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Varese vs Oldenburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-71
20-19 16-21 23-17 17-14
Position#38
Record2-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game80.2
Varese 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record4-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game68.2
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 7
European cup2016
Meetings · Varese v Oldenburg
30 Nov 2016
VAR76
OLD71
01 Oct 2013
VAR74
OLD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oldenburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
L
60-94
60
94
-34
no box
A25/10
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
L
64-97
64
97
-33
no box
A30/10
Lega A
PAOK
#22
L
70-75
70
75
-5
no box
H01/11
Champions League
Avellino
#3
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
no box
H06/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
66-91
66
91
-25
no box
A09/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
87-83
87
83
+4
114avg 104
A13/11
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
62-69
62
69
-7
no box
H16/11
Champions League
Brescia
#11
L
68-74
68
74
-6
92avg 104
H19/11
Lega A
Usak Sportif
#33
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
A22/11
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
71-76
71
76
-5
94avg 104
A27/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
14-29
17-14
12-27
14-20
14-22
15-28
21-27
12-17
23-21
20-14
15-23
19-16
16-20
18-17
15-15
19-27
19-28
16-13
12-23
17-13
21-17
20-24
29-29
19-18
18-14
11-21
14-16
24-12
18-30
15-17
11-15
17-14
9-26
18-22
20-25
19-21
15-18
13-18
24-19
151.4Avg total
68.9Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.880.2149.0-11.525%
Season at home (4)71.274.5145.8-3.225%
Season away (4)66.286.0152.2-19.825%
Last 10 (10)68.982.5151.4-13.610%
Last 5 (5)70.477.8148.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.578.9151.4-6.333%
vs Similar (15)80.780.2160.9+0.553%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
H25/10
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
79-59
79
59
+20
no box
H29/10
BBL
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
no box
A02/11
Champions League
Tubingen
#15
W
89-58
89
58
+31
no box
A05/11
BBL
Neptunas
#6
L
63-64
63
64
-1
no box
H09/11
Champions League
Bayreuth
#4
L
71-80
71
80
-9
no box
A13/11
BBL
Usak Sportif
#33
W
65-60
65
60
+5
no box
A16/11
Champions League
Bremerhaven
#12
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
no box
A20/11
BBL
PAOK
#22
W
67-62
67
62
+5
no box
H22/11
Champions League
Frankfurt
#11
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A27/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
22-23
17-11
18-22
20-16
14-14
25-19
20-10
10-21
14-19
14-12
21-7
29-15
15-20
20-10
25-13
19-17
13-16
18-10
13-21
20-16
27-19
11-21
13-24
13-20
16-4
20-9
16-27
23-13
18-30
15-15
20-18
11-24
16-9
21-18
19-11
24-27
19-19
24-16
13-15
145.9Avg total
75.5Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.268.2138.3+2.067%
Season at home (3)69.769.0138.7+0.733%
Season away (3)70.767.3138.0+3.3100%
Last 10 (10)75.570.4145.9+5.160%
Last 5 (5)75.075.2150.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.388.3170.7-6.033%
vs Similar (11)77.578.0155.5-0.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)80.270.0150.2+10.292%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
VareseOldenburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A25/10
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A30/10
Lega A
PAOK
#22
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H01/11
Champions League
Avellino
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H06/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A09/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A13/11
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H16/11
Champions League
Brescia
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/11
Lega A
Usak Sportif
#33
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A22/11
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/11
Lega A
75.1Avg total
34.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.640.478.0-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.438.378.7+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)34.442.877.2-8.47%-
Last 10 (10)34.440.775.1-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.672.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.942.378.1-6.420%-
vs Similar (15)39.338.577.9+0.847%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H25/10
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H29/10
BBL
