Capo d'Orlando vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2016

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 76-71

21-19 18-15 18-13 19-24

Position#8

Record4-4

FormLWWWL

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game78.2

Capo d'Orlando 🏆

Varese

Position#10

Record3-5

FormLWLLL

Points / game77.9

Allowed / game80.6

Lega ARound 9

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Capo d'Orlando v Varese

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capo d'Orlando winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Varese winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capo d'Orlando Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

69-85

-16

A24/04

Lega A

Pistoia

58-65

-7

H04/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

65-71

-6

H02/10

Lega A

Venezia

69-84

-15

A09/10

Lega A

Torino

#12

90-77

+13

H17/10

Lega A

Trento

76-85

-9

A23/10

Lega A

Cantu

#14

96-53

+43

H30/10

Lega A

Brescia

#11

90-89 OT

A05/11

Lega A

Cremona

#16

79-76

H13/11

Lega A

Caserta

#13

86-91

-5

A20/11

Lega A

24-23

14-21

13-20

18-21

13-16

18-14

11-12

16-23

20-11

21-22

12-20

12-18

15-23

22-15

12-24

20-22

23-26

25-13

16-17

26-21

25-31

14-14

15-16

22-24

25-17

23-14

21-13

27-9

25-18

18-24

16-20

19-16

21-18

10-10

25-20

23-28

19-25

18-22

22-11

27-33

155.4Avg total

77.8Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	81.4	78.2	159.6	+3.1	50%
Season at home (4)	82.5	69.2	151.8	+13.2	75%
Season away (4)	80.2	87.2	167.5	-7.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	77.8	77.6	155.4	+0.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	78.8	164.2	+6.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	65.2	77.6	142.8	-12.4	13%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	78.3	74.5	152.7	+3.8	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

91-81 OT

+10

H23/10

Lega A

Neptunas

60-94

-34

A25/10

Champions League

Pistoia

64-97

-33

A30/10

Lega A

PAOK

#22

70-75

-5

H01/11

Champions League

Avellino

77-79 OT

-2

H06/11

Lega A

Ventspils

#23

66-91

-25

A09/11

Champions League

Pesaro

#15

87-83

A13/11

Lega A

HydroTruck Radom

#44

62-69

-7

H16/11

Champions League

Brescia

#11

68-74

-6

H19/11

Lega A

Usak Sportif

#33

64-87

-23

A22/11

Champions League

15-22

18-18

19-16

24-20

17-24

14-29

17-14

12-27

14-20

14-22

15-28

21-27

12-17

23-21

20-14

15-23

19-16

16-20

18-17

15-15

19-27

19-28

16-13

12-23

17-13

21-17

20-24

29-29

19-18

18-14

11-21

14-16

24-12

18-30

15-17

11-15

17-14

9-26

18-22

20-25

153.9Avg total

70.9Scored

83.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	77.9	80.6	158.5	-2.8	38%
Season at home (4)	82.2	77.0	159.2	+5.2	50%
Season away (4)	73.5	84.2	157.8	-10.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	70.9	83.0	153.9	-12.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	69.4	80.8	150.2	-11.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	72.5	78.9	151.4	-6.3	33%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	82.4	80.6	163.0	+1.8	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Capo d'OrlandoVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.1	36.7	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.2	18.9	36.1	-1.7	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	21.5	39.8	-3.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.3	35.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.3	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.1	36.0	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	16.9	34.3	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.3	37.8	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	16.9	35.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.8	33.4	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.9	18.5	35.4	-1.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.9	17.7	36.7	+1.2	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	18.9	39.2	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.2	21.6	37.8	-5.5	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	22.5	39.5	-5.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	23.0	40.0	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.9	21.0	37.9	-4.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

38-44

-6

A24/04

Lega A

Pistoia

31-30

H04/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

41-33

H02/10

Lega A

Venezia

37-38

-1

A09/10

Lega A

Torino

#12

48-39

H17/10

Lega A

Trento

39-45

-6

A23/10

Lega A

Cantu

#14

48-31

+17

H30/10

Lega A

Brescia

#11

43-42

A05/11

Lega A

Cremona

#16

31-28

H13/11

Lega A

Caserta

#13

37-47

-10

A20/11

Lega A

77.0Avg total

39.3Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	37.8	74.4	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.1	34.9	71.0	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	40.7	77.7	-3.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	37.7	77.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	38.6	78.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	34.1	37.4	71.5	-3.3	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.9	38.3	77.2	+0.7	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

