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Vasco vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 98-86
18-19 29-24 29-21 22-22
Position#7
Record12-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game75.3
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#14
Record9-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game83.9
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vasco v Pato
04 Nov 2025
VASC65
PATO70
14 Feb 2025
VASC98
PATO86
26 Oct 2023
VASC71
PATO62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
69-88
69
88
-19
64avg 70
H21/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
81-63
81
63
+18
79avg 70
H23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 70
H29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
79-99
79
99
-20
72avg 70
A09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
64avg 70
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
82avg 70
H14/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 70
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
73-92
73
92
-19
63avg 70
A26/01
Super 8
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
76avg 70
A04/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 70
A06/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
16-29
15-17
25-19
13-9
22-16
29-20
17-18
19-20
10-18
15-15
25-22
21-22
18-29
20-27
20-21
15-27
24-25
19-17
12-18
24-21
16-18
20-23
16-12
21-18
18-14
17-23
19-19
24-29
17-14
20-20
12-29
18-26
16-11
27-24
21-27
26-23
10-13
20-26
15-22
156.9Avg total
74.5Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.675.3149.9-0.750%
Season at home (12)74.273.8148.1+0.450%
Season away (12)74.976.8151.7-1.850%
Last 10 (10)74.582.4156.9-7.930%
Last 5 (5)75.482.4157.8-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.770.3137.0-3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (20)76.577.5153.9-1.050%
vs Weaker (6)73.072.5145.5+0.550%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#6
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 73
A16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
85-81
85
81
+4
75avg 73
H19/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
90-106
90
106
-16
85avg 73
H21/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 73
H27/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
76-85
76
85
-9
68avg 73
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-80
67
80
-13
52avg 73
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 73
A13/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
78-65
78
65
+13
70avg 73
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
70avg 73
H22/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
87avg 73
H05/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
24-19
26-27
22-31
22-18
16-23
22-19
25-21
28-30
20-26
20-21
22-29
22-16
19-18
21-25
28-27
19-22
22-18
25-23
10-22
15-16
19-13
13-22
20-29
31-17
19-29
16-23
10-11
16-20
21-15
16-17
25-13
24-19
17-22
19-15
21-18
15-18
26-23
19-27
31-26
167.7Avg total
82.8Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.883.9165.7-2.138%
Season at home (14)84.982.4167.3+2.657%
Season away (10)77.486.1163.5-8.710%
Last 10 (10)82.884.9167.7-2.140%
Last 5 (5)78.678.6157.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.492.4174.8-10.012%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.979.1156.9-1.244%
vs Weaker (6)84.778.8163.5+5.867%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
VascoPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H21/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/01
Super 8
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A06/02
NBB
76.6Avg total
36.1Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.135.870.0-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.435.369.7-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)33.936.470.3-2.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.140.576.6-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.475.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.033.362.3-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)35.037.072.0-2.035%-
vs Weaker (6)32.732.064.7+0.733%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#6
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A16/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H21/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H27/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A13/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/01
NBB
Bauru
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H05/02
NBB
82.0Avg total
41.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.981.0+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.139.680.7+1.559%-
Last 30 away (13)41.240.381.5+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)41.740.382.0+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.479.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.644.986.5-3.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.938.178.0+1.862%-
vs Weaker (6)43.838.081.8+5.883%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.118.1
56.4%
50.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.57.2
26.2%
33.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.715.9
67.1%
72.7%15.9
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.6
50.6%
50.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.8
33.5%
33.0%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.114.6
76.4%
72.7%14.6
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LLLWWLLLWL
Pato
LWWLLLWLWL
#7
League position
#14
-11.0
Net rating
-2.0
100.1
Offensive rating
110.2
111.1
Defensive rating
112.2
48.5%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.29
26.2%
3-point %
33.5%
74.7%
Assist %
59.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 110.2Defence111.1 · 112.2Shooting48.5% · 50.4%3-point %26.2% · 33.5%Ball care18.3% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.2% · 35.2%Free throws0.40 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Vasco   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vasco wins
0
Pato wins
DateGameScore
12/11/24Pato v Vasco76-84
15/01/24Pato v Vasco67-76
27/10/23Vasco v Pato71-62
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25AUniao Corinthians71-84
04/02/25ACaxias do Sul82-88
26/01/25AFlamengo73-92
18/01/25HCearense75-74
14/01/25HUnifacisa76-74
11/01/25APinheiros70-87
09/01/25ACorinthians Paulista79-99
29/12/24HSao Jose69-75
23/12/24HBauru81-63
21/12/24HFranca69-88
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25HBauru91-94
22/01/25HUniao Corinthians81-74
20/01/25HCaxias do Sul78-65
13/01/25ACearense76-80
10/01/25AUnifacisa67-80
29/12/24HCorinthians Paulista76-85
27/12/24HPinheiros90-86
21/12/24HMogi90-106
19/12/24HSao Jose85-81
16/12/24ABrasilia94-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.674.274.9
Allowed / game75.373.876.8
Point differential-0.7+0.4-1.8
Avg total149.9148.1151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Pato
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %38%57%10%
Points / game81.884.977.4
Allowed / game83.982.486.1
Point differential-2.1+2.6-8.7
Avg total165.7167.3163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2218482%82.471.3+11.1
2 Flamengo2217577%84.173.0+11.1
3 Brasilia2516964%82.080.4+1.7
4 Uniao Corinthians2314961%78.978.2+0.7
5 Franca2112957%80.978.0+2.9
6 Pinheiros23131057%75.774.6+1.2
7 Bauru23131057%78.679.4-0.9
8 Paulistano24131154%78.174.8+3.3
9 Corinthians Paulista25131252%80.778.9+1.8
10 Sao Jose24121250%78.877.7+1.0
11 Unifacisa24121250%75.574.8+0.7
12 Vasco24121250%74.675.3-0.7
13 Sao Paulo25111444%76.478.6-2.3
14 Pato2491538%81.883.9-2.1
15 Mogi2591636%73.479.3-5.9
16 Caxias do Sul2471729%73.278.8-5.6
17 Cearense2461825%70.577.6-7.1
18 Botafogo2461825%72.881.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco1829292298
Pato1924212286
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