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Venezia vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 104-85
25-19 24-18 30-26 25-22
Position#2
Record21-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game78.4
Venezia 🏆
Italy
vs
Capo d'Orlando
Italy
Position#16
Record6-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game83.4
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Venezia v Capo d'Orlando
29 Apr 2018
VEN104
KDO85
09 Oct 2016
VEN84
KDO69
11 Oct 2015
VEN77
KDO76
10 May 2015
VEN90
KDO67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#2
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#13
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A25/03
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#2
L
90-94
90
94
-4
A28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H01/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A08/04
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#3
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H11/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H15/04
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A19/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#6
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A22/04
Lega A
Avellino
#21
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A25/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
22-16
25-23
19-18
13-27
20-18
24-25
26-23
22-20
25-29
23-22
20-23
14-17
16-17
25-19
33-21
27-14
12-32
22-18
20-12
28-21
14-22
24-14
16-15
21-15
15-12
23-14
9-20
24-24
17-20
17-17
22-22
22-23
21-20
26-19
23-22
25-25
23-15
15-15
14-14
160.9Avg total
82.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.078.4160.4+3.678%
Season at home (13)79.976.0155.9+3.977%
Season away (14)83.980.6164.5+3.479%
Last 10 (10)82.778.2160.9+4.570%
Last 5 (5)79.873.8153.6+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)79.478.3157.7+1.165%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.776.4163.1+10.283%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A06/02
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H11/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A04/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
A11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
89-103
89
103
-14
H18/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
59-107
59
107
-48
A31/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H08/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A15/04
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
H22/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
18-29
12-20
19-20
24-23
19-14
16-19
11-25
18-35
32-16
21-18
18-23
16-18
29-13
17-24
8-15
24-32
18-24
20-21
27-26
26-17
21-28
14-17
17-26
9-27
15-20
15-34
20-26
21-23
20-22
16-10
16-20
18-13
16-22
21-24
20-15
20-16
13-25
15-15
20-12
161.5Avg total
74.8Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.483.4153.8-12.922%
Season at home (14)71.979.4151.4-7.521%
Season away (13)68.887.6156.5-18.823%
Last 10 (10)74.886.7161.5-11.910%
Last 5 (5)71.684.2155.8-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)69.785.5155.1-15.817%
vs Similar (1)83.057.0140.0+26.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.2-3.2
VeneziaCapo d'Orlando
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H21/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Pistoia
#13
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A25/03
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#2
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#4
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H01/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A08/04
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H15/04
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A19/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A22/04
Lega A
Avellino
#21
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A25/04
FIBA Europe Cup
80.7Avg total
40.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.080.3+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.936.275.1+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)43.541.985.4+1.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.680.7-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.481.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)41.239.380.5+1.947%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.338.280.6+4.175%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A06/02
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A04/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H18/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A31/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H08/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A15/04
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H22/04
Lega A
82.3Avg total
38.9Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.542.578.1-7.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.740.978.6-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)33.344.277.5-10.920%-
Last 10 (10)38.943.482.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.678.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)35.143.378.4-8.124%-
vs Similar (1)47.021.068.0+26.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.7
56.4%
51.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
34.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.114.1
70.1%
73.0%14.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.917.8
47.0%
51.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.2
33.5%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.111.6
72.0%
73.0%11.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
WWLWWWWLLW
Capo d'Orlando
LWLLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#16
+8.7
Net rating
-22.9
109.3
Offensive rating
99.6
100.6
Defensive rating
122.4
54.5%
Effective FG%
48.2%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.3%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.4%
3-point %
33.5%
59.7%
Assist %
60.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 99.6Defence100.6 · 122.4Shooting54.5% · 48.2%3-point %34.4% · 33.5%Ball care15.8% · 17.3%Off. rebounds23.3% · 27.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Venezia   ■ Capo d'Orlando
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Venezia wins
3
Capo d'Orlando wins
DateGameScore
02/01/18Capo d'Orlando v Venezia59-91
29/01/17Capo d'Orlando v Venezia90-82 OT
09/10/16Venezia v Capo d'Orlando84-69
24/01/16Capo d'Orlando v Venezia55-53
11/10/15Venezia v Capo d'Orlando77-76 OT
10/05/15Venezia v Capo d'Orlando90-67
11/01/15Capo d'Orlando v Venezia67-54
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/18AAvellino77-69
22/04/18ASassari92-84
19/04/18ADonar Groningen80-83
15/04/18HBrescia68-61
11/04/18HDonar Groningen82-72
08/04/18AReggiana81-76
01/04/18HAvellino88-74
28/03/18ANizhny Novgorod90-94
25/03/18APistoia83-93
21/03/18HNizhny Novgorod86-76
Capo d'Orlandolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/18HAvellino73-77 OT
15/04/18ABrindisi75-74
08/04/18HVarese73-75
31/03/18ATrento59-107
24/03/18HBrescia78-88
18/03/18HSassari89-103
11/03/18APesaro81-84 OT
04/03/18ATorino89-92
11/02/18HReggiana70-81
06/02/18ALudwigsburg61-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayWWLWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %78%77%79%
Points / game82.079.983.9
Allowed / game78.476.080.6
Point differential+3.6+3.9+3.4
Avg total160.4155.9164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won87% (15)75% (8)100% (7)
Overtime %11%8%14%
Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL22%
HomeLLLLL21%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %22%21%23%
Points / game70.471.968.8
Allowed / game83.479.487.6
Point differential-12.9-7.5-18.8
Avg total153.8151.4156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia2721678%82.078.4+3.6
2 Olimpia Milano2821775%81.374.3+7.0
3 Brescia2819968%79.174.9+4.2
4 Avellino28181064%83.777.7+6.0
5 Trento27161159%80.476.2+4.2
6 Varese27141352%78.375.4+2.9
7 Virtus Bologna27141352%78.476.2+2.2
8 Cantu27141352%87.488.1-0.7
9 Sassari28141450%85.582.9+2.6
10 Cremona28141450%84.182.5+1.6
11 Reggiana27121544%76.677.7-1.1
12 Torino27121544%79.982.3-2.4
13 Pistoia2791833%75.681.1-5.4
14 Brindisi2781930%77.582.3-4.8
15 Pesaro2872125%76.984.3-7.5
16 Capo d'Orlando2762122%70.483.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia25243025104
Capo d'Orlando1918262285
← all games of the day
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