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Vasco vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 65-70
19-22 20-11 8-20 18-17
Position#20
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Pato 🏆
Brazil
Position#17
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game77.2
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vasco v Pato
04 Nov 2025
VASC65
PATO70
14 Feb 2025
VASC98
PATO86
26 Oct 2023
VASC71
PATO62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
84avg 73
A02/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
81avg 73
H09/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
69avg 73
A12/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
63-83
63
83
-20
46avg 73
A14/05
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
78-88
78
88
-10
72avg 73
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
76-85
76
85
-9
72avg 73
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
76avg 73
H24/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
57-61
57
61
-4
40avg 73
A27/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
64-81
64
81
-17
57avg 73
A29/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
57-79
57
79
-22
50avg 73
A01/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
25-19
20-18
14-18
13-25
27-14
20-25
26-26
11-18
16-20
30-20
19-28
17-23
25-20
10-17
11-23
17-19
15-23
20-20
26-26
22-25
26-18
10-21
18-21
20-14
15-14
18-20
13-18
20-10
13-19
11-19
13-13
17-29
11-15
21-19
15-18
17-18
14-25
12-23
14-13
154.5Avg total
72.5Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)68.779.7148.3-11.00%
Season at home (2)79.086.0165.0-7.00%
Season away (4)63.576.5140.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)72.582.0154.5-9.510%
Last 5 (5)66.878.0144.8-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.681.5151.1-11.90%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.181.4161.5-1.353%
vs Weaker (4)85.277.5162.8+7.875%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
59avg 73
H05/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
76-90
76
90
-14
67avg 73
A16/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
89-77
89
77
+12
88avg 73
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
82avg 73
H24/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
50avg 73
A29/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
82-101
82
101
-19
69avg 73
A01/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
63-70
63
70
-7
43avg 73
A21/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
88-92
88
92
-4
75avg 73
A23/10
NBB
Minas
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
65avg 73
H27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
69-71
69
71
-2
55avg 73
H29/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
16-17
13-18
27-21
21-27
14-27
27-18
14-18
25-23
17-23
30-16
17-15
18-29
31-22
18-18
24-27
11-23
20-25
19-17
15-19
24-31
27-24
11-20
20-26
18-16
12-15
14-23
19-16
19-26
32-22
24-26
13-18
17-27
22-8
14-20
22-21
18-20
16-25
13-12
22-14
159.8Avg total
76.5Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.877.2151.0-3.50%
Season at home (2)72.073.5145.5-1.50%
Season away (2)75.581.0156.5-5.50%
Last 10 (10)76.583.3159.8-6.810%
Last 5 (5)75.482.0157.4-6.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.688.9168.5-9.20%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.280.6163.8+2.658%
vs Weaker (4)80.088.0168.0-8.025%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
VascoPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A02/05
NBB
Minas
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H09/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A12/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/05
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H24/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A27/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A29/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A01/11
NBB
76.6Avg total
37.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.077.4-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.236.476.7+3.883%-
Last 30 away (18)37.140.877.8-3.728%-
Last 10 (10)37.039.676.6-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.472.4-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.137.671.7-3.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.540.380.8+0.153%-
vs Weaker (4)40.236.877.0+3.575%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H05/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A16/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H24/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A01/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A21/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A23/10
NBB
Minas
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H29/10
NBB
83.9Avg total
38.9Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.084.4-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.441.682.1-1.236%-
Last 30 away (16)42.244.286.4-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.945.083.9-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.883.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.143.984.0-3.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.040.182.1+1.958%-
vs Weaker (4)44.048.892.8-4.850%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.115.7
46.0%
52.2%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.912.7
67.2%
72.8%12.7
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.0
48.9%
52.2%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.7
33.8%
32.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws12.79.4
74.0%
72.8%9.4
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LLLLLLLLLW
Pato
LLLLLLLWLL
#20
League position
#17
-14.0
Net rating
-9.4
96.5
Offensive rating
101.6
110.5
Defensive rating
111.0
48.3%
Effective FG%
49.7%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
20.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.19
34.2%
3-point %
33.8%
70.0%
Assist %
54.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 101.6Defence110.5 · 111.0Shooting48.3% · 49.7%3-point %34.2% · 33.8%Ball care20.2% · 15.9%Off. rebounds27.3% · 23.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ Vasco   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Vasco wins
0
Pato wins
DateGameScore
14/02/25Vasco v Pato98-86
12/11/24Pato v Vasco76-84
15/01/24Pato v Vasco67-76
27/10/23Vasco v Pato71-62
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25AMogi57-79
29/10/25ACorinthians Paulista64-81
27/10/25ASao Jose57-61
24/10/25HUnifacisa80-84 OT
23/10/25ABotafogo76-85
18/10/25HCearense78-88
14/05/25AMinas63-83
12/05/25AMinas76-86
09/05/25HMinas86-90
02/05/25ASao Jose88-83
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25HCruzeiro69-71
27/10/25HMinas75-76
23/10/25AUniao Corinthians88-92
21/10/25ACaxias do Sul63-70
01/05/25AFranca82-101
29/04/25AFranca65-84
24/04/25HFranca91-96
18/04/25ASao Jose89-77
16/04/25AMogi76-90
05/04/25HFranca67-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game68.779.063.5
Allowed / game79.786.076.5
Point differential-11.0-7.0-13.0
Avg total148.3165.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%50%0%
Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.872.075.5
Allowed / game77.273.581.0
Point differential-3.5-1.5-5.5
Avg total151.0145.5156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo660100%90.774.2+16.5
2 Minas660100%82.776.5+6.2
3 Pinheiros54180%80.075.0+5.0
4 Brasilia43175%81.063.5+17.5
5 Unifacisa43175%81.075.8+5.2
6 Caxias do Sul43175%75.272.5+2.8
7 Franca64267%83.772.7+11.0
8 Mogi53260%81.466.8+14.6
9 Corinthians Paulista53260%82.078.0+4.0
10 Sao Jose63350%75.373.2+2.2
11 Cearense42250%79.086.2-7.2
12 Bauru73443%71.073.1-2.1
13 Paulistano52340%71.272.2-1.0
14 Uniao Corinthians31233%73.781.3-7.7
15 Cruzeiro62433%72.382.8-10.5
16 Rio Claro51420%82.896.0-13.2
17 Osasco51420%76.491.6-15.2
18 Botafogo61517%70.283.2-13.0
19 Pato4040%73.877.2-3.5
20 Vasco6060%68.779.7-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco192081865
Pato2211201770
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