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Pesaro vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 65-78
20-19 14-13 15-15 16-31
Position#10
Record9-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Venezia 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record11-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game77.2
ItalyLega ARound 18
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Pesaro v Venezia
08 Oct 2023
PES64
VEN76
08 Oct 2022
PES90
VEN89
01 May 2022
PES75
VEN85
18 Sep 2021
PES51
VEN83
31 Jan 2021
PES65
VEN78
19 Apr 2020
PES v VEN
upcoming
03 Feb 2019
PES86
VEN89
06 May 2018
PES77
VEN74
06 Nov 2016
PES84
VEN78
13 Dec 2015
PES82
VEN75
07 Dec 2014
PES89
VEN90
11 May 2014
PES86
VEN73
14 Oct 2012
PES88
VEN75
06 Nov 2011
PES58
VEN71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#13
W
84-63
84
63
+21
72avg 75
H22/11
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
72avg 75
A06/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 75
H12/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
92-81
92
81
+11
82avg 75
A19/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
83avg 75
H27/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
71avg 75
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
89avg 75
A03/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
98-88
98
88
+10
89avg 75
H10/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
74-99
74
99
-25
63avg 75
A17/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
107-83
107
83
+24
103avg 75
H24/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
23-15
17-16
25-10
18-28
22-19
26-28
15-16
15-21
19-13
20-23
16-21
27-21
23-15
26-24
16-21
26-20
20-25
19-17
19-12
22-22
22-30
14-23
22-25
18-21
31-18
23-25
21-33
16-22
24-23
28-15
30-28
19-23
22-21
20-28
13-27
26-20
27-18
29-14
25-31
171.7Avg total
86.3Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.282.5166.7+1.653%
Season at home (9)85.079.2164.2+5.867%
Season away (8)83.286.2169.5-3.038%
Last 10 (10)86.385.4171.7+0.950%
Last 5 (5)90.493.4183.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)83.292.6175.8-9.423%
vs Similar (14)81.379.2160.5+2.157%
vs Weaker (3)92.361.7154.0+30.7100%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
L
69-71
69
71
-2
64avg 72
A13/12
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#19
L
74-108
74
108
-34
62avg 72
A15/12
Eurocup
Varese
#12
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 72
H20/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
81-66
81
66
+15
no box
H23/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
72-76
72
76
-4
62avg 72
A27/12
Lega A
Partizan
#11
L
59-79
59
79
-20
51avg 72
H29/12
Eurocup
Treviso
#7
W
88-86
88
86
+2
85avg 72
A03/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
95-75
95
75
+20
92avg 72
H10/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
89-77
89
77
+12
81avg 72
A17/01
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
86avg 72
H24/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
23-15
12-21
22-12
21-19
22-35
15-30
16-24
27-23
19-25
18-14
22-15
20-16
25-23
25-11
11-16
14-25
15-12
24-10
19-29
18-11
15-16
12-28
14-24
28-22
20-27
16-22
24-15
26-19
28-20
17-15
24-21
25-21
9-15
33-18
22-23
16-18
20-26
26-23
26-17
160.0Avg total
80.1Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.777.2157.9+3.565%
Season at home (9)81.779.2160.9+2.467%
Season away (8)79.675.0154.6+4.662%
Last 10 (10)80.179.9160.0+0.260%
Last 5 (5)83.880.2164.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.085.0160.0-10.027%
vs Similar (6)83.276.0159.2+7.283%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)79.776.9156.6+2.856%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
PesaroVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H22/11
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H12/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A19/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H27/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A03/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H10/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H24/01
Lega A
85.6Avg total
43.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.082.4+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.140.880.8-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)43.141.284.3+1.943%-
Last 10 (10)43.941.785.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.443.689.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.544.888.3-1.438%-
vs Similar (14)38.940.179.0-1.329%-
vs Weaker (3)45.028.073.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/12
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#19
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A15/12
Eurocup
Varese
#12
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H20/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H23/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A27/12
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H29/12
Eurocup
Treviso
#7
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A03/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H10/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A17/01
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/01
Lega A
81.4Avg total
40.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.080.3+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.179.9+1.660%-
Last 30 away (15)40.040.880.8-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.181.4-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.080.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.340.578.8-2.147%-
vs Similar (6)43.237.580.7+5.783%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.940.882.7+1.133%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.9
52.1%
51.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.811.0
39.6%
35.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.812.7
75.6%
75.8%12.7
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.4
52.0%
51.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.4
35.6%
35.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.211.1
68.5%
75.8%11.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLWLLWWLLW
Venezia
WWWWLLWWLL
#10
League position
#4
+1.2
Net rating
+0.0
117.5
Offensive rating
105.9
116.2
Defensive rating
105.9
55.2%
Effective FG%
52.6%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.2%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.6%
3-point %
35.6%
55.0%
Assist %
62.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 105.9Defence116.2 · 105.9Shooting55.2% · 52.6%3-point %39.6% · 35.6%Ball care16.1% · 18.2%Off. rebounds32.4% · 28.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pesaro wins
5
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
11/10/20Venezia v Pesaro72-90
29/12/19Venezia v Pesaro98-92
03/02/19Pesaro v Venezia86-89
21/10/18Venezia v Pesaro97-62
06/05/18Pesaro v Venezia77-74
07/01/18Venezia v Pesaro72-71
05/03/17Venezia v Pesaro85-61
06/11/16Pesaro v Venezia84-78
03/04/16Venezia v Pesaro96-100 OT
13/12/15Pesaro v Venezia82-75
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21HCantu107-83
17/01/21ASassari74-99
10/01/21HBrescia98-88
03/01/21AOlimpia Milano93-97
30/12/20AVirtus Bologna80-100
27/12/20HTrieste84-74
19/12/20ABrindisi92-81
12/12/20HFortitudo Bologna70-78
06/12/20ATreviso81-91
22/11/20HReggiana84-63
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21HCremona88-84
17/01/21ABrindisi89-77
10/01/21HReggiana95-75
03/01/21ATreviso88-86
29/12/20HPartizan59-79
27/12/20AFortitudo Bologna72-76
23/12/20HTrieste81-66
20/12/20HVarese86-77
15/12/20ABahcesehir Kol.74-108
13/12/20ABrescia69-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%67%38%
Points / game84.285.083.2
Allowed / game82.579.286.2
Point differential+1.6+5.8-3.0
Avg total166.7164.2169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW65%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%67%62%
Points / game80.781.779.6
Allowed / game77.279.275.0
Point differential+3.5+2.4+4.6
Avg total157.9160.9154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%22%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1816289%88.675.1+13.5
2 Brindisi1511473%85.980.0+5.9
3 Sassari1712571%91.585.4+6.1
4 Virtus Bologna1711665%85.478.1+7.4
5 Venezia1711665%80.777.2+3.5
6 Pesaro179853%84.282.5+1.6
7 Trieste179853%80.879.5+1.4
8 Treviso178947%84.488.8-4.5
9 Reggiana167944%76.680.1-3.6
10 Fortitudo Bologna1661038%78.881.4-2.6
11 Trento1761135%77.479.9-2.6
12 Cremona1761135%83.086.3-3.3
13 Brescia1761135%80.784.2-3.5
14 Cantu1861233%79.484.4-5.0
15 Varese1541127%80.388.9-8.7
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2014151665
Venezia1913153178
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