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Pesaro vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 98-88
16-22 24-23 28-15 30-28
Position#10
Record7-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game80.9
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#11
Record5-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game82.2
ItalyLega ARound 15
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Pesaro v Brescia
03 Mar 2024
PES93
BRE83
18 Mar 2023
PES88
BRE79
27 Mar 2022
PES83
BRE88
10 Jan 2021
PES98
BRE88
22 Mar 2020
PES v BRE
upcoming
03 Mar 2019
PES86
BRE92
01 Oct 2017
PES70
BRE73
02 Oct 2016
PES76
BRE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#16
W
84-69
84
69
+15
74avg 72
A25/10
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
95-83 OT
95
83
+12
no box
H01/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
85-78
85
78
+7
77avg 72
H08/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
84-63
84
63
+21
72avg 72
H22/11
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
72avg 72
A06/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 72
H12/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
92-81
92
81
+11
82avg 72
A19/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
83avg 72
H27/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
71avg 72
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
89avg 72
A03/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
22-18
23-17
21-20
13-18
27-7
19-27
17-24
16-21
18-18
27-18
24-21
19-22
23-15
17-16
25-10
18-28
22-19
26-28
15-16
15-21
19-13
20-23
16-21
27-21
23-15
26-24
16-21
26-20
20-25
19-17
19-12
22-22
22-30
14-23
22-25
18-21
31-18
23-25
21-33
166.2Avg total
84.8Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.380.9163.2+1.450%
Season at home (7)80.077.4157.4+2.657%
Season away (7)84.684.4169.0+0.143%
Last 10 (10)84.881.4166.2+3.460%
Last 5 (5)83.886.0169.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)82.691.3173.9-8.720%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.878.2155.9-0.450%
vs Weaker (3)92.361.7154.0+30.7100%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#17
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
H18/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#12
L
66-75
66
75
-9
61avg 68
H20/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#3
L
71-74
71
74
-3
58avg 68
A22/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
99-85
99
85
+14
100avg 68
H05/12
Lega A
Unicaja
#10
L
79-83
79
83
-4
76avg 68
H09/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
W
71-69
71
69
+2
60avg 68
H13/12
Lega A
Levallois
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
82avg 68
A15/12
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
no box
A20/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
87-100
87
100
-13
87avg 68
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
80avg 68
H03/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
21-24
16-18
20-19
21-17
19-14
7-22
19-22
18-23
18-15
20-18
15-18
22-19
24-16
25-22
28-28
24-26
22-22
8-11
25-24
23-12
15-23
21-12
12-22
21-22
20-22
17-17
23-25
22-32
27-17
19-18
12-13
31-15
15-26
23-30
18-29
33-21
21-23
17-18
14-27
163.3Avg total
80.8Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.882.2161.0-3.436%
Season at home (7)78.176.7154.9+1.443%
Season away (7)79.487.7167.1-8.329%
Last 10 (10)80.882.5163.3-1.740%
Last 5 (5)83.286.6169.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.783.5158.2-8.913%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.784.0166.7-1.350%
vs Weaker (5)83.482.6166.0+0.860%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.1-4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.1-4.1
PesaroBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A25/10
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H01/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H22/11
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A19/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H27/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A03/01
Lega A
80.5Avg total
41.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.082.3+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.540.078.5-1.533%-
Last 30 away (15)44.142.086.1+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.680.5+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.641.285.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)43.644.588.1-0.940%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.639.977.5-2.325%-
vs Weaker (3)45.028.073.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#17
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H18/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#12
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H20/11
Eurocup
Brindisi
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A22/11
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H05/12
Lega A
Unicaja
#10
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H09/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/12
Lega A
Levallois
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A15/12
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A20/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H03/01
Lega A
84.0Avg total
43.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.683.0-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.839.782.5+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.043.583.5-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.384.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.688.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.541.780.3-3.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)45.139.884.9+5.370%-
vs Weaker (5)42.644.687.2-2.040%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.9
53.2%
51.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.7
34.6%
35.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.913.3
74.3%
75.8%13.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.0
52.9%
51.2%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.7
34.2%
35.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws13.611.4
83.8%
75.8%11.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLWWLLWWWW
Brescia
LLWLWLWLLW
#10
League position
#11
+1.4
Net rating
-2.9
112.6
Offensive rating
104.3
111.2
Defensive rating
107.3
52.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.7%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.6%
3-point %
34.2%
49.7%
Assist %
65.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 104.3Defence111.2 · 107.3Shooting52.7% · 52.3%3-point %34.6% · 34.2%Ball care16.1% · 17.7%Off. rebounds31.4% · 25.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Pesaro   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
6
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
24/11/19Brescia v Pesaro101-74
03/03/19Pesaro v Brescia86-92
04/11/18Brescia v Pesaro84-81
21/01/18Brescia v Pesaro88-70
01/10/17Pesaro v Brescia70-73
22/01/17Brescia v Pesaro99-68
02/10/16Pesaro v Brescia76-63
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/21AOlimpia Milano93-97
30/12/20AVirtus Bologna80-100
27/12/20HTrieste84-74
19/12/20ABrindisi92-81
12/12/20HFortitudo Bologna70-78
06/12/20ATreviso81-91
22/11/20HReggiana84-63
08/11/20HVarese85-78
01/11/20HCremona95-83 OT
25/10/20AVirtus Roma84-69
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/21HCremona85-89
27/12/20ASassari87-100
20/12/20ACantu92-89 OT
15/12/20ALevallois81-86
13/12/20HVenezia71-69
09/12/20HUnicaja79-83
05/12/20HFortitudo Bologna99-85
22/11/20ABrindisi71-74
20/11/20HBuducnost66-75
18/11/20HMornar Bar77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game82.380.084.6
Allowed / game80.977.484.4
Point differential+1.4+2.6+0.1
Avg total163.2157.4169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%43%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL36%
HomeLLWWL43%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game78.878.179.4
Allowed / game82.276.787.7
Point differential-3.4+1.4-8.3
Avg total161.0154.9167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %14%0%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1413193%89.172.9+16.1
2 Brindisi1411379%86.579.4+7.1
3 Virtus Bologna149564%84.677.1+7.4
4 Sassari149564%89.685.9+3.7
5 Venezia148657%78.676.9+1.6
6 Pesaro147750%82.380.9+1.4
7 Cremona136746%83.985.2-1.2
8 Reggiana136746%76.577.8-1.3
9 Trieste136746%75.677.2-1.6
10 Trento146843%78.679.7-1.1
11 Treviso146843%84.490.1-5.7
12 Brescia145936%78.882.2-3.4
13 Cantu145936%76.881.5-4.7
14 Fortitudo Bologna1551033%78.982.6-3.7
15 Varese134931%79.986.8-6.9
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1624283098
Brescia2223152888
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