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A02/11
Champions League
Tubingen
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A05/11
BBL
Neptunas
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H09/11
Champions League
Bayreuth
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A13/11
BBL
Usak Sportif
#33
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A16/11
Champions League
Bremerhaven
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A20/11
BBL
PAOK
#22
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H22/11
Champions League
Frankfurt
#11
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A27/11
BBL
73.2Avg total
36.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.776.1+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.337.876.1+0.536%-
Last 30 away (16)38.637.676.2+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.773.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.273.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.043.584.5-2.517%-
vs Similar (11)40.040.980.9-0.927%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)36.032.268.2+3.877%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.3 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.1
47.6%
52.7%36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.7
33.5%
34.4%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.014.3
75.2%
73.8%14.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
1
Oldenburg wins
DateGameScore
01/10/13Varese v Oldenburg74-79
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/16ACapo d'Orlando71-76
22/11/16AUsak Sportif64-87
19/11/16HBrescia68-74
16/11/16HHydroTruck Radom62-69
13/11/16APesaro87-83
09/11/16AVentspils66-91
06/11/16HAvellino77-79 OT
01/11/16HPAOK70-75
30/10/16APistoia64-97
25/10/16ANeptunas60-94
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/16AFrankfurt80-77
22/11/16HPAOK67-62
20/11/16ABremerhaven92-97 OT
16/11/16AUsak Sportif65-60
13/11/16ABayreuth71-80
09/11/16HNeptunas63-64
05/11/16ATubingen89-58
02/11/16AHydroTruck Radom70-66 OT
29/10/16HBasketball Braunschweig79-59
25/10/16HLyon-Villeurbanne79-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Champions League 2016
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game68.871.266.2
Allowed / game80.274.586.0
Point differential-11.5-3.2-19.8
Avg total149.0145.8152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oldenburg
Champions League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%33%100%
Points / game70.269.770.7
Allowed / game68.269.067.3
Point differential+2.0+0.7+3.3
Avg total138.3138.7138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Mans76186%76.964.6+12.3
2 Monaco76186%73.162.6+10.6
3 Besiktas76186%84.174.0+10.1
4 Banvit76186%80.070.4+9.6
5 Neptunas76186%71.663.9+7.7
6 Juventus97278%80.477.0+3.4
7 Ludwigsburg75271%81.471.4+10.0
8 Venezia75271%76.069.0+7.0
9 Avellino75271%78.373.9+4.4
10 Tenerife64267%80.866.0+14.8
11 Lyon-Villeurbanne64267%77.272.5+4.7
12 Oldenburg64267%70.268.2+2.0
13 AEK Athens74357%80.169.1+11.0
14 Aris74357%75.469.1+6.3
15 Strasbourg74357%78.072.4+5.6
16 Nymburk74357%75.671.3+4.3
17 Karsiyaka74357%71.471.9-0.4
18 Ironi Nahariya95456%70.670.7-0.1
19 CSM Oradea116555%70.370.2+0.1
20 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
21 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
22 Usak Sportif84450%74.170.4+3.8
23 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
24 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
25 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
26 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
27 Kataja94544%77.278.3-1.1
28 Ventspils73443%75.071.3+3.7
29 Saratov73443%88.486.9+1.6
30 Sassari73443%77.176.9+0.3
31 Maccabi Rishon73443%71.071.9-0.9
32 PAOK73443%70.071.1-1.1
33 Zielona Gora73443%70.673.0-2.4
34 Partizan73443%70.473.6-3.1
35 HydroTruck Radom73443%70.073.9-3.9
36 Frankfurt73443%64.669.7-5.1
37 Spirou Charleroi73443%76.482.3-5.9
38 Mega Bemax62433%74.777.8-3.2
39 Oostende62433%68.071.2-3.2
40 Cibona62433%80.785.7-5.0
41 Mornar Bar93633%71.680.6-9.0
42 Bakken Bears93633%69.080.0-11.0
43 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
44 Varese82625%68.880.2-11.5
45 Helios Domzale71614%58.966.0-7.1
46 Khimik71614%63.974.4-10.6
47 Szolnoki Olaj71614%63.483.4-20.0
48 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
49 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
50 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
51 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
52 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2016231776
Oldenburg1921171471
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