33-40

-7

H23/10

Lega A

Neptunas

31-53

-22

A25/10

Champions League

Pistoia

28-42

-14

A30/10

Lega A

PAOK

#22

35-38

-3

H01/11

Champions League

Avellino

35-36

-1

H06/11

Lega A

Ventspils

#23

38-55

-17

A09/11

Champions League

Pesaro

#15

38-30

A13/11

Lega A

HydroTruck Radom

#44

37-32

H16/11

Champions League

Brescia

#11

42-42

H19/11

Lega A

Usak Sportif

#33

26-40

-14

A22/11

Champions League

75.1Avg total

34.3Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	40.5	78.3	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.4	38.5	78.8	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.5	43.1	77.5	-8.6	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	40.8	75.1	-6.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	39.8	76.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	35.9	42.3	78.1	-6.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.7	38.7	78.4	+1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	18.0	34.9	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	16.4	34.5	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.7	19.6	35.3	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	17.3	33.6	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.0	35.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	15.7	19.9	35.6	-4.1	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.0	16.1	34.1	+1.9	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.3	36.9	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	16.8	36.9	+3.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.5	20.3	36.8	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.6	35.5	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.4	35.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.2	15.8	34.0	+2.4	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.8	37.8	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.1	36.7	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	21.6	38.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.0	45.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	15.3	20.3	35.7	-5.0	13%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.5	19.3	39.9	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	19.9	39.6	-0.3	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.1	21.1	42.2	+0.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	22.0	39.3	-4.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.6	38.8	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.9	20.1	37.9	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.7	20.8	43.5	+1.9	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.8	37.8	72.6	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.7	34.5	71.2	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.9	41.2	74.1	-8.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	38.8	76.1	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	38.0	81.4	+5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	31.1	40.2	71.3	-9.1	13%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.5	35.5	74.0	+3.1	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	38.7	77.6	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.8	36.7	76.5	+3.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.6	41.4	79.0	-3.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	40.6	74.8	-6.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	41.0	74.2	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	36.1	35.9	71.9	+0.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	41.7	41.6	83.3	+0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 73.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.1 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.3 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game

50%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	19.6	52.9%	51.1%	39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.1	7.4	35.1%	35.7%	22.3
🏀 Free throws	15.7	12.4	79.1%	74.0%	12.4

They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 74.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.7 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game

50%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	18.3	47.4%	51.1%	36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	8.0	35.0%	35.7%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	19.2	13.8	72.2%	74.0%	13.8

They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.0	15.4	49.8%	51.1%	30.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	10.0	41.2%	35.7%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	18.1	12.1	66.9%	74.0%	12.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	22.2	49.6%	51.1%	44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	7.7	33.3%	35.7%	23.0
🏀 Free throws	17.3	12.8	74.0%	74.0%	12.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.0	15.4	49.8%	51.1%	30.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	10.0	41.2%	35.7%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	18.1	12.1	66.9%	74.0%	12.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	22.2	49.6%	51.1%	44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	7.7	33.3%	35.7%	23.0
🏀 Free throws	17.3	12.8	74.0%	74.0%	12.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Capo d'Orlando

LWWWLWLLLL

Varese

LLLWLLLLLW

League position

#10

+1.2

Net rating

-7.5

105.5

Offensive rating

98.5

104.3

Defensive rating

106.0

52.8%

Effective FG%

49.3%

55.0%

Opp. effective FG%

49.8%

19.2%

Turnover %

20.2%

29.2%

Off. rebound %

28.1%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.31

35.1%

3-point %

35.0%

64.0%

Assist %

59.5%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

20%

Profile

■ Capo d'Orlando ■ Varese

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Capo d'Orlando wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
14/02/16	Varese v Capo d'Orlando	81-82
01/11/15	Capo d'Orlando v Varese	62-66
26/04/15	Varese v Capo d'Orlando	80-73
29/12/14	Capo d'Orlando v Varese	84-71

Capo d'Orlandolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/16	A	Caserta	86-91
13/11/16	H	Cremona	79-76
05/11/16	A	Brescia	90-89 OT
30/10/16	H	Cantu	96-53
23/10/16	A	Trento	76-85
17/10/16	H	Torino	90-77
09/10/16	A	Venezia	69-84
02/10/16	H	Olimpia Milano	65-71
04/05/16	H	Pistoia	58-65
24/04/16	A	Avellino	69-85

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/11/16	A	Usak Sportif	64-87
19/11/16	H	Brescia	68-74
16/11/16	H	HydroTruck Radom	62-69
13/11/16	A	Pesaro	87-83
09/11/16	A	Ventspils	66-91
06/11/16	H	Avellino	77-79 OT
01/11/16	H	PAOK	70-75
30/10/16	A	Pistoia	64-97
25/10/16	A	Neptunas	60-94
23/10/16	H	Brindisi	91-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capo d'Orlando

Lega A 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	50%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	50%	75%	25%
Points / game	81.4	82.5	80.2
Allowed / game	78.2	69.2	87.2
Point differential	+3.1	+13.2	-7.0
Avg total	159.6	151.8	167.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

Varese

Lega A 2016-17

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	38%
Home	WWLL	50%
Away	LLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	38%	50%	25%
Points / game	77.9	82.2	73.5
Allowed / game	80.6	77.0	84.2
Point differential	-2.8	+5.2	-10.8
Avg total	158.5	159.2	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	25%	50%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	8	8	0	100%	87.0	77.9	+9.1
2	Reggiana	8	7	1	88%	84.4	79.1	+5.2
3	Avellino	8	6	2	75%	79.6	75.5	+4.1
4	Caserta	8	6	2	75%	82.4	81.2	+1.1
5	Venezia	8	5	3	62%	80.9	78.9	+2.0
6	Capo d'Orlando	8	4	4	50%	81.4	78.2	+3.1
7	Brindisi	8	4	4	50%	81.6	80.5	+1.1
8	Sassari	9	4	5	44%	78.6	76.9	+1.7
9	Trento	9	4	5	44%	76.1	75.6	+0.6
10	Pistoia	8	3	5	38%	74.9	76.2	-1.4
11	Torino	8	3	5	38%	83.5	85.9	-2.4
12	Varese	8	3	5	38%	77.9	80.6	-2.8
13	Brescia	8	3	5	38%	78.1	82.2	-4.1
14	Cantu	8	2	6	25%	76.1	83.9	-7.8
15	Cremona	9	2	7	22%	77.9	82.1	-4.2
16	Pesaro	9	2	7	22%	73.0	77.7	-4.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Capo d'Orlando	21	18	18	19	76
Varese	19	15	13	24	71

← all games of the day

Capo d'Orlando vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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