia1410471%85.378.6+6.7
7 Nymburk139469%81.372.8+8.5
8 Varese139469%92.186.2+5.8
9 Gottingen128467%86.380.2+6.1
10 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
11 Basket Zaragoza149564%80.679.1+1.5
12 FC Porto1610662%82.578.3+4.2
13 Manisa148657%75.475.2+0.2
14 Leiden116555%67.269.7-2.5
15 Anwil Wloclawek63350%78.268.2+10.0
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque105550%73.670.8+2.8
17 CSM Oradea126650%88.686.7+1.9
18 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
19 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
20 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
21 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
22 AEK Larnaca63350%78.882.0-3.2
23 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
24 Spojnia Stargard63350%79.384.2-4.8
25 Trepca63350%68.275.2-7.0
26 Caledonia Gladiators63350%71.879.2-7.3
27 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
28 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
29 Sporting CP104640%86.388.0-1.7
30 Bakken Bears62433%84.285.3-1.2
31 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
32 Levice62433%74.880.0-5.2
33 Jonava124833%83.893.3-9.5
34 Peja62433%82.593.3-10.8
35 Balkan103730%73.985.8-11.9
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Keravnos82625%79.484.9-5.5
39 Kataja82625%78.285.0-6.8
40 Den Bosch61517%79.086.7-7.7
41 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
42 Karhu Basket61517%82.390.7-8.3
43 Norrkoping61517%70.281.7-11.5
44 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu6060%63.283.5-20.3
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2421222491
Nymburk1520192276
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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